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if it opens at $60M or under I don't think it has a shot at $200M. could certainly see it falling that far on the OW. {nm}

Posted by: lobogotti on Apr 18, 10:32 in response to ~JPV~'s post I'd be surprised if it crosses $200M Dom. Internationally...

Even though BvS is now ahead of Zootopia. I believe Zoo will finish higher. Did anyone see this? {nm} tenchi7 Apr 17, 18:14

Considering how BvS is dropping, Zootopia could come back on top. {nm} Jay_Beezy Apr 17, 18:19

It will be close. I do think Zoo will squeak it out. BvS lost 597 screens compared to Zoos 235. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 17, 18:24

Just wondering what place BvS will fall to for the year Captain 3, Finding Dory, Rogue 1, maybe Suicide Squad and ID4 2 all should pass it. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 17, 18:27

Alice sequel, Jungle Book, Tarzan all have promise to make 330M. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 17, 18:32

Honestly, I don't see the Alice sequel passing it. Ditto on Tarzan. Jungle Book OTOH should easily pass it even with CAPA3 opening soon. {nm} ~JPV~ Apr 17, 19:48

The first Alice did 330+M/1B+> I see it doing close to 400M. Never know with Tarzan. Burroughs needs a win. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 17, 20:57

IDK, I just see it taking a massive dip. Heck, it's about a month away and the current stock is priced at a $51M OW. ~JPV~ Apr 17, 21:54

Also, and I just realized this, it's opening opposite XMEN6. {nm} ~JPV~ Apr 17, 21:59

IMO, Alice will have trouble with $250M (if even that). this film did well because people were thirsty for a Disney Live action at that time lobogotti Apr 18, 06:02

I'd be surprised if it crosses $200M Dom. Internationally it could do very well, though. {nm} ~JPV~ Apr 18, 09:13

if it opens at $60M or under I don't think it has a shot at $200M. could certainly see it falling that far on the OW. lobogotti Apr 18, 10:32

I don't think it will be that close. Even in the face of JNGLB, ZOOTP still only dropped 42.6% (its worst hold so far). SUPE2 -61%. second gary Apr 17, 19:12

I noticed on 4/7 that the trend in SUPE2 could potentially have it gross under ZOOTP (link inside)... lobogotti Apr 18, 05:30

btw, at one point Zoot was $43M behind Inside Out. the run it's having is spectacular. NO ONE and I do mean no one, would have picked it lobogotti Apr 18, 05:40

SUPE2's performance recalls both GODZL's struggle to reach 200M and the angry disappointment the movie generated. {nm} second gary Apr 18, 06:13

ha, yes! I do remember that now gary. and it was fresh rated from the critics. rare a blockbuster lobogotti Apr 18, 06:17

*by over 5% {nm} lobogotti Apr 18, 06:20

Someone in the weekend thread at BOT kept riffing on the idea of SUPE2 being a big art film, the same kind of charge, iirc, that. . . second gary Apr 18, 06:36

Cranston did demand attention in those trailers for Zilla, btw. I think Watchmen is worth a view. lobogotti Apr 18, 06:59

Ditto on "talking myself out of seeing" something. I've done that with AVNGR, WATCH and SUPE2. {nm} second gary Apr 18, 07:48





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