HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

A small bet....

Posted by: MattW (a.k.a del_RGV_MattW) on Nov 17, 19:12

RS and bo.com have put out their stuff on it, both big, and everywhere I look I see people saying 225, 250, some are talking even higher.  I'm guessing we'll start seeing good tracking and predictions (or at least more informed) after thanksgiving and I wanted to say this first before any other info about it comes out:

No, nope, never, not a chance. 

If The Force Awakens opens over $200m then I will reset my portfolio back to H$2 million on December 31st.  

I'm prepared to be publicly wrong about this, but I'm gonna be right, so so right.  Just watch.

 

____________________
Betting aside, I'm incredibly interested in how this plays out.  I have a ton of thoughts about it and have a lot of anticipation to see the reactions here and elsewhere to the box office results first, and the movie second (I was never a big fan of star wars, enjoyed the originals as a kid but haven't thought about it much until the last year or so).

A small bet.... MattW Nov 17, 19:12

oh my vader {nm} DiNar0 Nov 17, 19:38

Well...you're on record now, at least. :-) {nm} Flash Nov 18, 08:39

Just wondering what has brought you to this conclusion? {nm} blaze223 Nov 18, 11:53

Inside MattW Nov 18, 19:56

I'm really excited, not only for the film, but because over half my net worth is tied up in STAR7. Exogen Nov 18, 15:41

Rest easy, will delist at 700+ {nm} skunkrunner Nov 18, 18:31

NOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!! RamsFan2004 Nov 18, 18:23

So did you short it? *smiles* {nm} Flash Nov 19, 08:27

Not yet... MattW Nov 19, 11:28

Both Jurassic World and Avengers were underestimated (by 4 and 7 mil) {nm} JDolphin Nov 19, 18:01

and for the purpose of HSX on Saturday evening - the Sunday estimate is what matters {nm} JDolphin Nov 19, 18:11

For the adjust yeah, for my bet I'm going by actuals. {nm} MattW Nov 19, 18:33

Well, I've enjoyed competing with you, and I will miss it. ;) {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 19, 13:49

We'll be competing for a while to come don't you worry XD {nm} MattW Nov 19, 14:22

I agree it'll probably under 200 million OW. I don't think it'll have staying power earn about $480 million overall. Baron_Darcon Nov 19, 15:20

And you base this on... ? {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 19, 17:00

Just a gut feeling.. I've usually had a good sense of box office. Baron_Darcon Nov 20, 01:54

You need to look at the history of Christmas to New Years box office if you think STaR7 is going to have that poor of a delist {nm} JDolphin Nov 19, 18:15

I dunno MattW - $50M already in presales. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Nov 19, 16:59

If I'm wrong you can rub it in my face as much as you want.... MattW Nov 19, 18:36

I find your lack of faith disturbing. :) {nm} Iger Nov 19, 17:21

that Friday night on the boards is gonna be fun!...there will be blood =P {nm} tealfan Nov 19, 17:25

Definitely will be, BOT forums and a few subreddits will be too. Gonna be a lot of fun {nm} MattW Nov 19, 18:33





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