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Cume no longer headed for $300M

Posted by: mjrisgod on Jun 24, 08:13 in response to KalElFan's post Per BOM, Production Budget was $225M, Domestic already...

Looking at other June superhero movies that dropped over 60% in the second weekend -- Hulk, Green Lantern, Fantastic Four 2, Incredible Hulk -- all signs point to a final cume of $280 million.

This is how much additional money each movie made after their second weekend cume:

Hulk -- 31%

Green Lantern -- 31%

Fantastic Four 2 -- 35%

Incredible Hulk -- 38%

Even at the higher end of these figures, Man of Steel still ends up short of $300M, with about $290.

(Delist price $264.)

Per DL, 'Man of Steel' Speeds to $400M Worldwide: Superman Still #1 Box Office Internationally. :-) {nm} KalElFan Jun 23, 14:09

Needs to make around $450m to make its budget back, and around $700m to cover P&A? {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 24, 01:02

Hollywood accounting (where it's always a loser) and special cases aside, rule of thumb is Domestic Gross > Production Budget = Profit. {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 06:36

Per BOM, Production Budget was $225M, Domestic already $210M. Cume headed for $300M+, same overseas, + $170M promo money... {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 06:41

... already banked. So $750M+, + merchandising, DVD/Blu-Ray, later windows, editions, etc. for 95-125 years. "What do you think?" :-) {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 06:43

Cume no longer headed for $300M mjrisgod Jun 24, 08:13

The drops of better mega-opener comparatives dip to just over 50% third w/e, then below that to 40-ish and lower... {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 11:18

With July 4 pumping the numbers up a bit, it should break $300M, and more likely make $320M than your $280M IMO. We'll see. {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 11:20

If the Director's 3-hr cut already exists as rumored and if Warners were to re-release with that in a few months, much more. :-) {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 11:22

What comps are you thinking of? Everyone else is comparing to Dark Knight Rises, but that film is not comparable to this one at all. mjrisgod Jun 24, 11:44

The Potter, Wolverine and X-Men with worse second w/e drops. Latter in early June so SUPR2 has July 4 advantage coming up. We'll see. {nm} KalElFan Jun 24, 16:46





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Atonement (ATONM) 150000 0.90 (-0.04)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 150000 1.94 (+0.02)          Boys For Life (BOYFL) 50000 15.45 (+0.03)          Anthony Ramos (ARAMO) 13 103.58 (0.00)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Anthony Hopkins (AHOPK) 92 4.04 (0.00)          Ansel Elgort (AELGO) 22 68.11 (-0.25)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 10000 10.70 (+0.02)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 50000 10.70 (+0.02)          Alison Brie (ABRIE) 2 15.63 (0.00)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Alicia Silverstone (ASILV) 1 20.32 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 10000 16.95 (+0.05)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 25000 4.95 (-0.04)          Babies (BBIES) 50000 16.95 (+0.05)          Alfonso Cuaron (ACUAR) 2403 118.23 (+0.03)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 100000 14.17 (+0.12)          Alexandra Daddario (ADADD) 4474 64.79 (-0.09)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 1.26 (-0.17)          Breeder (BREDR) 150000 2.01 (+0.09)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 2000 220.49 (-3.29)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 2 7.06 (0.00)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 7.48 (+0.58)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 1 18.55 (+0.02)          Momo (MOMO) 1 2.19 (+0.04)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 57.29 (-1.35)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 57.29 (-1.35)          The Social Reckoning (SOCI2) 2242 11.26 (-0.01)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 10000 4.57 (-1.55)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 4 4.23 (-0.64)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 465 15.77 (+0.21)          The Exorcist: Martyrs (TEXO2) 279 61.55 (-0.03)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3 112.42 (0.00)          Astaire (ASTAI) 34929 21.61 (-0.01)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 50 703.41 (+2.06)          Momo (MOMO) 150000 2.19 (+0.04)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 100000 2.38 (-0.12)          Wet (WET) 4000 5.90 (+0.02)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.01 (-0.03)          Snoop (SNOOP) 1 38.39 (-0.03)          Wizards! (WIZRD) 150000 0.01 (-0.23)          Callina Liang (CLIAN) 2000 26.80 (+0.26)          Wunmi Mosaku (WMOSA) 250 102.57 (-0.67)          Shiver (SHVER) 8025 96.02 (-0.18)