HSX Forum

Movies

Yeah, I used too...

Posted by: Arcsol on Aug 14, 17:32 in response to arf's post MTC and RS Accuracy - Anybody have collected datasets on...

I used to maintain a database going over 2-3 years with over 160+ movies.  Lost it due to hard drive malfunction.  

MTC was usually within 20% of the actuals BO for the weekend.  RS was usually 40% off of actuals. The MTC rule does exist, IMO after looking at the data. However, it is not set in stone. It merely reflects the average of results over time. 

 

 





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Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 12000 29.82 (-0.21)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 30000 240.21 (+0.73)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 15000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 15000 25.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 15000 2.00 (0.00)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 25000 32.21 (-0.50)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 91.45 (+2.79)          Emma D'Arcy (EDARC) 25000 32.21 (-0.50)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 88888 65.55 (+0.42)          Donkey (DONKE) 150000 153.82 (-0.32)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 149999 8.15 (+0.27)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.15 (+0.27)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 1000 65.55 (+0.42)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 150000 23.61 (-0.06)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.15 (+0.27)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 8.15 (+0.27)          Artist in Residence (ARTIR) 150000 0.01 (-0.01)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.23 (-0.20)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.23 (-0.20)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 100 174.85 (-0.83)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 1 42.27 (-0.33)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)