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Thanks for your careful thoughts on this.

Posted by: second gary (a.k.a 80181597) on May 07, 21:47 in response to xiayun's post Did a little exercise and ran my predictions on The...

Uncharted territory, as you say.  I wonder what next weekend's dropoff will be like.  If I recall correctly, the drop off for the original "Spiderman"... well, it was -37.8%, which is still an amazing feat.  I have been assuming that the AVNGR dropoff would be 50%+, but the "Spiderman" number gives me pause, since its OW (114.8) also wiped out the previous record (HPOT1, 90.3).





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Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 150000 53.04 (+0.10)          The End of It (ENDIT) 2 2.20 (0.00)          The End of It (ENDIT) 2 2.20 (0.00)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 9.32 (0.00)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 2 9.32 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 3.47 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 3 3.47 (0.00)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 70.90 (+0.90)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 35.68 (0.00)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 3 35.68 (0.00)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 70.90 (+0.90)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.53 (-0.01)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 2 2.53 (-0.01)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 150000 5.50 (-0.01)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 1 5.50 (-0.01)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 6.31 (-0.01)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 3 6.31 (-0.01)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 3 19.59 (-0.02)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 13 98.42 (-1.08)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 3 19.59 (-0.02)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 1 13.60 (-0.02)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 1 13.60 (-0.02)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 150000 12.71 (-0.02)          Be My Baby (BMYBB) 1 12.71 (-0.02)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 6.25 (+0.44)          It Ends (ITNDS) 150000 6.25 (+0.44)          In Love (NLOVE) 150000 16.83 (-0.04)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 8.09 (+0.61)          In Love (NLOVE) 1 16.83 (-0.04)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 8.09 (+0.61)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 3 133.36 (-0.11)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 10.01 (+0.55)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 3 133.36 (-0.11)          In the Grey (NGREY) 3 20.18 (-0.18)          In the Grey (NGREY) 3 20.18 (-0.18)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 4.08 (+0.30)          Crime After Crime (CACRM) 1 2.65 (-0.27)          Crime After Crime (CACRM) 1 2.65 (-0.27)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.34 (+0.58)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 8.34 (+0.58)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3 249.33 (-0.77)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 3 249.33 (-0.77)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 3 157.36 (-0.80)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 3 157.36 (-0.80)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.34 (+1.18)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3 209.99 (-0.98)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 3 209.99 (-0.98)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.34 (+1.18)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 98.42 (-1.08)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 8.52 (-0.62)