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They probably aren't taking various factors into account: The Oscars as mentioned below..

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on Mar 01, 12:54 in response to Phatcat's post So everyone really thinks Alice's OW in March will be...

or the fact that awareness is escalated by the fact that EVERYONE knows "Alice in Wonderland" and that doesn't mean they're necessarily aware or interested in the weird-looking movie. I'd really love to know what kind of research that MTC does to come up with those numbers cause at least as far as RS and ERC, I can see their raw data from polling and doing research... does MTC do the same or are they just interpreting data from other sources?

MTC 3/5 - ALICE 88, BROOKLYN 8 {nm}   notfabio on Mar 01, 10:32

thats more like it, but i smell c-note for wonderland. {nm}   pweiprod on Mar 01, 10:36

So everyone really thinks Alice's OW in March will be bigger than Avatar's December OW? Hmmm {nm}   Phatcat on Mar 01, 12:35

hell yes. avatar underperformed OW. people thought it was weird blue people. it wasnt the country went full avatard fanboy with crazy WOM   pweiprod on Mar 01, 12:45

So everyone really thinks Alice's OW in March will be bigger than Avatar's December OW? Hmmm {nm}   Phatcat on Mar 01, 12:38

They probably aren't taking various factors into account: The Oscars as mentioned below..   secretstalker on Mar 01, 12:54

Just my two cents: I call B.S. on 'dem numbers. No way in hell is Alice opening that big {nm}   RedBurnett on Mar 01, 10:36

paypal bet that alice in wonderland clears 80mil? {nm}   pweiprod on Mar 01, 10:46

Don't be surprised if it makes that much. Higher 3d and imax charges. Shorter running time than Avatar = more showings {nm}   tonyj1 on Mar 01, 10:48

shoosh tony, im tryin to make some real life money here. {nm}   pweiprod on Mar 01, 10:51

I believe it. I have been expected 80-85 or thereabouts for quite awhile   MiyazakiFan on Mar 01, 11:04

$100m for Alice, here it comes :) {nm}   xiayun on Mar 01, 11:05

The only thing that worries me is the Oscar Telecast on Sunday. This stands to be one of the most watched telecasts in some time and ....   notfabio on Mar 01, 12:06

That said if there is a big impact this year on Sunday, it's unlikely that Disney will fully account for it in their estimates. {nm}   notfabio on Mar 01, 12:07

Exactly... and the fact that there is school on Friday and Monday in most places... {nm}   secretstalker on Mar 01, 12:51

hold up dude. I've followed ur posts for 3 years now. U don't honestly think ALICE O.W. will be affected by telecasts of the Oscars???   ConrocK on Mar 01, 22:41

No way ! This is Burton, people... It's a black no kiddies film... and slow, more so for the 3D thing. she falls and falls and falls... {nm}   JMT on Mar 01, 11:16

Yes way! Don't you know Tim Burton's secret formula...   eyescovered on Mar 01, 11:25

LOL. Didn't know that. Lalalala deedle deedle boom boom. Great ! {nm}   JMT on Mar 01, 11:31

Is there really that much more interest than a summer releast of CFACT ($56M opening in mid-July)? {nm}   The Commish on Mar 01, 11:27

I believe so. Hasn't it been advertised in 3D in front of Avatar, a lot? Plus, it's a much more well-known fairytale than CFACT.   Facto on Mar 01, 11:47

MTC 3/5 - ALICE 88, BROOKLYN 8 Tagging for Reference   numbersix_99 on Mar 01, 12:27

well my hopes   mbking92 on Mar 01, 17:13

Seems pretty high, but could easily pull 65-75 {nm}   Instro on Mar 02, 10:19

Intrade has great OW contracts every week   sprinter319 on Mar 01, 13:57

so it's had lots of exposure, but what is its target audience? too mature for families, to unusual for average adults...   RedBurnett on Mar 01, 16:35





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