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How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions?

Posted by: platonm on Jul 03, 17:17 in response to ~JPV~'s post Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4078&p=.htm

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It shows Terminator at $45M for 5-days, which will put adjust at H$95.15 and Mike at $43M for 5-days, which will adjust to H$90.6, so, both of them are lower already, what do you guys think?

THR: TERM5 early estimate 41 (5day); MGCM2 mid to high 30 (5day) Oleg Max Jul 03, 09:19

People don't forget that's not a straight 2.7 multiplier..... {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:25

Oh, they still will... I think I got the math right (inside) ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:30

You got the math wrong. MGCM2 can't be higher than TERM5. mid to high more like $37. if mid= 4,5,6 and high is 7,8,9 Antibody Jul 03, 09:37

Ah, sorry. Really shouldn't type so fast (esp in the morning). Yeah, I gave it $3M more when subtracting {nm} ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:41

ugh, i hate the mid-week opener adjusts >:| {nm} adrenalin112 Jul 03, 10:42

Sorry, Im not an expert on how movie stock adjusts, can you explain your math? platonm Jul 03, 09:37

Mid week opener adjust formula: (2.7*Fri-Sun)+previous. Similar to limited releases going wide. {nm} MattW Jul 03, 09:43

The calendar is your friend. (The adjust formula for midweek openers is Fri-Sat-Sun * 2.7 + Previous box office. RogerMore Jul 03, 09:47

38-15 = 23 . . . {nm} wilypueo Jul 03, 09:40

Yes, thank you as pointed out by Anti. Again, will learn not to post so early. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 09:42

How dare you make a mistake JPV!!! what are you?? Human? {nm} Dorfman Jul 03, 09:50

I could be a,,, Terminator. ~JPV~ Jul 03, 10:57

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Skynet is that you? {nm} BelizeIt Jul 03, 11:38

Its me, Sarah. {nm} DTravel Jul 03, 23:34

How good is Box Office Mojo at predictions? platonm Jul 03, 17:17

Even 41 is a stretch for TG at this point. {nm} Carcharodon Jul 03, 10:08

Now is a perfect time for another trade think piece (or studio PR in disguise) about PG13 and non original films! {nm} Moviesnob Jul 03, 10:14





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Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.46 (+0.63)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 50000 13.27 (-0.02)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 2000 15.06 (+0.06)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 21.06 (-0.02)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.11 (+0.11)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 5000 145.00 (0.00)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 15000 21.05 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.56 (-0.01)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 18.05 (-0.11)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 150000 0.57 (+0.02)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.57 (-0.04)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.57 (-0.04)          The AI Doc: Or How I Became an A (AIDOC) 150000 1.47 (-0.02)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 149999 9.50 (-0.35)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 25000 17.01 (+0.10)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 10000 17.31 (+0.64)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 10000 17.31 (+0.64)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.51 (+0.54)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 25000 21.06 (-0.13)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 100000 5.74 (+0.55)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.08 (+0.08)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 83.59 (+0.49)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 83.59 (+0.49)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.06 (+0.06)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.11 (+0.11)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 25000 10.14 (+0.10)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          Vicky Krieps (VKRIE) 25000 0.63 (+0.03)          Varanasi (VARAN) 50000 11.51 (+0.54)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.46 (+0.63)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 100000 13.27 (-0.02)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 100000 18.05 (-0.11)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.58 (+0.57)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 10.03 (+0.49)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 25000 27.07 (+0.01)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 25000 27.07 (+0.01)          Christopher Abbott (CABBO) 25000 16.01 (-0.09)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 50000 5.58 (+0.57)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 75000 12.90 (-0.51)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 50000 5.58 (+0.57)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 150000 5.58 (+0.57)          Baton (BATON) 75000 6.02 (+0.09)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 33 0.01 (0.00)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.46 (+0.63)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.46 (+0.63)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 100000 6.46 (+0.63)          Baton (BATON) 75000 6.02 (+0.09)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 50000 6.46 (+0.63)          Baton (BATON) 150000 6.02 (+0.09)          Baton (BATON) 60000 6.02 (+0.09)