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Playing & Trading Strategy

The short everything strategy works best (by far) only if you day/reset trade

Posted by: KaiGee on Nov 28, 21:04 in response to RotoHockey2013MainPort's post Popular Misconception. The ROTO SHORT Strategy works best...

I have examined the data.  I looked at all MST that are under $30 today and existed on November 1st, 935 MST in total.  I looked at the daily price change for each day from Nov 1st to today.

A minimum of 333 (35.6%) went UP in price each day.  1 day 480 (51.3%) of them went up in price.  The average was 387 (41.4%) going up in price every day.

Now let's look at total change in price if you shorted all 935 of these MSTs since Nov 1st.

5 days had a net increase, 21 days had a net decrease.  Total over the 26 days is a net decrease of 161.5.  Average is net decrease of 6.21 a day.

Your suggestion that only 2%-2.5% MSTs in this range (or any range) go up in price on a given day is completely wrong.  Please stop quoting gut feelings as fact.  While the daily trend may be down, it's small compared to the investment.

I'd be happy to send you my data or examine any other criteria you think would be of interest.





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Colony (CLONY) 40000 2.01 (-0.04)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 50000 53.63 (-2.61)          Oceans (OCEN5) 150000 51.09 (-0.12)          Colony (CLONY) 10000 2.01 (-0.04)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 50000 53.63 (-2.61)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.31 (+0.31)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 50000 53.63 (-2.61)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.83 (-0.07)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 40000 1.10 (-0.03)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.83 (-0.07)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 24.80 (+0.20)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.58 (+1.07)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.58 (+1.07)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 10000 1.10 (-0.03)          Lice (LICE) 10000 4.31 (+0.31)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 150000 24.43 (+0.01)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 1000 19.15 (+0.95)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 412.64 (+3.35)          Lice (LICE) 40000 4.31 (+0.31)          Moana (MOAN1) 68230 236.09 (-2.57)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 82.32 (+0.25)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 54.76 (+0.20)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 15000 39.00 (-0.24)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 115437 142.44 (+3.71)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 150000 7.21 (+0.05)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 10000 39.00 (-0.24)          Last Friday (FRID4) 150000 7.18 (+0.02)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 5.84 (-0.07)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 244.49 (+0.50)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 150000 161.65 (+0.56)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.63 (+0.30)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 150000 40.85 (+0.79)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.63 (+0.30)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 18.65 (+0.01)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 150000 85.51 (+0.88)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 150000 32.30 (+0.23)          Clayface (CLAYF) 45678 90.70 (+0.58)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 196.57 (+0.54)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 150000 59.15 (-0.10)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.11 (+1.11)          Hadestown: The Musical (HDSTW) 150000 7.34 (+0.03)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 11.11 (+1.11)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 150000 156.81 (+0.22)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 59.45 (+0.10)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 50000 19.15 (+0.95)          One Night Only (ONTON) 10000 24.79 (-0.04)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 50000 19.15 (+0.95)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 316.68 (+0.23)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 50000 19.15 (+0.95)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 71505 19.15 (+0.95)