HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Hopefully my reckless, initial Fri tweet comparison won't put players off (what I consider to be) a useful tool.

Posted by: Lionsgate Studio Fund (a.k.a LGFXFund) on Dec 02, 14:39 in response to Antibody's post Pre-release and post-release are two different things....

 

All data belongs to www.boxoffice.com (although I've calculated the % comps, so E&OE there) & I'm posting once-only in response to Anti's request, on the proviso that individually-sourced similar info could provide further value to members of the community on a go-forward basis.

 

MJ1

Fri Nov 21, 2014 251,822

Sat Nov 22, 2014 228,917

Sun Nov 23, 2014 176,725

Total 1st FSS 657,464

Fri Nov 28, 2014 45,283 -82.02%

Sat Nov 29, 2014 68,378 -70.13%

Sun Nov 30, 2014 61,433 -65.24%

Total 2nd FSS 175,094 -73.37%

 

MJ2

Fri Nov 20, 2015 164,171 -34.81% vs MJ1

Sat Nov 21, 2015 138,140 -39.65% vs MJ1

Sun Nov 22, 2015 122,956 -30.43% vs MJ1

Total 1st FSS 425,267 -35.32% vs MJ1

Fri Nov 27, 2015 58,476 -64.38% +29.13% vs MJ1

Sat Nov 28, 2015 58,756 -57.47% -14.07% vs MJ1

Sun Nov 29, 2015 59,771 -51.39% -2.71% vs MJ1

Total 2nd FSS 177,003 -58.38% +1.09% vs MJ1

Mockingjay 2 MattW Nov 27, 13:35

Good analysis {nm} Quickslver99 Nov 27, 14:18

Cheers, agree. Interesting to track real-time Twitter activity if you're into that sort of thing... Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 27, 15:53

MJ2 tweet #s last Fri = 164k, looking like 70k(ish) max today -- so would be surprised if it holds much better than MJ1 3-day. {nm} Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 27, 17:53

Actual 58,476. 6:1 pos:neg ratio. {nm} Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 28, 00:21

Sat: 58,756, same ratio as above. Sat Nov 21: 138,140. {nm} Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 29, 00:38

HGAM4 held better than HGAM3, and best in the series. The tweets # are not useful. Antibody Nov 30, 13:21

Depends how one interprets them. Lionsgate Studio Fund Nov 30, 20:19

You're just speculating. What point of reference are you using? {nm} Antibody Dec 01, 10:07

1) Twitter 2) Prediction Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 01, 11:15

But you didn't compare Twitter activity of any other movies inc MJ1. Like I told you before, they're just numbers. Antibody Dec 01, 13:46

12-month old #s problematic due platform growth & MJ2's expanded w/wide release pattern. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 01, 14:21

Methodology + MJ1/2 comp wk prior to release. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 01, 19:32

Pre-release and post-release are two different things. Where's the MJ1 comp post release? Antibody Dec 02, 11:49

Hopefully my reckless, initial Fri tweet comparison won't put players off (what I consider to be) a useful tool. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 02, 14:39

Final, detailed Nov 27 mea culpa. Lionsgate Studio Fund Dec 03, 12:53





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Buy Max    Sell All    Short Max    Cover All    Radar

Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 432.10 (+0.85)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 10000 234.36 (+1.16)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 10000 234.36 (+1.16)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 6000 137.56 (-0.88)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 299 0.83 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 101 0.83 (0.00)          Backrooms $175M Blockbuster Warr (BACRM.BW) 25000 6.06 (+1.06)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 105.43 (+0.88)          American Psycho (APSYC) 15000 18.96 (+0.01)          American Psycho (APSYC) 15000 18.96 (+0.01)          Artist in Residence (ARTIR) 2497 0.02 (0.00)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 47.03 (+1.44)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 10000 29.44 (+0.02)          I Swear (ISWEA) 502 1.77 (0.00)          Armor Wars (ARMWR) 10000 29.44 (+0.02)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 12.73 (-0.29)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 304.97 (+2.58)          I Swear (ISWEA) 198 1.77 (0.00)          Hexed (HEXED) 11000 121.70 (+0.13)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 299 0.38 (0.00)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 5000 38.19 (+0.06)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 60000 55.96 (-0.66)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 5000 38.19 (+0.06)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Isolate Thief (ISOLT) 99 0.38 (0.00)          Goblin (GBLIN) 1 20.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 20000 304.97 (+2.58)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 3000 189.68 (-0.06)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 99 0.55 (-0.01)          The Lunar Chronicles (LUNAR) 150000 61.15 (+2.89)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 101 0.55 (-0.01)          Goblin (GBLIN) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 5000 137.56 (-0.88)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 299 0.19 (0.00)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 20000 6.18 (-0.01)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 12.73 (-0.29)          Cold War 1994 (CWAR3) 99 0.19 (0.00)          Untitled A24 Horror Film aka Unt (UASTE) 150000 25.11 (+0.69)          John Travolta (JTRAV) 3000 17.43 (-0.01)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.23 (+0.02)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 9.53 (-0.08)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 22.89 (-3.01)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100 51.12 (-0.40)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 22.89 (-3.01)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.35 (-0.04)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 12.73 (-0.29)          Adam Sandler (ASAND) 2000 97.12 (-0.02)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.79 (+0.01)          Minotaur (MNTUR) 101 0.81 (0.00)