HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
Was short on SANDR and no-play on ALOHA but I'm now LONG on BOTH. Here's why:
Two things in this DL article: http://deadline.com/2015/05/san-andreas-aloha-weekend-box-office-1201434366/
First, Dwayne Johnson has 72.8M social media followers and I think they're going to push this weekend beyond the modest predictions.
Second, the prediciton for ALOHA is in the $8-$10 range so a long hold isn't likely going to lose much value, if any over the weekend. AND, as blah as the trailer may be, so was the trailer for Cameron Crowe's last movie, We Bought a Nap (I mean Zoo), which ended up with a 8x multiple (it had legs, so maybe Aloha will too), and "the hope is... that (Aloha) will stick around as counter programming throughout the summer."
OW Gut Check Time - Long SANDR, Short ALOHA for now. {nm} May 29, 07:52
Short both {nm} May 29, 07:55
ditto {nm} May 29, 07:56
Agreed. {nm} May 29, 08:00
Sounds good too me {nm} May 29, 08:04
Long SANDR, bailed on ALOHA {nm} May 29, 08:19
Short and Short. People eventually have to bail on silly movies like SANDR, right? May 29, 08:27
With the recent upward trend, I'm now short on the quakes. Hawaiians are priced correctly. {nm} May 29, 08:33
...hmmm market manipulation yes? keep 'gut-checks' to one's self. {nm} May 29, 08:38
It's a weekly tradition. {nm} May 29, 08:40
I'm in a good mood today, so I'll let your comment slide, Sideshow. {nm} May 29, 08:40
Which way is it being manipulated? Half/half on a lot of the movies, lol. {nm} May 29, 09:01
No, this is permitted only on opening day. {nm} May 29, 10:07
Should I be manipulated long or short... hmmm... I went long on disaster, short on Hawaii hello/goodbye. {nm} May 29, 10:22
Was short on SANDR and no-play on ALOHA but I'm now LONG on BOTH. Here's why: May 29, 08:59
Great post. As an FYI, the gut checks are just for the OW Warrants. {nm} May 29, 09:08
Ah. Thanks! I'm long on both OW although I only expect SANDR to make any $H. (nm) May 29, 10:27
Why are the gut checks just for the OW? Holding the stock over opening weekend is essentially a companion bet. (nm) May 29, 12:16
because the OW halts and you can't change your mind. While the stocks are still moving till Saturday night {nm} May 29, 12:53
Good strategy. Good luck. {nm} May 29, 11:03
Zoo was a kids/family movie released at Christmas - so really no comparison {nm} May 29, 12:57
Long on the Rock and short on the other disaster. {nm} May 29, 09:04
SANDR, Long, ALOHA Short. {nm} May 29, 09:10
SANDR long , ALOHA short {nm} May 29, 09:24
long on quakes short on the other one {nm} May 29, 09:26
short on both.. starting to regret my decision on SANDR but I'm trying not to flinch {nm} May 29, 09:51
Two shorts! {nm} May 29, 09:55
Long California, Short Hawaii {nm} May 29, 11:06