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Historical comp is meaningless? What's your rationale for 70% drop? {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Oct 25, 14:27 in response to RotoHockey 2014's post That's meaningless info.

Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 23, 18:46

Thank you {nm} kibitzer Oct 24, 09:20

HALW4 3rd weekend over Halloween was only -40%, so HALW5 may only be -50% (HALW5 2nd weekend was -10% worse than than HALW4) Antibody Oct 24, 13:55

(HALW5) Week 2 just 14.1 MILL. Even with (-60%) Drops Week 3 = 5.64 & Week 4 = 2.26 Delist CashOut = 62.00. Stick a Fork in it - It's Done. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 15:16

(HALW4) OW = 49.4 & Week 2 = 73.0 - 49.4 = 23.6. HALW5 Week 2 / HALW4 Week 2 = 14.1 / 23.6 = 59.7% = (-40.3%) Worse than HALW4 Week 2. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 18:21

No Idea where you got your Horribly Incorrect Info from. (HALW5) 2nd Weekend 8.0 / (HALW4) 2nd Weekend 14.45 = (55.3%) = (-44.7%) WORSE. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 23:32

I provided the source.. I'm citing HALW4's weekend drops, not dividing HALW5 by HALW4. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:40

HALW5 second weekend drop -80% vs. HALW4's second weekend -70% (so roughly -10% worse) {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:46

Therefore, HALW5 3rd weekend drop may only be 50% compared to HALW4's 40% {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:48

That's meaningless info. {nm} RotoHockey 2014 Oct 25, 07:49

Historical comp is meaningless? What's your rationale for 70% drop? Antibody Oct 25, 14:27

Meaningless without Delist CashOut Projections - which the ROTO Posts provided for both (-70%) Drops & (-60%) Drops with Calculations (MATH) {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 26, 00:37

HALW5 declined 52% in its 3rd weekend to a running total of $60.3M. I show traders how to estimate delists instead of following blindly. Antibody Oct 30, 09:06

Week 3 was a -56% Drop from Week 2. (HALW5) was 74.05 on the OCT. 23 ROTO Post which ACCURATELY Projected (HALW5) to DIVE-BOMB. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:51

WRONG. HALW5 was trading at H$68.5 at the time of your post on Oct 23. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:15

Post was started when (HALW5) was 74.05. (HALW5) started October 23, 2022 at 71.75. You can look it up. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:02

The ROTO Projections showed Traders how to Calculate Delist CashOuts. -56% Drop is Closer to a -60% Drop than to a -50% Drop. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:56

WRONG. Roto projections showed -70% -70% to a delist of 59.63. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:17

Headline showed 61.00 Delist CashOut. Also Posted -60% Drops with 62.00 Delist CashOut. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:10

To meet your -50% Drops Prediction, (HALW5) needs to have a Week4 HOLD of -70.5% (64.675 - 60.3 / 6.2. That's a Week 4 DROP of -29.5%. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:12

That should be +70.5% HOLD with a -29.5% DROP to meet 64.675 Delist CashOut. Current Price 65.96. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:16

You're misreading my post. I only said 50% for the 3rd weekend drop. Actual 3rd weekend drop -49% {nm} Antibody Oct 31, 19:33

The Week Box Office is vastly more important than the Weekend Box Office (1/2 the story). You should have Posted Delist CashOut Projections. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 01, 06:49

Quit while you're behind. {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Nov 01, 16:30

Had you Posted Delist CashOut Projections for -50% Drops (Week 3 - 7.05 Week 4 - 3.525) = 54.1 + 7.05 + 3.525 = 64.675 MASSIVELY BELOW 74.05 {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 12:00

That 'delist below 61' claim looks profoundly stupid today. But who needs insight when you have belligerent confidence? {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Oct 29, 10:09

Its not confidence {nm} Moviesnob Oct 30, 13:22





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