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And the IM is the most important part of your message... So true. {nm}

Posted by: skamanfu on Aug 08, 15:43 in response to RogerMore's post If there's one lesson to take from the 2013 box office,...

LAT: ELYSM $32 million, according to those who have seen pre-release audience surveys. PLANE $28 million WEMIL $24 million PJAC2 $19 mill Antibody Aug 08, 15:04

Ouch alert for PLANE. I said $32M for that one. I still believe PJAC2 may do slightly more than either my predict of $18-$21M or LAT's. eallensbp Aug 08, 15:10

I'm drowning on ELYSM, $10M+ under if LAT is to be believed, so I'm hoping ELYSM proves the pre-release tracking wronger than Miss Cleo. {nm} eallensbp Aug 08, 15:13

If there's one lesson to take from the 2013 box office, it's to always bet on original sci fi. RogerMore Aug 08, 15:19

And the IM is the most important part of your message... So true. skamanfu Aug 08, 15:43

That, Roger, by no means is cause for me to start auto-Shorting movies that happen to be original SciFi. In this case, I think competition-- eallensbp Aug 08, 16:42

At any rate, we still got 'til Sun before we can make like NIKKI writing a postmortem on ELYSM. OTOH, gotta agree, not a good summer for, eallensbp Aug 08, 16:44

I think competition's only part of the story - after all, there doesn't seem to a lot of direct competition for ELYSM's audience this w/e RogerMore Aug 08, 17:26

Not arguing that, Roger. I'm treating ELYSM as an isolated case in this matter. Certain brands of SciFi are evergreen; Blomkamp's his own-- eallensbp Aug 08, 18:27

I think it's way too early in Blonkamp's career to say that. Look at Guillermo del Toro, who has a more established RogerMore Aug 08, 19:23

Yeah, I won't pretend that my statement about Blomkamp being a brand isn't bold or risky. But I feel this guy is the real deal. More inside. eallensbp Aug 08, 19:54

Elysium is #3 on the Fandango iPad app...which is pretty surprising for a movie that should have advanced sales appeal {nm} GMov Aug 08, 16:24

Not surprised Millers is ahead of it but very odd that Planes is as well {nm} GMov Aug 08, 16:26

Weeeeellllll . . . when Disney 1st committed to wide theatrical for PLANE, honestly, I was like YEAH! $70+ opener. Never could have thought eallensbp Aug 08, 16:49

PLANE is NOT by Pixar. {nm} Antibody Aug 08, 16:52

No, and neither is BOLT. I made the Pixar comparison since the material, as Disney's marketing keeps emphasizing is "from the WORLD of CARS" eallensbp Aug 08, 18:21





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Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 41955 20.00 (0.00)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 145 14.17 (-0.09)          Urban Legend (URBN3) 700 2.46 (+0.02)          Fuze (FUZE) 59000 14.55 (-0.02)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 25000 208.89 (+1.06)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 140 14.37 (-0.02)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 79 23.60 (-0.05)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 125 12.44 (+0.06)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 33928 20.00 (0.00)          Rock Springs (ROCSP) 1650 1.36 (0.00)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 4 15.45 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 60 33.82 (-0.03)          The Drama (TDRAM) 20000 34.61 (+0.08)          Terrifier 4 (TERF4) 4 23.77 (+0.04)          Rich Flu (RCFLU) 9000 0.03 (+0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 70269 20.00 (0.00)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 15 0.99 (+0.01)          RJ Cyler (RCYLE) 25000 26.00 (-0.37)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 13512 15.43 (+0.43)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 149999 5.55 (-0.91)          In the Grey (NGREY) 50 20.96 (-0.02)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 19 164.90 (-0.39)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 59000 24.33 (-0.06)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 1380 20.00 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 6 4.97 (+0.02)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 2000 41.08 (+0.37)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 66 44.21 (-0.09)          The Riders (RIDER) 59106 36.84 (+0.02)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 190 9.19 (-0.02)          Sing 3 (SING3) 134 52.13 (-0.54)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 8 3.93 (-0.03)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 50000 20.00 (0.00)          They Found Us (THFUS) 1545 6.59 (+0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.71 (+0.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 3000 160.32 (-0.35)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 9.75 (-0.10)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 100 3.23 (+0.02)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 219.62 (-0.03)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 9.63 (-0.03)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.65 (-0.35)          Balls Up (BALUP) 1 10.49 (-1.67)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4000 65.31 (-0.10)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 10.49 (-1.67)          James Franco (JAFRA) 1 22.51 (-0.50)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 4 28.77 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 100000 28.77 (0.00)