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Playing & Trading Strategy

The short everything strategy works best (by far) only if you day/reset trade

Posted by: KaiGee on Nov 28, 21:04 in response to RotoHockey2013MainPort's post Popular Misconception. The ROTO SHORT Strategy works best...

I have examined the data.  I looked at all MST that are under $30 today and existed on November 1st, 935 MST in total.  I looked at the daily price change for each day from Nov 1st to today.

A minimum of 333 (35.6%) went UP in price each day.  1 day 480 (51.3%) of them went up in price.  The average was 387 (41.4%) going up in price every day.

Now let's look at total change in price if you shorted all 935 of these MSTs since Nov 1st.

5 days had a net increase, 21 days had a net decrease.  Total over the 26 days is a net decrease of 161.5.  Average is net decrease of 6.21 a day.

Your suggestion that only 2%-2.5% MSTs in this range (or any range) go up in price on a given day is completely wrong.  Please stop quoting gut feelings as fact.  While the daily trend may be down, it's small compared to the investment.

I'd be happy to send you my data or examine any other criteria you think would be of interest.





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Call of Duty (CODUT) 149999 120.79 (+0.73)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Hexed (HEXED) 25000 106.15 (+0.61)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 20.31 (+0.12)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.39 (-0.73)          Single Female (SIFEM) 100000 19.90 (-0.18)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 25000 9.16 (-0.37)          Cameron Winter at Carnegie Hall (CWACH) 150000 1.12 (-0.02)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 25000 4.38 (-0.60)          Best Pancakes in the County (BPITC) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.69 (+0.79)          Photograph 51 (PHO51) 25000 7.73 (+0.51)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 22.09 (-0.01)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.20 (-0.10)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.69 (+0.79)          Jason Schwartzman (JSCHW) 25000 4.20 (-0.10)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 27.03 (+1.39)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.39 (-0.73)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 27.03 (+1.39)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.38 (-0.60)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.39 (-0.73)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.27 (+0.08)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 150000 4.38 (-0.60)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.27 (+0.08)          Single Female (SIFEM) 150000 19.90 (-0.18)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 50000 51.39 (-0.20)          Donkey (DONKE) 25000 159.81 (+0.05)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 20.31 (+0.12)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 206.67 (-0.33)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 89.55 (+0.41)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.69 (+0.79)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 106.15 (+0.61)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 106.33 (+0.33)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.16 (-0.37)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 112869 5.39 (-0.73)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 37131 5.39 (-0.73)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 5.39 (-0.73)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 89087 101.95 (+1.95)          Nasty (NASTY) 50000 16.40 (-0.39)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 100000 22.77 (-0.32)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 100000 5.39 (-0.73)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 49999 5.39 (-0.73)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 101.95 (+1.95)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 25000 9.16 (-0.37)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.19 (-0.94)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 25000 4.38 (-0.60)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.19 (-0.94)          Turpentine (TURPN) 25000 7.69 (+0.79)