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Movies

Same here. Still, it's better to lose on the OW than the moviestock because of the multiplier.

Posted by: Jane_Citizen on Feb 12, 13:24 in response to stevie1der328's post Long on Safehouse and Vow plus some cowardly hedging w/...

I mean, if you've got a $20 OW held short but the moviestock held long, and the movie opens to $25, your OW loses you $500,000, and the moviestock adjusts up $1.53m (assuming they halted at around the same). If the movie opened to $30, you lose $1m on the OW but gain $2.7m on the moviestock adjust. So you're still really hoping for the moviestock to do well, in terms of the net balance being higher overall.

No?





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Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.22 (+0.51)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 10000 159.16 (-0.03)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 12594 24.22 (+0.51)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 150000 12.94 (-0.24)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.40 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 10000 298.32 (+0.85)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 13.76 (-1.24)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.90 (+0.08)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 3 1.40 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.60 (+0.60)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 3.11 (+0.03)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 83 167.75 (+0.01)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 10000 157.06 (+0.47)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.60 (+0.60)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.60 (+0.60)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 10000 298.32 (+0.85)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 35000 176.72 (-0.04)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 30000 18.87 (-0.07)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 30000 13.76 (-1.24)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Mira Sorvino (MSORV) 25000 31.57 (+0.38)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.60 (+0.60)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 297 40.00 (0.00)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 3.42 (-0.39)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 2.91 (-0.16)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 3000 2.00 (0.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 30000 52.08 (-1.59)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 5000 40.00 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 15000 298.32 (+0.85)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.60 (+0.60)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 15000 86.94 (+3.76)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 7.99 (-0.07)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 20000 298.32 (+0.85)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 45000 52.08 (-1.59)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 86.94 (+3.76)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 3.42 (-0.39)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 500 271.93 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)