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They could be going off BOT which had given ~$96m D3

Posted by: Tallwonder on Jan 12, 20:44 in response to notfabio's post Quorum (Which is not all that great at tracking) via DL:...

and total BO ~$240m which'd place D24 ~205m which's roughly where HSX is (which is the chicken & which the egg?).

Personally I think it'll be lower (D24/final, D3 could still be in that range based on CAPA1-3 fandom), America mostly doesn't want a black Cap just like it doesn't want a (colored) woman as Prez (& won't accept a colored woman being Snow White).

The only thing that can save a movie in such a situation is if the movie itself is amazing, which from everything heard till now CAPA4 is far from being.

Quorum (Which is not all that great at tracking) via DL: CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD $86-95 million 3 Day notfabio Jan 12, 13:02

Allegedly tickets go on sale Friday, January 17, 2025. {nm} notfabio Jan 12, 13:03

What's a good movie to compare its opening to? WINTER SOLDIER? THOR 4? THE SUICIDE SQUAD? SHAZAM 2? Rishoutfield Jan 12, 17:28

Having done this for a very long time.... TheWeekendWarrior Jan 13, 03:29

I guess that's a long-winded way of me saying that comparisons can only go so far. TheWeekendWarrior Jan 13, 03:30

I think it's pretty safe to say the quality is not going to be on par with Winter Solider. :) {nm} notfabio Jan 13, 08:13

point of contention with the "borderline racist white Marvel fan" bit pro-satoshi Jan 13, 09:24

I still think that most people aren't aware of all the reshoots {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jan 13, 09:52

thanks for the answer, TWW Rishoutfield Jan 13, 13:55

They could be going off BOT which had given ~$96m D3 Tallwonder Jan 12, 20:44

They're going off their own survey data that they collect {nm} RupertPupkin Jan 12, 21:51

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Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 50000 29.04 (-0.28) Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 60000 29.04 (-0.28) King Conan (CONA2) 50000 63.03 (+0.46) The Rescue (RSCUE) 30000 29.17 (-0.29) King Conan (CONA2) 50000 63.03 (+0.46) King Conan (CONA2) 50000 63.03 (+0.46) Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 8.74 (-0.22) The Rescue (RSCUE) 99999 29.17 (-0.29) Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 5.19 (+0.08) King Conan (CONA2) 50000 63.03 (+0.46) Lords of War (LRDW2) 75000 8.09 (-0.07) King Conan (CONA2) 50000 63.03 (+0.46) Lords of War (LRDW2) 149999 8.09 (-0.07) King Conan (CONA2) 50000 63.03 (+0.46) Everybody Digs Bill Evans (EBDBE) 150000 1.00 (0.00) Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 50000 8.74 (-0.22) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 20.46 (+0.47) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 149999 20.46 (+0.47) Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 149999 8.74 (-0.22) Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 5.19 (+0.08) Musk (MUSK) 50000 3.44 (+0.15) Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 5.19 (+0.08) Josephine Baker (JSPBK) 150000 2.00 (0.00) Musk (MUSK) 75000 3.44 (+0.15) Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 15000 46.40 (-0.14) Scapegoat (SCAPG) 1 19.61 (0.00) King Conan (CONA2) 150000 63.03 (+0.46) The Surgeon (SURGN) 150000 10.17 (+0.11) The Surgeon (SURGN) 100000 10.17 (+0.11) King Conan (CONA2) 150000 63.03 (+0.46) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 20.46 (+0.47) Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 20.64 (-0.12) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 20.46 (+0.47) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 20.46 (+0.47) Astaire (ASTAI) 150000 20.64 (-0.12) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 150000 20.46 (+0.47) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 60000 20.46 (+0.47) Musk (MUSK) 150000 3.44 (+0.15) Musk (MUSK) 150000 3.44 (+0.15) Musk (MUSK) 150000 3.44 (+0.15) Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 120000 29.04 (-0.28) Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 60000 20.46 (+0.47) Musk (MUSK) 150000 3.44 (+0.15) Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 8.74 (-0.22) Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 8.74 (-0.22) Day Drinker (DRNKR) 50000 18.75 (+0.11) Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 150000 7.96 (+0.37) Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.32 (+0.36) Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 150000 7.96 (+0.37) Copperhead (COPRH) 149999 18.32 (+0.36)