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How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions?

Posted by: platonm on Jul 03, 17:17 in response to ~JPV~'s post Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4078&p=.htm

Ā 

It shows Terminator at $45M for 5-days, which will put adjust at H$95.15 and Mike at $43M for 5-days, which will adjust to H$90.6, so, both of them are lower already, what do you guys think?

THR: TERM5 early estimate 41 (5day); MGCM2 mid to high 30 (5day) Oleg Max Jul 03, 09:19

People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7 multiplier..... {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:25

Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside) ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:30

You got the math wrong. MGCM2 can't be higher than TERM5. mid to high more like $37. if mid= 4,5,6 and high is 7,8,9 Antibody Jul 03, 09:37

Ah, sorry. Really shouldn't type so fast (esp in the morning). Yeah, I gave it $3M more when subtracting {nm} ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:41

ugh, i hate the mid-week opener adjusts >:| {nm} adrenalin112 Jul 03, 10:42

Sorry, Im not an expert on how movie stock adjusts, can you explain your math? platonm Jul 03, 09:37

Mid week opener adjust formula: (2.7*Fri-Sun)+previous. Similar to limited releases going wide. {nm} MattW Jul 03, 09:43

The calendar is your friend. (The adjust formula for midweek openers is Fri-Sat-Sun * 2.7 + Previous box office. RogerMore Jul 03, 09:47

38-15 = 23 . . . {nm} wilypueo Jul 03, 09:40

Yes, thank you as pointed out by Anti. Again, will learn not to post so early. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:42

How dare you make a mistake JPV!!! what are you?? Human? {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:50

I could be a,,, Terminator. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 10:57

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Its me, Sarah. {nm} DTravel Jul 03, 23:34

How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions? platonm Jul 03, 17:17

Even 41 is a stretch for TG at this point. {nm} Carcharodon Jul 03, 10:08

Now is a perfect time for another trade think piece (or studio PR in disguise) about PG13 and non original films! {nm} Moviesnob Jul 03, 10:14





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