HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

The next adjust price for StarBonds can be accurately predicted (inside)

Posted by: Nobody (a.k.a psisson) on Aug 07, 14:38 in response to Coachv's post Anyone Have a Pet Strategy On Bonds?

Determining the Estimated Adjust Price (EAP) of a StarBond:


1). Find all movies to which the starbond is attached.

 

 

2). Order the attached movies by release date.


3). Determine the next movie(s) to be added to the TAG based on the movie delist date(s).

  a). Wide releases delist after 4 weeks in release. Limited releases delist after 12 weeks in release.

  b). If two or more movies delist on the same day (the next delist date), all of them will be added to the TAG; otherwise the next movie to delist will be added to the TAG.


4). Determine the movies to be dropped from the TAG based on the release date of each movie in the TAG.

  a). Determine the movie with the earliest release date.

  b). If, on the earliest release date, two or more movies share the same release date, the movie(s) with the lowest gross will be removed first.


5). Add the new movie(s) to the TAG, and remove movies in excess of 5 from the TAG based on the calculations in step 4.


6). Calculate the gross of each movie in the new TAG.

  a). For movies not yet delisted, use the current or projected price of the stock in place of the gross. Multiply the price by 1 million.

  b). The maximum allowable gross for each movie is 250 million.


7). Divide the total gross of movies in the TAG by a divisor determined by the number of movies in the TAG.

  a). If 5 movies in TAG: divisor = 5

  b). If 4 movies in TAG: divisor = 4

  c). If 3 movies in TAG: divisor = 3

  d). If 2 movies in TAG: divisor = 3

  e). StarBonds do not adjust in price for the first film in TAG, or for films which do not report box office to ERC.


The result is the Estimated Adjust Price.

Anyone Have a Pet Strategy On Bonds? Coachv Aug 07, 14:06

The next adjust price for StarBonds can be accurately predicted (inside) Nobody Aug 07, 14:38

That's only true when the next movie has been released. Beyond that, the date, the next movie and its box office are all subject to change. {nm} Antibody Aug 08, 11:07

That's why I used words like "predict" and "estimate". Boy you really have a problem with me {nm} Nobody Aug 09, 01:34

You used the word "accurately". {nm} Antibody Aug 09, 08:51

Only strategy is to figure out how much dROI you want to earn... ndmaster Aug 07, 16:27

Visit my HSX helper site. KaiGee Aug 07, 19:06

+1 {nm} ndmaster Aug 07, 19:54

+17,836 {nm} MattW Aug 07, 22:26

That is a suspiciously specific number.... {nm} DTravel Aug 08, 11:07

The number of times I've visited kaigee so far :o {nm} MattW Aug 08, 18:25

O_o Obsessive-Compulsive much? DTravel Aug 08, 19:40

on this side of the spectrum you have MattW <-------------------------------------------------> on this side of the spectrum you have laujer {nm} RazorHawk Aug 09, 18:27

Since spectrums like that are usually circular, that must mean MattW and laujer are at least brothers, if not Siamese. {nm} DTravel Aug 09, 21:46

It's a lot of work, keeping this updated...we appreciate your efforts, too! {nm} Flash Aug 08, 07:42

Try to maintain a data base of Star Bonds and their tags. If you are interested my email is available {nm} laujer Aug 08, 08:54

WHy? Why do all that work that has already been automated and done for you? ndmaster Aug 08, 16:17

... because bond sites have poofed in the past when gatekeepers no longer have the time ... BC Aug 09, 19:14

You know the shortcut, right? {nm} ndmaster Aug 10, 13:28





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Karl Urban (KURBA) 25000 108.90 (+1.00)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 23.40 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 1.68 (+0.11)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.68)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 25000 127.12 (+1.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.80 (+0.65)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.74 (-0.19)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.74 (-0.19)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.87 (+1.07)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.61 (-0.41)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.61 (-0.41)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 4.24 (-0.33)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 1 4.24 (-0.33)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.13 (-0.45)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.13 (-0.45)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.12 (-1.24)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.97 (+1.97)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.87 (+1.07)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 500 14.47 (+1.33)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 500 21.97 (+1.97)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 13.38 (+1.07)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 149999 13.38 (+1.07)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.87 (+1.07)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.68)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 216.66 (+6.48)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 216.66 (+6.48)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.80 (+0.65)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.13 (-0.45)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 23.40 (0.00)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 4.20 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 500 9.55 (-0.01)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 1000 4.95 (-0.25)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 3000 5.92 (-0.40)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 3000 3.14 (-0.08)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 150000 4.20 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.80 (-0.68)          Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man (PEKBL) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 100 23.40 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.87 (+1.07)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.87 (+1.07)          Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man (PEKBL) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 10000 9.19 (0.00)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 10000 9.19 (0.00)          Ma 2 (MA2) 10000 15.81 (-0.06)          In the Grey (NGREY) 474 20.95 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 19999 1.80 (-0.68)          Ma 2 (MA2) 10000 15.81 (-0.06)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 10000 4.43 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 216.66 (+6.48)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 24999 4.80 (+0.65)