HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
Inside
The first point is that being the mother of all franchises front-end demand will be much higher here. To use the IMAX numbers as an example since that's what we have:
Biggest first day imax presales was $1m, ep7 did $6.5m, but JW's OW it did over $21m in IMAX. So the huge presales can be contained in an OW smaller than 200m if it has a lower ratio of presales:OW_total_admissions which I think it will.
The second point is the december/christmas/holiday stuff:
Thurs and Fri will be huge, but Saturday will be like deathly hallows 2, smaller than Friday after removing midnights/thurs previews, and Sunday I think will be unusually small given the weekend as a whole. Sat and Sun is where all the christmas holiday stuff will really show up from doing as well as it would other wise do.
A small bet.... Nov 17, 19:12
oh my vader {nm} Nov 17, 19:38
Well...you're on record now, at least. :-) {nm} Nov 18, 08:39
Just wondering what has brought you to this conclusion? {nm} Nov 18, 11:53
Inside Nov 18, 19:56
I'm really excited, not only for the film, but because over half my net worth is tied up in STAR7. Nov 18, 15:41
Rest easy, will delist at 700+ {nm} Nov 18, 18:31
NOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!! Nov 18, 18:23
So did you short it? *smiles* {nm} Nov 19, 08:27
Not yet... Nov 19, 11:28
Both Jurassic World and Avengers were underestimated (by 4 and 7 mil) {nm} Nov 19, 18:01
and for the purpose of HSX on Saturday evening - the Sunday estimate is what matters {nm} Nov 19, 18:11
For the adjust yeah, for my bet I'm going by actuals. {nm} Nov 19, 18:33
Well, I've enjoyed competing with you, and I will miss it. ;) {nm} Nov 19, 13:49
We'll be competing for a while to come don't you worry XD {nm} Nov 19, 14:22
I agree it'll probably under 200 million OW. I don't think it'll have staying power earn about $480 million overall. Nov 19, 15:20
And you base this on... ? {nm} Nov 19, 17:00
Just a gut feeling.. I've usually had a good sense of box office. Nov 20, 01:54
I dunno MattW - $50M already in presales. {nm} Nov 19, 16:59
If I'm wrong you can rub it in my face as much as you want.... Nov 19, 18:36
I find your lack of faith disturbing. :) {nm} Nov 19, 17:21
that Friday night on the boards is gonna be fun!...there will be blood =P {nm} Nov 19, 17:25
Definitely will be, BOT forums and a few subreddits will be too. Gonna be a lot of fun {nm} Nov 19, 18:33
