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Movies

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. {nm}

Posted by: TheWeekendWarrior on Jan 10, 15:28 in response to Oleg Max's post i guess you would need to support your claim by providing...

Another sign pointing to wide release, new [IRNLD] posterwith Friday's date. Antibody Jan 10, 13:34

What's the mult for a limited release expanding wide? 2.5? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:36

... I mean, over a four-day weekend, of course. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:37

Multipliers are based on historical average. Without any data, we default to 2.2*Box Office Friday-Monday {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:41

+ Previous B.O> {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:42

Yay! I was right! :D {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:42

what about ltd -> to exp 3.0 deal? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:42

Hmm, I suppose we could use 3.0 without the box office for Monday. That may come closer to the delist pirce. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:48

Delist price is determined by how well a film is received by the movie-going public, not by the adjust. Jus' sayin'. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:51

maybe the adjust mult needs to be determined by a combination of CinemaScore and RottenTomato scores then:) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:57

So then DVNSD's adjust should've been -175? :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:58

The multipliers came from the actual delist price divided opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:05

The point of the Adjust to bring the price closer to the delist price by using a multiplier that's the average of all films. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:06

I'm finding that movies generally have better legs now than they did ten years ago so would HSX consider upping the mult accordingly? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:17

i guess you would need to support your claim by providing hard data.... whole reason why mult dropped from 2.9 to 2.8 to 2.7 is because Oleg Max Jan 10, 14:27

The histrorical data through 2010 has shown a downward trend towards 2.6. Haven't looked at 2011. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:33

with horror films typically 2.0 delist, and animated fam films 3.5, time to go to seperate mults? i mean if we're changing everything :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 14:35

re:islander, or no adjust at all. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:39

Re: DMac, if there's no adjust, that will lessen the traffic to your site, and also lessen the amount of players in this fine game. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 14:44

I think 2011 will show it evening out.. although I guess movies like Twilight are going to screw things up. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:37

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 15:28

as long as you'll receive a 3 day est from ERC, that should work, right? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:51

i dont understand why this comes up *every* time theres an odd weekend. glossary and calender are your friend and mistress :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:49

nevermind :/ {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:53

what are we getting for a multiplier, pls? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:38

I'm fairly certain it will be Previous BO + 2.2 * Fri-Mon. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:39





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Perfect (PFECT) 1 2.20 (+0.02)          Last Days Of John Allen Chau (LDJAC) 1 2.51 (+0.01)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 82.82 (+0.95)          Olivia Colman (OCOLM) 25000 82.82 (+0.95)          Anora (ANORA) 1 4.25 (+0.08)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 1 3.08 (+0.01)          David Leitch (DLEIT) 25000 142.26 (0.00)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 1 1.60 (+0.01)          David Leitch (DLEIT) 25000 142.26 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Pu (STRN3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 5.00 (0.00)          Take My Hand (TAKMH) 1 1.32 (+0.02)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 1 1.88 (+0.01)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 1 1.87 (+0.04)          Justice (JUSTC) 1 0.86 (+0.01)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 1 5.47 (+2.03)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 1 4.78 (+0.05)          The Creed of Violence (CREDV) 1 0.88 (+0.02)          CI-34 (CI34) 1 0.83 (+0.01)          Universe’s Most Wanted (UNIMW) 1 2.82 (0.00)          The Man in My Basement (TMIMB) 1 4.26 (+0.02)          Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 1 2.92 (+0.02)          Sacramento (SACTO) 1 2.78 (+0.02)          Love Me (LOVME) 1 2.72 (+0.01)          Cailee Spaeny (CSPAE) 25000 30.59 (-0.62)          Cailee Spaeny (CSPAE) 25000 30.59 (-0.62)          Fancy Dance (FNCYD) 1 0.38 (+0.01)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 53.74 (-1.16)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 53.74 (-1.16)          Lena Dunham (LDUNH) 25000 40.83 (-0.83)          Lena Dunham (LDUNH) 25000 40.83 (-0.83)          Untitled Martin McDonagh Project (UMAMC) 1 2.22 (+0.02)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 80.39 (-0.75)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 80.39 (-0.75)          Wes Ball (WBALL) 25000 92.78 (-2.22)          Wes Ball (WBALL) 25000 92.78 (-2.22)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 149.52 (-1.00)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 149.52 (-1.00)          Sting (STNG) 149999 1.73 (-0.06)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Pu (STRN3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          IF H$50 Put (IMGNF.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)