HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Reply Topic List All Forums

The ROTO-Projected Delist CashOut For 'BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER (BPNT2) 430.76 Should Be Around 366.45. <MATH INSIDE>.

Posted by: RotoHockeyYTD2014 on Nov 22, 00:38

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3573908993/?ref_=bo_tt_gr_1

Nov 11	Friday	1	$84,285,721	-	-	4,396	$19,173	$84,285,721	1
Nov 12	Saturday	1	$56,131,051	-33.4%	-	4,396	$12,768	$140,416,772	2
Nov 13	Sunday	1	$40,922,989	-27.1%	-	4,396	$9,309	$181,339,761	3
Nov 14	Monday	1	$11,125,499	-72.8%	-	4,396	$2,530	$192,465,260	4
Nov 15	Tuesday	1	$12,636,707	+13.6%	-	4,396	$2,874	$205,101,967	5
Nov 16	Wednesday	1	$8,110,601	-35.8%	-	4,396	$1,844	$213,212,568	6
Nov 17	Thursday	1	$7,480,079	-7.8%	-	4,396	$1,701	$220,692,647	7
Nov 18	Friday	1	$17,999,138	+140.6%	-78.6%	4,396	$4,094	$238,691,785	8
Nov 19	Saturday	1	$28,772,668	+59.9%	-48.7%	4,396	$6,545	$267,464,453	9
Nov 20	Sunday	1	$19,710,460	-31.5%	-51.8%	4,396	$4,483	$287,174,913	10

WEEK 2 - WEEK 1 = 287.1 - 181.3 = 105.8

WEEK 3 = 50% HOLD & -50% DROP = 52.9

WEEK 4 = 50% HOLD & -50% DROP = 26.45

DELIST CASHOUT = 287.1 + 52.9 + 26.45 = 366.45

Possibly even Worse:

WEEK 3 = 40% HOLD & -60% DROP = 42.32

WEEK 4 = 40% HOLD & -60% DROP = 16.93

DELIST CASHOUT = 287.1 + 42.32 + 16.93 = 346.35

The ROTO-Projected Delist CashOut For 'BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER (BPNT2) 430.76 Should Be Around 366.45. <MATH INSIDE>. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 22, 00:38

Smack-Down Time For 267.2 Million Shares LONG Of (BPNT2) At 430.76 Even With A 70% HOLD & -30% DROP For Weeks 3 & 4 - Delist CashOut 413.00. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 22, 00:45

A spread from 366 to 413. You should just wait until after weekend 3 to do your delist projections. {nm} Antibody Nov 23, 08:46

Both say SMACK-DOWN. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 23, 10:44

A stock either delist above or below its current price. Everyone can pick the right direction on BPNT2. It's how close one gets to the final Antibody Nov 23, 12:34

Everyone Can't Pick the Right Direction for (BPNT2). That's why 267.2 Million Shares LONG will be Taking a SMACKDOWN up the Wazoo. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 23, 20:08

Many of those account are inactive. As I explained, it's no longer profitable if the delist is around 420. {nm} Antibody Nov 24, 08:28

Are you really saying 52.9M for Monday through Sunday this week? You have got to be joking {nm} Peter453 Nov 22, 01:46

Its Thanksgiving week and the numbers will reflect that. {nm} Peter453 Nov 22, 01:47

I am expecting 65M + for the week (at least) and more like 75. {nm} Peter453 Nov 22, 01:53

The 70% HOLD & -30% DROP for Week 3 is 74.06. Still a SMACK-DOWN. The SMACK-DOWN includes a 70% HOLD & -30% DROP for Week 4. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 22, 02:07

What is your Projection for Week 4? {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 22, 02:47

I think something around 410 at the 4 week mark. {nm} Peter453 Nov 22, 14:49