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Playing & Trading Strategy
That 'delist below 61' claim looks profoundly stupid today. But who needs insight when you have belligerent confidence? {nm}
Posted by: SenJohnBlutarsky on Oct 29, 10:09
in response to RotoHockeyYTD2014's post Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>.
Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>.
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 23, 18:46
Thank you
{nm}
kibitzer
Oct 24, 09:20
HALW4 3rd weekend over Halloween was only -40%, so HALW5 may only be -50% (HALW5 2nd weekend was -10% worse than than HALW4)
Antibody
Oct 24, 13:55
(HALW5) Week 2 just 14.1 MILL. Even with (-60%) Drops Week 3 = 5.64 & Week 4 = 2.26 Delist CashOut = 62.00. Stick a Fork in it - It's Done.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 24, 15:16
(HALW4) OW = 49.4 & Week 2 = 73.0 - 49.4 = 23.6. HALW5 Week 2 / HALW4 Week 2 = 14.1 / 23.6 = 59.7% = (-40.3%) Worse than HALW4 Week 2.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 24, 18:21
No Idea where you got your Horribly Incorrect Info from. (HALW5) 2nd Weekend 8.0 / (HALW4) 2nd Weekend 14.45 = (55.3%) = (-44.7%) WORSE.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 24, 23:32
I provided the source.. I'm citing HALW4's weekend drops, not dividing HALW5 by HALW4.
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 25, 07:40
HALW5 second weekend drop -80% vs. HALW4's second weekend -70% (so roughly -10% worse)
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 25, 07:46
Therefore, HALW5 3rd weekend drop may only be 50% compared to HALW4's 40%
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 25, 07:48
That's meaningless info.
{nm}
RotoHockey 2014
Oct 25, 07:49
Historical comp is meaningless? What's your rationale for 70% drop?
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 25, 14:27
Meaningless without Delist CashOut Projections - which the ROTO Posts provided for both (-70%) Drops & (-60%) Drops with Calculations (MATH)
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 26, 00:37
HALW5 declined 52% in its 3rd weekend to a running total of $60.3M. I show traders how to estimate delists instead of following blindly.
Antibody
Oct 30, 09:06
Week 3 was a -56% Drop from Week 2. (HALW5) was 74.05 on the OCT. 23 ROTO Post which ACCURATELY Projected (HALW5) to DIVE-BOMB.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 11:51
WRONG. HALW5 was trading at H$68.5 at the time of your post on Oct 23.
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 30, 14:15
Post was started when (HALW5) was 74.05. (HALW5) started October 23, 2022 at 71.75. You can look it up.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 15:02
The ROTO Projections showed Traders how to Calculate Delist CashOuts. -56% Drop is Closer to a -60% Drop than to a -50% Drop.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 11:56
WRONG. Roto projections showed -70% -70% to a delist of 59.63.
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 30, 14:17
Headline showed 61.00 Delist CashOut. Also Posted -60% Drops with 62.00 Delist CashOut.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 15:10
To meet your -50% Drops Prediction, (HALW5) needs to have a Week4 HOLD of -70.5% (64.675 - 60.3 / 6.2. That's a Week 4 DROP of -29.5%.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 15:12
That should be +70.5% HOLD with a -29.5% DROP to meet 64.675 Delist CashOut. Current Price 65.96.
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 15:16
You're misreading my post. I only said 50% for the 3rd weekend drop. Actual 3rd weekend drop -49%
{nm}
Antibody
Oct 31, 19:33
The Week Box Office is vastly more important than the Weekend Box Office (1/2 the story). You should have Posted Delist CashOut Projections.
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Nov 01, 06:49
Quit while you're behind. {nm}
SenJohnBlutarsky
Nov 01, 16:30
Had you Posted Delist CashOut Projections for -50% Drops (Week 3 - 7.05 Week 4 - 3.525) = 54.1 + 7.05 + 3.525 = 64.675 MASSIVELY BELOW 74.05
{nm}
RotoHockeyYTD2014
Oct 30, 12:00
That 'delist below 61' claim looks profoundly stupid today. But who needs insight when you have belligerent confidence? {nm}
SenJohnBlutarsky
Oct 29, 10:09
Its not confidence
{nm}
Moviesnob
Oct 30, 13:22
