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Playing & Trading Strategy

Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>.

Posted by: RotoHockeyYTD2014 on Oct 23, 18:46

1. (SMILE) 79.29 should Delist CashOut on Monday at around 84.30.


2. (HALW5) 74.05 is a Dead Duck Dropping an Estimated -80% & with -70% Drops should Delist CashOut Under 61.00.

Oct 21 Friday 4 $2,480,000 +144.3% -87.8% 3,901 $635 $48,657,440 8
Oct 22 Saturday 4 $3,410,000 +37.5% -73.8% 3,901 $874 $52,067,440 9
Oct 23 Sunday 4 $2,110,000 -38.1% -68.2% 3,901 $540 $54,177,440 10

Week 3 = +4.20 (-70%) = 58.37.

Week 4 = +1.26 (-70%) = 59.63.


3. Lyle Lyle SprocketDial (LYLEC) 39.66 should Delist CashOut next Monday (Oct.31) at around 32.30

Oct 21 Friday 5 $1,175,000 +201.2% -41.6% 3,536 $332 $25,687,851 15
Oct 22 Saturday 5 $1,880,000 +60% -42.6% 3,536 $531 $27,567,851 16
Oct 23 Sunday 5 $1,145,000 -39.1% -44.6% 3,536 $323 $28,712,851 17

Week 4 = +3.60 (-40% Drop) = 32.30.


4. (AMSTR) 16.90 is a Dead Duck Dropping (-70%) & should delist CashOut next Monday (OCT.31) at around 14.40.

Oct 21 Friday 9 $257,000 +36.1% -71.4% 1,750 $146 $13,362,565 15
Oct 22 Saturday 9 $357,000 +38.9% -69.7% 1,750 $204 $13,719,565 16
Oct 23 Sunday 9 $204,000 -42.9% -70.2% 1,750 $116 $13,923,565 17

Week 4 = +0.48 (-70%) = 14.40.


5. (TRFEDS) 16.28 should Delist CashOut at 22.00.

https://tvline.com/2022/10/21/the-rookie-feds-full-season-1-order-22-episodes-abc/

Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 23, 18:46

Thank you {nm} kibitzer Oct 24, 09:20

HALW4 3rd weekend over Halloween was only -40%, so HALW5 may only be -50% (HALW5 2nd weekend was -10% worse than than HALW4) Antibody Oct 24, 13:55

(HALW5) Week 2 just 14.1 MILL. Even with (-60%) Drops Week 3 = 5.64 & Week 4 = 2.26 Delist CashOut = 62.00. Stick a Fork in it - It's Done. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 15:16

(HALW4) OW = 49.4 & Week 2 = 73.0 - 49.4 = 23.6. HALW5 Week 2 / HALW4 Week 2 = 14.1 / 23.6 = 59.7% = (-40.3%) Worse than HALW4 Week 2. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 18:21

No Idea where you got your Horribly Incorrect Info from. (HALW5) 2nd Weekend 8.0 / (HALW4) 2nd Weekend 14.45 = (55.3%) = (-44.7%) WORSE. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 23:32

I provided the source.. I'm citing HALW4's weekend drops, not dividing HALW5 by HALW4. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:40

HALW5 second weekend drop -80% vs. HALW4's second weekend -70% (so roughly -10% worse) {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:46

Therefore, HALW5 3rd weekend drop may only be 50% compared to HALW4's 40% {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:48

That's meaningless info. {nm} RotoHockey 2014 Oct 25, 07:49

Historical comp is meaningless? What's your rationale for 70% drop? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:27

Meaningless without Delist CashOut Projections - which the ROTO Posts provided for both (-70%) Drops & (-60%) Drops with Calculations (MATH) {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 26, 00:37

HALW5 declined 52% in its 3rd weekend to a running total of $60.3M. I show traders how to estimate delists instead of following blindly. Antibody Oct 30, 09:06

Week 3 was a -56% Drop from Week 2. (HALW5) was 74.05 on the OCT. 23 ROTO Post which ACCURATELY Projected (HALW5) to DIVE-BOMB. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:51

WRONG. HALW5 was trading at H$68.5 at the time of your post on Oct 23. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:15

Post was started when (HALW5) was 74.05. (HALW5) started October 23, 2022 at 71.75. You can look it up. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:02

The ROTO Projections showed Traders how to Calculate Delist CashOuts. -56% Drop is Closer to a -60% Drop than to a -50% Drop. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:56

WRONG. Roto projections showed -70% -70% to a delist of 59.63. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:17

Headline showed 61.00 Delist CashOut. Also Posted -60% Drops with 62.00 Delist CashOut. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:10

To meet your -50% Drops Prediction, (HALW5) needs to have a Week4 HOLD of -70.5% (64.675 - 60.3 / 6.2. That's a Week 4 DROP of -29.5%. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:12

That should be +70.5% HOLD with a -29.5% DROP to meet 64.675 Delist CashOut. Current Price 65.96. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:16

You're misreading my post. I only said 50% for the 3rd weekend drop. Actual 3rd weekend drop -49% {nm} Antibody Oct 31, 19:33

The Week Box Office is vastly more important than the Weekend Box Office (1/2 the story). You should have Posted Delist CashOut Projections. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 01, 06:49

Quit while you're behind. {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Nov 01, 16:30

Had you Posted Delist CashOut Projections for -50% Drops (Week 3 - 7.05 Week 4 - 3.525) = 54.1 + 7.05 + 3.525 = 64.675 MASSIVELY BELOW 74.05 {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 12:00

That 'delist below 61' claim looks profoundly stupid today. But who needs insight when you have belligerent confidence? {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Oct 29, 10:09

Its not confidence {nm} Moviesnob Oct 30, 13:22





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