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Playing & Trading Strategy

The short everything strategy works best (by far) only if you day/reset trade

Posted by: KaiGee on Nov 28, 21:04 in response to RotoHockey2013MainPort's post Popular Misconception. The ROTO SHORT Strategy works best...

I have examined the data.  I looked at all MST that are under $30 today and existed on November 1st, 935 MST in total.  I looked at the daily price change for each day from Nov 1st to today.

A minimum of 333 (35.6%) went UP in price each day.  1 day 480 (51.3%) of them went up in price.  The average was 387 (41.4%) going up in price every day.

Now let's look at total change in price if you shorted all 935 of these MSTs since Nov 1st.

5 days had a net increase, 21 days had a net decrease.  Total over the 26 days is a net decrease of 161.5.  Average is net decrease of 6.21 a day.

Your suggestion that only 2%-2.5% MSTs in this range (or any range) go up in price on a given day is completely wrong.  Please stop quoting gut feelings as fact.  While the daily trend may be down, it's small compared to the investment.

I'd be happy to send you my data or examine any other criteria you think would be of interest.





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The Catch (TCATC) 10000 58.59 (+4.60)          Oceans (OCEN5) 149975 47.34 (+0.44)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 149975 35.24 (+0.09)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 14.48 (+1.19)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 14.48 (+1.19)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.12 (+0.64)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.12 (+0.64)          Rothko (ROTHK) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Tony (TONY) 150000 15.55 (+2.61)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 80000 45.00 (+0.22)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 14.48 (+1.19)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 14.48 (+1.19)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 100.38 (-1.19)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 58.59 (+4.60)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 58.59 (+4.60)          Them (THEM) 150000 41.38 (+1.38)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 153.12 (+0.99)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 199.82 (-6.28)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 158.65 (-1.78)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 199.82 (-6.28)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 14581 153.12 (+0.99)          Moana (MOAN1) 20000 226.61 (-1.53)          White Elephant (WELEP) 1 18.00 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 199.82 (-6.28)          Them (THEM) 150000 41.38 (+1.38)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 148235 52.74 (+0.65)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.12 (+0.64)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.12 (+0.64)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.93 (+1.83)          April X (APRLX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 149989 71.63 (-0.84)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 42862 545.27 (+0.76)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 11 71.63 (-0.84)          In the Grey (NGREY) 149999 18.85 (-0.01)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 150000 5.92 (+0.17)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.44 (+0.40)          Fantasy Life (FNTLF) 150000 0.55 (+0.03)          Fantasy Life (FNTLF) 150000 0.55 (+0.03)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 135402 153.12 (+0.99)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 7.48 (+0.59)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 149999 10.12 (+0.64)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 149999 13.93 (+1.83)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 58.59 (+4.60)          White Elephant (WELEP) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Charlotte Rampling (CRAMP) 25000 53.62 (-0.16)