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Well, on the bright side, perhaps a low midnight means it won't be as frontloaded {nm}

Posted by: BorderLand (a.k.a NuWallflower) on May 04, 08:25 in response to Carcharodon's post Rollercoaster time - Nikki says $20M Midnights for Avengers

Rollercoaster time - Nikki says $20M Midnights for Avengers Carcharodon May 04, 08:20

Just a bit of my own analysis - this looks to be the highest 'School Night' midnight screening; all others were summer of TG holiday Carcharodon May 04, 08:25

great point re: school nights {nm} BorderLand May 04, 08:25

Nowhere close to HPOT8's 43.5 midnights, but still more than HGAME's 19.7. Now we wait to see which path it follows. {nm} Paul2k May 04, 08:25

DL updated to $18.7M {nm} Antibody May 04, 09:00

Well, on the bright side, perhaps a low midnight means it won't be as frontloaded BorderLand May 04, 08:25

Again, keep in mind that HP7.2 was Summer, no school and thus kids could rush out to see it... {nm} Carcharodon May 04, 08:26

yeah, I didn't think of that... anticipating sat should pretty huge, no? {nm} BorderLand May 04, 08:28

I'm thinking Friday afternoon into evening will be the juggernaut here, and hopefully Saturday performs well with the younger crowd {nm} Carcharodon May 04, 08:33

plus Harry has a hard core fan base and the midnight showing is an event, the Avengers will still perform strong {nm} nero5150 May 04, 11:12

Actually I think that's a huge number. Twilight and Potter are different beasts w/respect to midnight. More comparible are TDK, ROTF & HG. {nm} GMov May 04, 08:28

Some comparisons: BATM2 $18.5M, HPOT7 $24M, HPOT8 $43.5M, STAR3 $16.9M, TWLI2 $26.3M, TWLI3 $30M, IRNM2 $7.5M {nm} RogerMore May 04, 08:29

(THOR, CAPAM, GLANT and XMEN4 all had midnights in the $3M-$4M range) {nm} RogerMore May 04, 08:32

Strong number. I may have to up my prediction a bit. {nm} BionicMoron May 04, 08:29

I think the multiplier to use is TDK's 8.562x (OW/midnight) which implies $171MM for Avengers. Midnights are higher these days than '08 but GMov May 04, 08:31

And it comes in below Hunger Games midnights. TOLDJA! {nm} thatpj May 04, 10:27

Actual is $18.7M {nm} Antibody May 04, 08:58

Don't forget about Cinco De Mayo REDKED May 04, 09:01

How many were the Movie Marathon ticket vs just the Midnight showing? {nm} medv4380 May 04, 09:50





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Naruto (NARUT) 150000 20.84 (+0.88)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 16.18 (+1.02)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 172.63 (-1.00)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 172.63 (-1.00)          In the Grey (NGREY) 150000 15.76 (+1.15)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 20000 24.66 (+0.51)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 12.58 (+1.10)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 25000 4.84 (+1.13)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 25000 9.32 (-0.68)          Hedda (HEDAG) 150000 0.47 (0.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 20000 11.15 (-1.24)          Obsession (OBSSN) 20000 16.38 (-1.26)          The Mastermind (MSTMN) 150000 1.18 (+0.02)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 5000 11.15 (-1.24)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.32 (-0.68)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 30000 14.53 (+0.01)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.28 (-0.50)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 150000 24.28 (-0.50)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 10000 15.34 (-1.53)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 1 2.13 (+0.24)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.24)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 100000 24.28 (-0.50)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 11.15 (-1.24)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 1 2.40 (-0.17)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.40 (-0.17)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 1 23.44 (-1.92)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 23.44 (-1.92)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 2.07 (+0.09)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 25000 2.07 (+0.09)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 100000 78.72 (-1.01)          Maria Bakalova (MBAKA) 25000 86.04 (+0.75)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.24)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 25000 74.81 (-0.16)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 2.13 (+0.24)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 25000 74.81 (-0.16)          Tony Revolori (TREVO) 25000 89.18 (+0.75)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 C (5NAF2.CA) 24997 2.07 (+0.09)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 20000 11.15 (-1.24)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 78.72 (-1.01)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.11 (-0.14)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 H$45 P (5NAF2.PU) 25000 2.11 (-0.14)          Obsession (OBSSN) 20000 16.38 (-1.26)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 3.67 (-0.08)          Hamnet - Opening Weekend (HAMNT.OW) 100000 3.67 (-0.08)          Ella McCay - Opening Weekend (EMCAY.OW) 100000 4.21 (-0.09)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 10 9.32 (-0.68)          Ella McCay - Opening Weekend (EMCAY.OW) 100000 4.21 (-0.09)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 100000 5.67 (-0.14)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 - Open (5NAF2.OW) 49997 44.69 (+0.34)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 100000 5.67 (-0.14)