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Playing & Trading Strategy

The short everything strategy works best (by far) only if you day/reset trade

Posted by: KaiGee on Nov 28, 21:04 in response to RotoHockey2013MainPort's post Popular Misconception. The ROTO SHORT Strategy works best...

I have examined the data.  I looked at all MST that are under $30 today and existed on November 1st, 935 MST in total.  I looked at the daily price change for each day from Nov 1st to today.

A minimum of 333 (35.6%) went UP in price each day.  1 day 480 (51.3%) of them went up in price.  The average was 387 (41.4%) going up in price every day.

Now let's look at total change in price if you shorted all 935 of these MSTs since Nov 1st.

5 days had a net increase, 21 days had a net decrease.  Total over the 26 days is a net decrease of 161.5.  Average is net decrease of 6.21 a day.

Your suggestion that only 2%-2.5% MSTs in this range (or any range) go up in price on a given day is completely wrong.  Please stop quoting gut feelings as fact.  While the daily trend may be down, it's small compared to the investment.

I'd be happy to send you my data or examine any other criteria you think would be of interest.





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Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 8 128.90 (+0.80)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 30 29.32 (-0.06)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 9 35.47 (+0.25)          Alone at Dawn aka Combat Control (ADAWN) 4 19.91 (+0.02)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 4 44.48 (-0.05)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 1000 19.02 (+2.35)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 162.81 (+0.17)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 149999 13.24 (+1.65)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 1700 9.44 (-0.01)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 5000 548.82 (+0.61)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 200 9.03 (-0.02)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 4 9.03 (-0.02)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 50 163.77 (+0.89)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 4 29.32 (-0.06)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 5 112.69 (-0.36)          The Drama (TDRAM) 35000 22.67 (+0.41)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 4 97.24 (+0.02)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 5 120.48 (+0.37)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 4 169.14 (-0.11)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4 473.90 (+1.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 10010 26.11 (+0.64)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 4 312.48 (+0.50)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 3 35.64 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 9 247.86 (+0.16)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 23.97 (-0.39)          Dune: Part Three aka Dune: Messi (DUNE3) 30000 235.24 (+0.60)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 130 73.08 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 50 88.20 (+0.28)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 5000 213.34 (+0.58)          The Conjuring: First Communion (CNJU5) 4 82.83 (+0.14)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 5 166.74 (-0.53)          Shiver (SHVER) 45 61.49 (-2.66)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 40 30.60 (0.00)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 4 91.96 (+0.01)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 4 133.71 (-0.11)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 19.02 (+2.35)          The Drama (TDRAM) 69000 22.67 (+0.41)          Sender (SENDR) 54119 10.55 (+1.36)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 80 420.83 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 4 307.31 (-1.05)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 4 266.12 (-0.79)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 4 232.60 (+0.67)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 5 229.09 (+0.70)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 850 8.89 (-0.01)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 4 177.45 (-0.16)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 4 239.92 (+0.15)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 20 109.93 (+0.90)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 4 213.34 (+0.58)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 4 140.95 (-0.11)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 5000 239.92 (+0.15)