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Playing & Trading Strategy

The short everything strategy works best (by far) only if you day/reset trade

Posted by: KaiGee on Nov 28, 21:04 in response to RotoHockey2013MainPort's post Popular Misconception. The ROTO SHORT Strategy works best...

I have examined the data.  I looked at all MST that are under $30 today and existed on November 1st, 935 MST in total.  I looked at the daily price change for each day from Nov 1st to today.

A minimum of 333 (35.6%) went UP in price each day.  1 day 480 (51.3%) of them went up in price.  The average was 387 (41.4%) going up in price every day.

Now let's look at total change in price if you shorted all 935 of these MSTs since Nov 1st.

5 days had a net increase, 21 days had a net decrease.  Total over the 26 days is a net decrease of 161.5.  Average is net decrease of 6.21 a day.

Your suggestion that only 2%-2.5% MSTs in this range (or any range) go up in price on a given day is completely wrong.  Please stop quoting gut feelings as fact.  While the daily trend may be down, it's small compared to the investment.

I'd be happy to send you my data or examine any other criteria you think would be of interest.





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Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 16.25 (-0.07)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 1000 16.25 (-0.07)          Artificial (AIFIC) 5000 21.04 (-0.31)          Gambino (GMBNO) 25000 7.03 (+0.21)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 10000 59.89 (-0.55)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 25000 7.05 (-0.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 71.63 (-0.99)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 71.63 (-0.99)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 5.59 (+0.33)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 6698 155.73 (-0.01)          Gambino (GMBNO) 108309 7.03 (+0.21)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 55000 59.89 (-0.55)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 11786 23.52 (+0.68)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 79600 23.52 (+0.68)          Helena Bonham Carter (HBCAR) 25000 31.96 (-0.12)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 150000 7.05 (-0.05)          Richard Jenkins (RJENK) 25000 30.67 (-0.12)          Suicide by Sunlight (SCBSL) 150000 4.67 (-0.05)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.04 (-0.31)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 8.05 (-0.05)          Robert Schwentke (RSCHW) 25000 51.96 (+0.16)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 58614 23.52 (+0.68)          Oprah Winfrey (OWINF) 25000 49.03 (-0.16)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 12.03 (+0.92)          Robert Rodriguez (RRODR) 25000 19.37 (+0.10)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 79.33 (-0.25)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 125000 12.37 (+0.05)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.87 (-0.20)          Robert Downey Jr. (RDOWN) 25000 219.37 (-0.50)          Rob Riggle (RRIGG) 25000 31.69 (-0.12)          Rob Marshall (RMARS) 25000 173.11 (-0.50)          Rob Delaney (RDELA) 25000 91.70 (+0.50)          Rob Delaney (RDELA) 25000 91.70 (+0.50)          Riz Ahmed (RAHME) 25000 8.70 (+0.10)          Riz Ahmed (RAHME) 25000 8.70 (+0.10)          Ridley Scott (RSCOT) 25000 62.56 (+0.25)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 1 5.59 (+0.33)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 5.59 (+0.33)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.19 (+0.19)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 1 11.51 (-0.02)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.02 (+0.02)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 10000 11.51 (-0.02)          Starman (STARM) 1 16.28 (+0.04)          Starman (STARM) 150000 16.28 (+0.04)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.22 (+0.22)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 1 24.87 (-0.20)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 1 24.87 (-0.20)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.18 (+0.18)          Richard Roxburgh (RROXB) 25000 41.04 (-0.16)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 1 2.10 (+0.03)