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Playing & Trading Strategy

Hopefully my reckless, initial Fri tweet comparison won't put players off (what I consider to be) a useful tool.

Posted by: Lionsgate Studio Fund (a.k.a LGFXFund) on Dec 02, 14:39 in response to Antibody's post Pre-release and post-release are two different things....

 

All data belongs to www.boxoffice.com (although I've calculated the % comps, so E&OE there) & I'm posting once-only in response to Anti's request, on the proviso that individually-sourced similar info could provide further value to members of the community on a go-forward basis.

 

MJ1

Fri Nov 21, 2014 251,822

Sat Nov 22, 2014 228,917

Sun Nov 23, 2014 176,725

Total 1st FSS 657,464

Fri Nov 28, 2014 45,283 -82.02%

Sat Nov 29, 2014 68,378 -70.13%

Sun Nov 30, 2014 61,433 -65.24%

Total 2nd FSS 175,094 -73.37%

 

MJ2

Fri Nov 20, 2015 164,171 -34.81% vs MJ1

Sat Nov 21, 2015 138,140 -39.65% vs MJ1

Sun Nov 22, 2015 122,956 -30.43% vs MJ1

Total 1st FSS 425,267 -35.32% vs MJ1

Fri Nov 27, 2015 58,476 -64.38% +29.13% vs MJ1

Sat Nov 28, 2015 58,756 -57.47% -14.07% vs MJ1

Sun Nov 29, 2015 59,771 -51.39% -2.71% vs MJ1

Total 2nd FSS 177,003 -58.38% +1.09% vs MJ1

Mockingjay 2 MattW Nov 27, 13:35

Good analysis {nm} Quickslver99 Nov 27, 14:18

Cheers, agree. Interesting to track real-time Twitter activity if you're into that sort of thing... Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 27, 15:53

MJ2 tweet #s last Fri = 164k, looking like 70k(ish) max today -- so would be surprised if it holds much better than MJ1 3-day. {nm} Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 27, 17:53

Actual 58,476. 6:1 pos:neg ratio. {nm} Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 28, 00:21

Sat: 58,756, same ratio as above. Sat Nov 21: 138,140. {nm} Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 29, 00:38

HGAM4 held better than HGAM3, and best in the series. The tweets # are not useful. Antibody Nov 30, 13:21

Depends how one interprets them. Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 30, 20:19

You're just speculating. What point of reference are you using? {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 10:07

1) Twitter 2) Prediction Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 01, 11:15

But you didn't compare Twitter activity of any other movies inc MJ1. Like I told you before, they're just numbers. Antibody Dec 01, 13:46

12-month old #s problematic due platform growth & MJ2's expanded w/wide release pattern. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 01, 14:21

Methodology + MJ1/2 comp wk prior to release. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 01, 19:32

Pre-release and post-release are two different things. Where's the MJ1 comp post release? Antibody Dec 02, 11:49

Hopefully my reckless, initial Fri tweet comparison won't put players off (what I consider to be) a useful tool. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 02, 14:39

Final, detailed Nov 27 mea culpa. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 03, 12:53





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