HSX Forum

Movies

i am not am not saying it will or wont. i am new to all this. but to tell me that what is going on is standard does not make sense {nm}

Posted by: ivyg (a.k.a del_YKT_ivyg) on Jul 24, 10:52 in response to ivyg's post because you have seen movies follow a normal distribution...

Dark Knight Rises: Over or Under $320 after its 2nd weekend? guesses? ivyg Jul 24, 08:49

i think definitely over... my guess is $335M... it is easily going to pass $500M {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:50

301 {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:51

the dark knight was $313M after week 2. i think it easily passes that. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:51

its already running behind BATM2 cume at this point of $182.9.... {nm} Oleg Max Jul 24, 08:53

i know but i think this weekend was an extraordinary circumstance. i think the drop off will be much less. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 08:58

TDKR has fallen behind the pace of TDK. TDK has outgrossed TDKR 3 of the 4 days so far. {nm} fourstars Jul 24, 08:56

312.50 {nm} Tanker Jul 24, 08:52

I get this one! (nm) wkelc Jul 24, 12:30

under...and it will NOT be hitting $500M domestically {nm} Movie Cub Jul 24, 08:56

Definitely going to go over $500M. In fact, I'm betting this weekend will blow everyone's mind with its hugeness. {nm} Biff68 Jul 24, 09:44

Under probably be in the 270ish range. If it can recover it might break 500 but only if it recovers between week 3 and 4 {nm} medv4380 Jul 24, 09:28

One of the fansites needs to do a box office school, so people can understand how to project totals islander Jul 24, 09:59

you're right i dont know how to project. that explanation would be interesting. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:47

however; do you not think its plausible that extraordinary made its opening weekend artificially low {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:49

so why wouldnt a 40 or 45% drop be possible? {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

because you have seen movies follow a normal distribution curve, you do not think that outliers can occur. which is naive {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:50

i am not am not saying it will or wont. i am new to all this. but to tell me that what is going on is standard does not make sense ivyg Jul 24, 10:52

i admit its possible that batm3 could see an unprecedented 2nd wknd upswing because of events, but something like that happening is just so islander Jul 24, 11:15

Completely Plausible to get into the 270ish range. I'm just using the line from HPOT8 medv4380 Jul 24, 10:54

im saying i think it will be above 300M that the drop off will be less than usual {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:57

but based on what islander wrote. my inital guess of 335 will definitely be wrong. {nm} ivyg Jul 24, 10:58

the potter films, like the twilight films, are not good comparisons because the fanbases for those films have shown that they rush out islander Jul 24, 11:12

Unless you're conclude that the only the Batman Fan Base is who is showing up. It's your average person who isn't a Hard Core fan that didn' medv4380 Jul 24, 11:35

$288m {nm} xiayun Jul 24, 13:18

welcome back :) {nm} tealfan Jul 24, 15:07





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 25000 98.83 (-1.56)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 500 99.67 (-0.04)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 75000 14.82 (+1.68)          Marc by Sofia (MARCS) 150000 0.49 (-0.02)          Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 25000 52.21 (-0.16)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 5000 218.17 (+7.99)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 20000 21.44 (+1.44)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 1000 98.83 (-1.56)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 47000 14.82 (+1.68)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1 218.17 (+7.99)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 218.17 (+7.99)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 49000 20.04 (+0.41)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 12002 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 12002 2.00 (0.00)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 49999 13.30 (+0.42)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 49999 9.73 (-1.63)          The End of Oak Street aka Flower (FLWVS) 10000 50.89 (-0.03)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 1 49.43 (+0.20)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 49.43 (+0.20)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 180.92 (+0.50)          Pressure (PRSUR) 1 18.26 (-0.14)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 18.26 (-0.14)          Christopher Miller (CMILL) 25000 185.60 (+1.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 1 29.26 (+0.19)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 29.26 (+0.19)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 1 98.83 (-1.56)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 98.83 (-1.56)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 20000 21.44 (+1.44)          Storm Reid (SREID) 25000 49.06 (-0.50)          Storm Reid (SREID) 25000 49.06 (-0.50)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 7500 14.82 (+1.68)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 2 158.64 (-0.06)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 150000 0.84 (-0.07)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 150000 0.07 (+0.06)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 100 0.07 (+0.06)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 1 11.86 (+0.64)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 11.86 (+0.64)          Do Not Enter (CREPR) 75000 0.84 (-0.07)