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Long BRUNO, Short ILUBC

Posted by: shadowking (a.k.a shadowking13) on Jul 10, 09:24 in response to gogreen's post A very confident LONG on BRUNO and a very confident SHORT...

I'm not entirely confident on BRUNO, but odds wise I think it has about the same chance of coming in around 50M as it does of coming in around 35M.  Priced at about 41.5M means more potential upside going long the way I see things.

ILUBC is a classic case of a movie I would not know existed if it wasn't for HSX.  For those that would claim it has no where to go but up, 66% of movies halting under H$20 adjust down historically speaking.  It clearly have room to go down further.

ICEA3 may have had an artificially soft Saturday last weekend, but it had an artificially strong Friday to counteract that.  I doubt it cracks 30M this weekend and may not even crack 25M, which will leave it a long way from #1.

 





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Split Fiction (SPFIC) 12025 40.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.38 (+0.11)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.38 (+0.11)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.22 (-0.10)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 13000 41.24 (-0.16)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.22 (-0.10)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 12026 2.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 24.84 (+0.79)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 24.84 (+0.79)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 10000 12.28 (+0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.92 (+0.06)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.92 (+0.06)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 89.56 (+6.38)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 20000 42.31 (-1.17)          Emily the Strange (EMILY) 10000 17.99 (0.00)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 17000 20.73 (-0.04)          David (DAVID) 150000 77.26 (-1.92)          Anaconda H$30 Put (ANAC3.PU) 25000 3.74 (+0.20)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 14.12 (-1.45)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.30 (-0.10)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 41000 23.12 (0.00)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.30 (-0.10)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 10000 25.90 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 25.04 (+1.33)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1 219.67 (-1.23)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 40000 20.73 (-0.04)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 40000 23.97 (-0.01)          Paul Greengrass (PGREE) 8 80.79 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Signing Tony Raymond (SIGTR) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 40.00 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 10000 40.00 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 31817 219.67 (-1.23)          By Any Means (CI34) 40000 18.73 (+0.03)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 20 202.49 (-0.49)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 45 78.15 (+0.05)          Exorcist Film Directed by Mike F (TEXO2) 100 36.72 (+0.09)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 100000 7.02 (-0.21)          Untitled Damien Chazelle Prison (UDCHA) 3000 23.12 (0.00)          World War Hulk (THLK2) 10000 39.26 (-0.03)          Christine (CRSTN) 100000 17.20 (+0.69)          World War Hulk (THLK2) 12000 39.26 (-0.03)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 10000 290.54 (-2.13)          The Wager (WAGER) 33000 17.74 (-0.04)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 3.52 (-0.48)