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Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside)

Posted by: ~JPV~ (a.k.a -JPV-) on Jul 03, 09:30 in response to Dorfman's post People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7...

Per estimates, TERM5 $15.3M and MGCM2 $15M (WED+THU)

Per early 5 day estimates:

TERM5
$41-15.3=$25.7x2.7=H$69.39+15.3=H$84.69

MGCM2
$38-15.0=$28.0x2.7=H$75.60+15.0=H$90.60 (using the higher end 5-day est)

THR: TERM5 early estimate 41 (5day); MGCM2 mid to high 30 (5day) Oleg Max Jul 03, 09:19

People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7 multiplier..... {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:25

Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside) ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:30

You got the math wrong. MGCM2 can't be higher than TERM5. mid to high more like $37. if mid= 4,5,6 and high is 7,8,9 Antibody Jul 03, 09:37

Ah, sorry. Really shouldn't type so fast (esp in the morning). Yeah, I gave it $3M more when subtracting {nm} ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:41

ugh, i hate the mid-week opener adjusts >:| {nm} adrenalin112 Jul 03, 10:42

Sorry, Im not an expert on how movie stock adjusts, can you explain your math? platonm Jul 03, 09:37

Mid week opener adjust formula: (2.7*Fri-Sun)+previous. Similar to limited releases going wide. {nm} MattW Jul 03, 09:43

The calendar is your friend. (The adjust formula for midweek openers is Fri-Sat-Sun * 2.7 + Previous box office. RogerMore Jul 03, 09:47

38-15 = 23 . . . {nm} wilypueo Jul 03, 09:40

Yes, thank you as pointed out by Anti. Again, will learn not to post so early. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:42

How dare you make a mistake JPV!!! what are you?? Human? {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:50

I could be a,,, Terminator. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 10:57

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Its me, Sarah. {nm} DTravel Jul 03, 23:34

How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions? platonm Jul 03, 17:17

Even 41 is a stretch for TG at this point. {nm} Carcharodon Jul 03, 10:08

Now is a perfect time for another trade think piece (or studio PR in disguise) about PG13 and non original films! {nm} Moviesnob Jul 03, 10:14





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The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.57 (+0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.79 (+0.79)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 100000 102.94 (+0.12)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 149999 21.05 (-0.36)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.83 (+0.21)          They Will Kill You H$10 Call (TWKYU.CA) 25000 0.82 (-0.02)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 1000 145.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.79 (+0.79)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 150000 136.88 (-1.16)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 50.40 (-0.23)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 10000 11.43 (-0.34)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 3.16 (-0.17)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 1.35 (-0.04)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 1000 102.94 (+0.12)          Narnia (NARN4) 150000 17.10 (-0.10)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.79 (+0.79)          Narnia (NARN4) 150000 17.10 (-0.10)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 13.65 (+1.30)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 12.50 (-3.32)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 12.50 (-3.32)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 8.71 (-0.12)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 150000 8.71 (-0.12)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.79 (+0.79)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 1.88 (-0.12)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 13.65 (+1.30)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 12.50 (-3.32)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 12.50 (-3.32)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 95000 157.35 (-1.09)          Thomasin McKenzie (TMCKE) 1 13.58 (+0.93)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 8.26 (+0.61)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 125000 5.19 (-0.74)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 27245 165.29 (-0.52)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 125000 9.54 (-0.22)