HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Post was started when (HALW5) was 74.05. (HALW5) started October 23, 2022 at 71.75. You can look it up. {nm}

Posted by: RotoHockeyYTD2014 on Oct 30, 15:02 in response to Antibody's post WRONG. HALW5 was trading at H$68.5 at the time of your...

Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 23, 18:46

Thank you {nm} kibitzer Oct 24, 09:20

HALW4 3rd weekend over Halloween was only -40%, so HALW5 may only be -50% (HALW5 2nd weekend was -10% worse than than HALW4) Antibody Oct 24, 13:55

(HALW5) Week 2 just 14.1 MILL. Even with (-60%) Drops Week 3 = 5.64 & Week 4 = 2.26 Delist CashOut = 62.00. Stick a Fork in it - It's Done. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 15:16

(HALW4) OW = 49.4 & Week 2 = 73.0 - 49.4 = 23.6. HALW5 Week 2 / HALW4 Week 2 = 14.1 / 23.6 = 59.7% = (-40.3%) Worse than HALW4 Week 2. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 18:21

No Idea where you got your Horribly Incorrect Info from. (HALW5) 2nd Weekend 8.0 / (HALW4) 2nd Weekend 14.45 = (55.3%) = (-44.7%) WORSE. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 23:32

I provided the source.. I'm citing HALW4's weekend drops, not dividing HALW5 by HALW4. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:40

HALW5 second weekend drop -80% vs. HALW4's second weekend -70% (so roughly -10% worse) {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:46

Therefore, HALW5 3rd weekend drop may only be 50% compared to HALW4's 40% {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:48

That's meaningless info. {nm} RotoHockey 2014 Oct 25, 07:49

Historical comp is meaningless? What's your rationale for 70% drop? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:27

Meaningless without Delist CashOut Projections - which the ROTO Posts provided for both (-70%) Drops & (-60%) Drops with Calculations (MATH) {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 26, 00:37

HALW5 declined 52% in its 3rd weekend to a running total of $60.3M. I show traders how to estimate delists instead of following blindly. Antibody Oct 30, 09:06

Week 3 was a -56% Drop from Week 2. (HALW5) was 74.05 on the OCT. 23 ROTO Post which ACCURATELY Projected (HALW5) to DIVE-BOMB. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:51

WRONG. HALW5 was trading at H$68.5 at the time of your post on Oct 23. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:15

Post was started when (HALW5) was 74.05. (HALW5) started October 23, 2022 at 71.75. You can look it up. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:02

The ROTO Projections showed Traders how to Calculate Delist CashOuts. -56% Drop is Closer to a -60% Drop than to a -50% Drop. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:56

WRONG. Roto projections showed -70% -70% to a delist of 59.63. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:17

Headline showed 61.00 Delist CashOut. Also Posted -60% Drops with 62.00 Delist CashOut. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:10

To meet your -50% Drops Prediction, (HALW5) needs to have a Week4 HOLD of -70.5% (64.675 - 60.3 / 6.2. That's a Week 4 DROP of -29.5%. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:12

That should be +70.5% HOLD with a -29.5% DROP to meet 64.675 Delist CashOut. Current Price 65.96. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:16

You're misreading my post. I only said 50% for the 3rd weekend drop. Actual 3rd weekend drop -49% {nm} Antibody Oct 31, 19:33

The Week Box Office is vastly more important than the Weekend Box Office (1/2 the story). You should have Posted Delist CashOut Projections. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 01, 06:49

Quit while you're behind. {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Nov 01, 16:30

Had you Posted Delist CashOut Projections for -50% Drops (Week 3 - 7.05 Week 4 - 3.525) = 54.1 + 7.05 + 3.525 = 64.675 MASSIVELY BELOW 74.05 {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 12:00

That 'delist below 61' claim looks profoundly stupid today. But who needs insight when you have belligerent confidence? {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Oct 29, 10:09

Its not confidence {nm} Moviesnob Oct 30, 13:22





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10000 260.05 (+1.01)          The Get Out aka Bear Country (BEARC) 150000 5.96 (+0.23)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 1 11.15 (+1.22)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 50000 195.42 (+0.53)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 27237 41.42 (-0.73)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 60000 11.15 (+1.22)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 5000 206.39 (+1.53)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 15000 206.39 (+1.53)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 67.13 (+0.25)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 67.13 (+0.25)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.87 (+1.50)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 27.02 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 1 45.40 (-0.58)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 27.02 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day - Opening Weekend (SKIES.OW) 1 45.40 (-0.58)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.70 (-0.58)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 147.70 (+0.44)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 13.11 (+0.07)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 75000 135.70 (-0.58)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 15000 306.87 (+0.43)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 25000 130.69 (-0.22)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 75000 135.70 (-0.58)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 25000 228.54 (+0.25)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 6.87 (+1.50)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 150000 13.80 (-1.20)          Welcome to the Jungle (WLCM3) 100000 0.71 (-0.09)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 166.85 (-0.91)          John Malkovich (JMALK) 25000 5.18 (-0.10)          The Origin of the World (TOOTW) 50001 13.80 (-1.20)          John Malkovich (JMALK) 25000 5.18 (-0.10)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.70 (-0.58)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 135.70 (-0.58)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 75000 135.70 (-0.58)          Jackass: Best and Last H$15 Put (JCKA6.PU) 25000 2.07 (-0.06)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 32228 146.51 (-0.73)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 18 0.65 (+0.01)          Bermuda (BTRIA) 18 0.65 (+0.01)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 11.15 (+1.22)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 75000 135.70 (-0.58)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150 14.02 (0.00)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 190 10.20 (0.00)          Al Pacino (APACI) 25000 37.82 (-0.25)          Al Pacino (APACI) 25000 37.82 (-0.25)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 8 206.39 (+1.53)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 95.09 (-0.49)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 95.09 (-0.49)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 3 7.96 (+0.01)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 190 8.55 (-0.01)          Voltron (VOLTN) 60 20.67 (-0.06)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 6.15 (+0.10)