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Well, regarding Twilight, it's all about how much of that 160 is Wed/Thursday compared to the weekend.

Posted by: goodvibe61 on Jun 21, 09:46 in response to Phatcat's post RS (6/27)

I have to believe that Wednesday will be massive, as kids are out of school and have the time to wait in line and see it immediately. But to what degree I'm not sure. I'm assuming that Wednesday will be bigger than Friday, and that after Friday night most of the fans will have seen it.

 

The second film really started trailing off by its first Sunday (3rd day of release). By the second weekend the hold was absolutely dreadful.

 

No RS yet, but MTC has [GRWUP] at $39 and [KNDAY] at $25 (five day)... courtesy notfabio. {nm} secretstalker Jun 21, 08:36

I haven't been paying too much attention to box office trends the last 6 months, but shadowking Jun 21, 08:58

Seems low to me, but I'll be curious to see horlick's Twitter update, hopefully before Wednesday! {nm} secretstalker Jun 21, 09:00

reviews could be awful if the early ones are an indication {nm} Moviesnob Jun 21, 09:10

For Knight and Day? I know a lot of people who liked it.. the first two on RT are positive. {nm} secretstalker Jun 21, 09:13

Hollywood Reporter didn't like...only one I had heard of so far. I was expecting bad reviews though. {nm} Moviesnob Jun 21, 09:18

To me, its a film critics are going to be hard on, but it should do well WOM. They need to run some of those "people coming out of the theat islander Jun 21, 09:26

A couple of friends saw it Saturday evening. They really enjoyed it, found it very entertaining, funny and real good chemistry Cruise/Diaz. goodvibe61 Jun 21, 09:27

HR (and Variety) were both more middle of the road (each are 50/100 on Metacritic) than flat out pans. shadowking Jun 21, 09:37

hey welcome back islander Jun 21, 09:28

Sane? Rational? Surely you jest. shadowking Jun 21, 09:33

Could you drop me a line? I don't think I have your current Email. {nm} secretstalker Jun 21, 09:40

ygm {nm} shadowking Jun 21, 09:53

Moviegoers don't need to pay to see TCRUI acting crazy? It's interesting the stars are not even on the outdoor campaign, just silohuettes. {nm} Antibody Jun 21, 10:25

He doesn't act that crazy... the commercials have just been focusing on that aspect of the role... which I think is a mistake. {nm} secretstalker Jun 21, 10:40

RS (6/27) Phatcat Jun 21, 09:26

Sorry, thats (6/25) not (6/27) {nm} Phatcat Jun 21, 09:30

Well, regarding Twilight, it's all about how much of that 160 is Wed/Thursday compared to the weekend. goodvibe61 Jun 21, 09:46

I think it will be 60% on Weds/Thurs. {nm} secretstalker Jun 21, 09:50

That's about what I was thinking as well. New Moon did 115 Million in the first 2 days. by the third day...28 million. {nm} goodvibe61 Jun 21, 09:56

That may be a little extreme. ~50% is about the prior max that I can find. shadowking Jun 21, 10:05

RS 6/27 Tagging for Reference numbersix_99 Jun 21, 10:04

RS 6/27 Forgot [PRED3] Mid 40's (!) {nm} numbersix_99 Jun 21, 10:06





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David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.51 (-0.85)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 20000 24.51 (-0.85)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.51 (-0.85)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 20000 24.51 (-0.85)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 41.70 (-5.42)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 20000 1.13 (-0.27)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-1.76)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-1.76)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 20000 1.13 (-0.27)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.60 (-2.62)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 41.70 (-5.42)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 20000 3.87 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 20000 3.87 (+0.58)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.54 (-0.16)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 446.12 (-2.57)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 7500 117.74 (-4.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 22413 446.12 (-2.57)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 20.05 (-0.13)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 20.05 (-0.13)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 15000 117.74 (-4.09)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 15000 60.60 (-2.62)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.00 (+0.46)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.00 (+0.46)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 10000 8.44 (-0.10)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 10000 8.44 (-0.10)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 10000 3.68 (-0.01)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 5000 446.12 (-2.57)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 10000 3.68 (-0.01)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 150000 221.51 (+0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 10000 446.12 (-2.57)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 719 167.25 (+1.55)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 1 446.12 (-2.57)          Shell (SHELL) 150000 0.47 (-0.38)          Coyotes (COYOT) 150000 0.68 (-0.30)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 500 5.00 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 20.08 (-0.18)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 150000 36.27 (+0.40)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 86.40 (+0.07)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 99.18 (+0.01)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 2500 10.00 (0.00)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 87718 167.25 (+1.55)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 25000 474.49 (+0.03)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 149999 221.51 (+0.58)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 22.78 (-1.76)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 50000 22.78 (-1.76)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.70 (-5.42)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 41.70 (-5.42)