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That said if there is a big impact this year on Sunday, it's unlikely that Disney will fully account for it in their estimates. {nm}

Posted by: notfabio on Mar 01, 12:07 in response to notfabio's post The only thing that worries me is the Oscar Telecast on...

MTC 3/5 - ALICE 88, BROOKLYN 8 {nm} notfabio Mar 01, 10:32

thats more like it, but i smell c-note for wonderland. {nm} pweiprod Mar 01, 10:36

So everyone really thinks Alice's OW in March will be bigger than Avatar's December OW? Hmmm {nm} Phatcat Mar 01, 12:35

hell yes. avatar underperformed OW. people thought it was weird blue people. it wasnt the country went full avatard fanboy with crazy WOM pweiprod Mar 01, 12:45

So everyone really thinks Alice's OW in March will be bigger than Avatar's December OW? Hmmm {nm} Phatcat Mar 01, 12:38

They probably aren't taking various factors into account: The Oscars as mentioned below.. secretstalker Mar 01, 12:54

Just my two cents: I call B.S. on 'dem numbers. No way in hell is Alice opening that big {nm} RedBurnett Mar 01, 10:36

paypal bet that alice in wonderland clears 80mil? {nm} pweiprod Mar 01, 10:46

Don't be surprised if it makes that much. Higher 3d and imax charges. Shorter running time than Avatar = more showings {nm} tonyj1 Mar 01, 10:48

shoosh tony, im tryin to make some real life money here. {nm} pweiprod Mar 01, 10:51

I believe it. I have been expected 80-85 or thereabouts for quite awhile MiyazakiFan Mar 01, 11:04

$100m for Alice, here it comes :) {nm} xiayun Mar 01, 11:05

The only thing that worries me is the Oscar Telecast on Sunday. This stands to be one of the most watched telecasts in some time and .... notfabio Mar 01, 12:06

That said if there is a big impact this year on Sunday, it's unlikely that Disney will fully account for it in their estimates. notfabio Mar 01, 12:07

Exactly... and the fact that there is school on Friday and Monday in most places... {nm} secretstalker Mar 01, 12:51

hold up dude. I've followed ur posts for 3 years now. U don't honestly think ALICE O.W. will be affected by telecasts of the Oscars??? ConrocK Mar 01, 22:41

No way ! This is Burton, people... It's a black no kiddies film... and slow, more so for the 3D thing. she falls and falls and falls... {nm} JMT Mar 01, 11:16

Yes way! Don't you know Tim Burton's secret formula... eyescovered Mar 01, 11:25

LOL. Didn't know that. Lalalala deedle deedle boom boom. Great ! {nm} JMT Mar 01, 11:31

Is there really that much more interest than a summer releast of CFACT ($56M opening in mid-July)? {nm} The Commish Mar 01, 11:27

I believe so. Hasn't it been advertised in 3D in front of Avatar, a lot? Plus, it's a much more well-known fairytale than CFACT. Facto Mar 01, 11:47

MTC 3/5 - ALICE 88, BROOKLYN 8 Tagging for Reference numbersix_99 Mar 01, 12:27

well my hopes mbking92 Mar 01, 17:13

Seems pretty high, but could easily pull 65-75 {nm} Instro Mar 02, 10:19

Intrade has great OW contracts every week sprinter319 Mar 01, 13:57

so it's had lots of exposure, but what is its target audience? too mature for families, to unusual for average adults... RedBurnett Mar 01, 16:35





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Airman (AIRMA) 26000 23.52 (-0.55)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 4999 446.11 (-2.58)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 45000 7.13 (+0.53)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.58 (-1.81)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 12000 16.55 (+0.08)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 12000 22.23 (+0.01)          Timur Bekmambetov (TBEKM) 25000 48.06 (-0.16)          Ma 2 (MA2) 23000 18.12 (-0.16)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 12723 127.26 (-2.46)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 127.26 (-2.46)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 103828 127.26 (-2.46)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 25.19 (+0.22)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 62.47 (+1.85)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 62.47 (+1.85)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 1 15.05 (-0.18)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 1331 13.32 (-0.38)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 446.11 (-2.58)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 91.64 (+0.75)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 100000 72.00 (-1.44)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 116.34 (+1.34)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 116.34 (+1.34)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 1380 13.32 (-0.38)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.97 (+0.54)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.91 (+0.17)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.57 (-0.79)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Kate Mara (KMARA) 100 10.01 (+0.10)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Robert Eggers (REGGE) 25000 38.92 (+0.12)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Ma 2 (MA2) 24000 18.12 (-0.16)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Ma 2 (MA2) 27000 18.12 (-0.16)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 100 60.43 (+1.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 3 9.10 (+0.55)