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Yay! I was right! :D {nm}

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a ) on Jan 10, 13:42 in response to Antibody's post + Previous B.O>

Another sign pointing to wide release, new [IRNLD] posterwith Friday's date. Antibody Jan 10, 13:34

What's the mult for a limited release expanding wide? 2.5? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:36

... I mean, over a four-day weekend, of course. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:37

Multipliers are based on historical average. Without any data, we default to 2.2*Box Office Friday-Monday {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:41

+ Previous B.O> {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:42

Yay! I was right! :D accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:42

what about ltd -> to exp 3.0 deal? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:42

Hmm, I suppose we could use 3.0 without the box office for Monday. That may come closer to the delist pirce. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 13:48

Delist price is determined by how well a film is received by the movie-going public, not by the adjust. Jus' sayin'. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:51

maybe the adjust mult needs to be determined by a combination of CinemaScore and RottenTomato scores then:) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 13:57

So then DVNSD's adjust should've been -175? :P {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:58

The multipliers came from the actual delist price divided opening weekend. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:05

The point of the Adjust to bring the price closer to the delist price by using a multiplier that's the average of all films. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:06

I'm finding that movies generally have better legs now than they did ten years ago so would HSX consider upping the mult accordingly? {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:17

i guess you would need to support your claim by providing hard data.... whole reason why mult dropped from 2.9 to 2.8 to 2.7 is because Oleg Max Jan 10, 14:27

The histrorical data through 2010 has shown a downward trend towards 2.6. Haven't looked at 2011. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:33

with horror films typically 2.0 delist, and animated fam films 3.5, time to go to seperate mults? i mean if we're changing everything :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 14:35

re:islander, or no adjust at all. {nm} Antibody Jan 10, 14:39

Re: DMac, if there's no adjust, that will lessen the traffic to your site, and also lessen the amount of players in this fine game. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 14:44

I think 2011 will show it evening out.. although I guess movies like Twilight are going to screw things up. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 14:37

I don't have time to collect the data right now but maybe when I have more time. {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 10, 15:28

as long as you'll receive a 3 day est from ERC, that should work, right? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:51

i dont understand why this comes up *every* time theres an odd weekend. glossary and calender are your friend and mistress :) {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:49

nevermind :/ {nm} islander Jan 10, 13:53

what are we getting for a multiplier, pls? {nm} Oleg Max Jan 10, 13:38

I'm fairly certain it will be Previous BO + 2.2 * Fri-Mon. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jan 10, 13:39





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Jamie Lee Curtis (JLCUR) 100 39.06 (0.00)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.97 (-0.30)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 26.97 (-0.30)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.06)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 110411 9.62 (-0.38)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.06)          Johnny Flynn (JFLYN) 100 4.12 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 10000 108.01 (+0.21)          Katy O'Brian (KOBRI) 25000 133.20 (+0.33)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 100 129.28 (0.00)          Joe Alwyn (JALWY) 100 19.56 (0.00)          Imogen Poots (IPOOT) 100 2.90 (0.00)          Sam & Victor’s Day Off (SAVDO) 30000 9.54 (-0.04)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 32000 17.72 (-0.35)          Gabriel Byrne (GBYRN) 100 15.54 (0.00)          Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 50 153.36 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 16.76 (-0.88)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 100 60.03 (+0.16)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 24.50 (+0.35)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.30 (-0.26)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.30 (-0.26)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 11.61 (-0.78)          Denzel Washington (DWASH) 100 65.36 (0.00)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.45 (-0.33)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 21.71 (-0.06)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 100000 24.45 (-0.33)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.39 (+0.68)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.39 (+0.68)          Everyone Wants to F*ck Me (EWTFM) 150000 9.75 (+0.11)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 65 8.13 (-0.37)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 120 15.83 (+0.67)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 50 19.85 (0.00)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 80 4.09 (+0.24)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 59 15.83 (+0.67)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.42 (-0.09)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 100 307.18 (0.00)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.42 (-0.09)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 200 360.24 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 25000 79.44 (-0.29)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 79.44 (-0.29)          Chloe Zhao (CZHAO) 100 38.61 (0.00)          Corey Stoll (CSTOL) 100 52.37 (0.00)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 150000 69.12 (+0.17)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 25000 69.12 (+0.17)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 258.63 (-0.87)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 25000 258.63 (-0.87)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 1 4.30 (-0.26)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.30 (-0.26)          Shelter (SELTR) 75000 22.20 (+0.05)          The Moment (MOMNT) 1 12.36 (-0.02)