HSX Forum

Movies

Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside)

Posted by: ~JPV~ (a.k.a -JPV-) on Jul 03, 09:30 in response to Dorfman's post People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7...

Per estimates, TERM5 $15.3M and MGCM2 $15M (WED+THU)

Per early 5 day estimates:

TERM5
$41-15.3=$25.7x2.7=H$69.39+15.3=H$84.69

MGCM2
$38-15.0=$28.0x2.7=H$75.60+15.0=H$90.60 (using the higher end 5-day est)

THR: TERM5 early estimate 41 (5day); MGCM2 mid to high 30 (5day) Oleg Max Jul 03, 09:19

People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7 multiplier..... {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:25

Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside) ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:30

You got the math wrong. MGCM2 can't be higher than TERM5. mid to high more like $37. if mid= 4,5,6 and high is 7,8,9 Antibody Jul 03, 09:37

Ah, sorry. Really shouldn't type so fast (esp in the morning). Yeah, I gave it $3M more when subtracting {nm} ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:41

ugh, i hate the mid-week opener adjusts >:| {nm} adrenalin112 Jul 03, 10:42

Sorry, Im not an expert on how movie stock adjusts, can you explain your math? platonm Jul 03, 09:37

Mid week opener adjust formula: (2.7*Fri-Sun)+previous. Similar to limited releases going wide. {nm} MattW Jul 03, 09:43

The calendar is your friend. (The adjust formula for midweek openers is Fri-Sat-Sun * 2.7 + Previous box office. RogerMore Jul 03, 09:47

38-15 = 23 . . . {nm} wilypueo Jul 03, 09:40

Yes, thank you as pointed out by Anti. Again, will learn not to post so early. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:42

How dare you make a mistake JPV!!! what are you?? Human? {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:50

I could be a,,, Terminator. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 10:57

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Its me, Sarah. {nm} DTravel Jul 03, 23:34

How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions? platonm Jul 03, 17:17

Even 41 is a stretch for TG at this point. {nm} Carcharodon Jul 03, 10:08

Now is a perfect time for another trade think piece (or studio PR in disguise) about PG13 and non original films! {nm} Moviesnob Jul 03, 10:14





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Doppelganger (DPLGN) 1 59.79 (-0.17)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 1 59.79 (-0.17)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 2.67 (-0.04)          Single Female (SIFEM) 1 19.83 (-0.25)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 2.67 (-0.04)          Juliette Binoche (JBINO) 6 0.70 (+0.02)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 150000 1.59 (0.00)          Single Female (SIFEM) 1 19.83 (-0.25)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 3 87.66 (-0.40)          24 Jump Street (21JS3) 3 87.66 (-0.40)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 79 200.94 (-0.19)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 99.89 (-0.55)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 3 99.89 (-0.55)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 150000 2.44 (-0.08)          The Movie Teller (MVTEL) 150000 0.01 (-0.03)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10 4.05 (-0.82)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10 4.05 (-0.82)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 2 20.09 (-0.86)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.24 (-0.89)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 2 20.09 (-0.86)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.24 (-0.89)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 22.24 (-0.89)          Nutmeg & Mistletoe (NUTMS) 150000 1.59 (0.00)          A Talent for Murder (SWITZ) 150000 2.44 (-0.08)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 22.24 (-0.89)          Kate McKinnon (KAMCK) 25000 78.35 (0.00)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 3 51.70 (+0.34)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 3 51.70 (+0.34)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3 283.86 (+0.75)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 3 283.86 (+0.75)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 3 258.96 (+1.50)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 3 258.96 (+1.50)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3 98.66 (+0.75)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 98.66 (+0.75)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 3 89.55 (+0.41)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 100000 47.58 (-0.10)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 89.55 (+0.41)          Whalefall (WHALF) 10 18.21 (+0.36)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 18.21 (+0.36)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 645 102.75 (+2.75)          The Cat in the Hat H$40 Put (TCATH.PU) 25000 4.28 (+0.10)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 15000 33.65 (-0.01)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1 4.05 (-0.82)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10000 4.05 (-0.82)          Sophie Turner (STURN) 6000 59.03 (+0.16)          Single Female (SIFEM) 24999 19.83 (-0.25)          Martha & Muhammad (MAMUH) 24999 6.71 (-0.02)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 10000 14.80 (+0.02)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 24999 4.42 (-0.56)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 51000 13.66 (-0.02)