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It's not a single analysis. Read inside --->
Consider that this weekend always (or most of the time) have smaller drops than usual.
For example, last year, The Hobbit 3 (-21%) and Exodus (-22%)
The year before, Hobbit 2 had -18%, and the year before Hobbit drop was -26, Jack Reacher -18%.
So, If we also consider TFA is having smaller drops already, it wouldn't be crazy to think we can have a drop between -22 and -25%, which would be in the 110/120M range.
STAR7's Tuesday drop was identical to Avatar's, it the pattern holds, it will be at $654 million going into the weekend.... Dec 30, 13:32
Not very. It will break it eventually, though. (I know, I'm stepping out with that comment) {nm} Dec 30, 13:57
To answer your question, i think is very likely. I think 110M for this weekend is possible {nm} Dec 30, 14:01
What is this single point analysis. Monday drop was much bigger and so was the 2nd weekend drop. {nm} Dec 30, 14:21
It's not a single analysis. Read inside ---> Dec 30, 21:07
HOBT3 dropped 47% in its 3rd weekend. All others are not a good comp since their 3rd weekend is Xmas, not NY. {nm} Dec 31, 08:28
It won't be doing 25 a day next week. {nm} Dec 30, 14:36
Averaged out, maybe? {nm} Dec 30, 15:10
School's will be back in session - not going to happen {nm} Dec 30, 15:13
Delist $850 and makes it to $1 billion in domestic box office IMO! {nm} Dec 30, 20:01