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They're estimating a 29% drop on Sunday. Avatar dropped less than 4% this same weekend back in 2009.

Posted by: Inigo75 on Dec 20, 08:40 in response to RazorHawk's post Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 238 mill

Holdover won't even drop that much. Could be underestimated by as much as $15 million.Ā 

Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 238 mill RazorHawk Dec 20, 08:17

642.6 Adjust {nm} budice Dec 20, 08:19

And it will adjust higher than that... {nm} ndmaster Dec 20, 09:17

Sisters - 13.42 mill RazorHawk Dec 20, 08:19

Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 14.4 mill RazorHawk Dec 20, 08:20

Awesome, but still Disney going with the conservative number. Think much like Jurassic World it will have great Sunday and be around $245m {nm} nilephelan Dec 20, 08:21

Perspective...FAST6 had a TOTAL of $238M and was number 106 of all time ! {nm} Buy BONDS Silver edition Dec 20, 08:26

Sobering. Fantastic observation! {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 20, 08:29

Really disappointing number, considering the insane hype and marketing. {nm} islander Dec 20, 08:30

What was the previous record for a December opening? {nm} Bubba_Fett Dec 20, 08:50

HOBIT @ $84.6 mill {nm} Buckee Dec 20, 09:06

So this roughly triples the previous record and that's disappointing? {nm} Bubba_Fett Dec 20, 09:14

Disney's crying all the way to the bank. {nm} Chateau_du_Mal_Voisin Dec 20, 09:16

238M means about 24 million tickets. The other 320 million Americans and Canadians couldn't be bothered? islander Dec 20, 09:19

I am .0029% of the people you are referring to. IMO, the theatres were going to be too crazy on OW so I am delaying to week 3. {nm} Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 20, 09:26

Mom - 8.95 million viewers. RogerMore Dec 20, 10:13

(poor phrasing on my part - meant to compare thursdays audiences only (8.95 vs 6-ish) {nm} islander Dec 20, 10:20

Mom is free, is a half-hour show, and can be enjoyed from the comfort of your own home. Jelly Dec 20, 10:53

Given the record OW and the record PTA for a wide release, I'm not sure what there is to be disappointed about. RogerMore Dec 20, 11:55

Jokes! geez guys :) {nm} islander Dec 20, 12:00

I'm sure Disney is real disappointed with the CinemaScore (A), Rotten Tomatoes (95%) and $57,568 PTA {nm} Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 20, 08:55

David? {nm} slipping jimmy Dec 20, 09:12

I saw it, mostly liked it, and knew it would be huge from the start. islander Dec 20, 09:21

DL update: $69.1M Sat / $241M-$246M OW RamsFan2004 Dec 20, 08:35

They're estimating a 29% drop on Sunday. Avatar dropped less than 4% this same weekend back in 2009. Inigo75 Dec 20, 08:40

Interesting... {nm} RamsFan2004 Dec 20, 08:44

STAR7 is a sequel with a built-in fanbase though, not an original film. {nm} Antibody Dec 20, 09:38

Even with that, it wouldn't drop 29%. Holdovers (which normally 40 to 50% on Sunday) will drop less. Inigo75 Dec 20, 10:05

Sunday is definitely underestimated xiayun Dec 20, 08:57

It's under-estimated because they don't count the "dimpled chad" and "hanging chad" until Monday. {nm} Rocket123 aka PVL Admin Dec 20, 09:30





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Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 110 1.66 (0.00)          Paul Feig (PFEIG) 110 58.36 (0.00)          Digger (DIGER) 3626 102.23 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.88 (-1.28)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 24999 15.13 (-0.02)          Digger (DIGER) 116 102.23 (0.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 32457 14.53 (-0.47)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.53 (-0.47)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 88684 5.89 (+0.02)          Tuner (TUNER) 146447 4.74 (+0.03)          Altered (ALTER) 143330 0.25 (+0.02)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 51552 10.41 (+0.89)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 100 5.64 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 100 1.73 (-0.20)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 100 90.36 (0.00)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 100 43.97 (0.00)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 60 91.39 (0.00)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 100 63.22 (0.00)          Regina Hall (RHALL) 100 34.78 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 120000 437.88 (-1.28)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.88 (-1.28)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 4.00 (+0.28)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 437.88 (-1.28)          Belly of the Beast (BELYB) 150000 4.84 (+0.27)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 4.00 (+0.28)          Babies (BBIES) 20000 12.66 (-0.99)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.41 (+0.89)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.80 (+0.99)          Mira Sorvino (MSORV) 10 31.73 (-0.12)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 1.47 (-0.02)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 11.32 (+0.68)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.80 (+0.99)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.80 (+0.99)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 4665 39.31 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.41 (+0.89)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.41 (+0.89)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.03 (-0.29)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.03 (-0.29)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.11 (+0.40)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 24999 0.69 (-0.03)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.11 (+0.40)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.53 (-0.47)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.53 (-0.47)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 18.25 (-0.10)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 4395 39.31 (0.00)          Josh Safdie (JSAFD) 100 21.75 (0.00)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 150000 51.06 (+0.25)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.03 (-0.29)          Peaked (PEAKD) 5000 8.03 (-0.29)          Eleven Days (11DAY) 149999 14.06 (+0.88)