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Why is everyone thinking such a strong multiplier for inception 2nd weekend?

Posted by: TeddyB024 on Jul 24, 14:21 in response to Karthick24's post With a $13.2 Million Friday take the weekend will be...

trying to find a movie that opened over 50mm and dropped by less then 40% the next, besides avatar (blizzard weakened the opening) i cant find one. A 40mm weekend for inception is roughly a 36.5% drop only, what am i missing?

ERC: INCEPTION is #1 - $40 million, SALT #2 - $33 million, DESPICABLE ME #3 - $22 million {nm} Vashta Nerada Jul 24, 08:15

And here are the Top 12 Vashta Nerada Jul 24, 08:19

Wknd/Wknd drop-offs INCPT 36.3% SORAP 43.2% {nm} Vashta Nerada Jul 24, 08:32

TWLI3 and BENDR are fully priced {nm} Vashta Nerada Jul 24, 08:32

PRED3 64.4% Fully priced and depending on how many theaters it drops (lost 823 this weekend) a possible $1 short. Not really worth holding. {nm} Vashta Nerada Jul 24, 08:47

DESME 31.4%. This is easy money, there is no way it can delist below its current price $170.51. {nm} Vashta Nerada Jul 24, 08:51

With a $13.2 Million Friday take the weekend will be around $42 Million for Inception and Karthick24 Jul 24, 09:56

Until I see numbers for Saturday, I'll accept ERC's estimates, thank you very much. =) {nm} grammar Jul 24, 10:23

I hope you are right Mr. Nolan. {nm} Goines12 Jul 24, 10:47

You have really got a bee in your bonnet about INCPT. What difference does it make whether it makes 2 mil more than the estimate? Whoopee! {nm} goodvibe61 Jul 24, 10:49

The "Difference" won't seem like a big deal now my friend with good vibes Karthick24 Jul 24, 11:22

More More More!!! huxbux Jul 24, 11:37

33 is a short, 36 is a long. I shorted, so I prefer to believe the 33 estimate {nm} NiteKraz Jul 24, 13:01

Why is everyone thinking such a strong multiplier for inception 2nd weekend? TeddyB024 Jul 24, 14:21

Try looking at your friend the first "Spider-Man" Movie... Karthick24 Jul 24, 15:21





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King Snake (KSNAK) 50000 14.44 (+0.45)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 22.14 (-1.22)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          By Any Means (CI34) 20000 19.21 (+1.22)          By Any Means (CI34) 40000 19.21 (+1.22)          The Bride H$15 Put (BRIDE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride H$15 Call (BRIDE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          By Any Means (CI34) 40000 19.21 (+1.22)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 38.12 (-0.07)          Buds (BUDS) 150000 31.76 (+2.18)          The Bride H$15 Call (BRIDE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 36.66 (-0.59)          Buds (BUDS) 150000 31.76 (+2.18)          Amy Madigan - Weapons - Sup Actr (A6SAMA) 10000 7.41 (+0.11)          Elsie Fisher (EFISH) 25000 31.24 (0.00)          Undertone (UNDTN) 150000 13.34 (+0.78)          The Bride H$15 Put (BRIDE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Bride H$15 Call (BRIDE.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 25000 173.21 (-1.06)          The Bride! - Opening Weekend (BRIDE.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 150000 501.65 (+1.03)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 15000 111.67 (+3.42)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 25000 173.21 (-1.06)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers H$50 Call (HOPPR.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Hoppers - Opening Weekend (HOPPR.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Timur Bekmambetov (TBEKM) 25000 44.81 (+0.60)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 25000 32.05 (-0.02)          Stellan Skarsgård - Sentimental (A6RSSK) 25000 11.30 (+0.14)          Buds (BUDS) 150000 31.76 (+2.18)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 111.67 (+3.42)          David Thewlis (DTHEW) 12500 100.88 (-0.85)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 6000 4.08 (+0.03)          Ryan Coogler - Sinners - Directo (A6DRCO) 25000 3.14 (-0.08)          Hoppers H$50 Put (HOPPR.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Over Your Dead Body aka The Trip (TETRP) 150000 6.55 (+0.01)          Teyana Taylor - One Battle after (A6STTA) 25000 11.51 (+0.07)          Amy Madigan - Weapons - Sup Actr (A6SAMA) 25000 7.41 (+0.11)          Over Your Dead Body aka The Trip (TETRP) 122000 6.55 (+0.01)          Wagner Moura (WMOUR) 25000 51.62 (-0.42)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 25 173.21 (-1.06)          The Bride H$15 Put (BRIDE.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Chris Pratt (CPRAT) 15000 173.21 (-1.06)          Scream 7 H$40 Call (SCRM7.CA) 25000 3.41 (+0.03)