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Movies

Be weary of a single point analysis.

Posted by: horlicks on Apr 12, 23:34 in response to karspov's post It's a fact that Scream4 had the biggest Monday since...

It has been ahead of Paranormal 2 for the last few weeks now very consistently (12 of the last 14 days including Monday Scream has been ahead). Monday it was below it but it doubled it on Tuesday and looks set to do it again for Wednesday. I don't have a crystal ball and obviously I'm thinking way higher than many but there is no doubt that there is a ton more hype on Twitter for Scream which says a lot to me since Twitter and social media in general played a huge part in Paranormal's success.

BO.com: 'Scream 4' rides premiere buzz To biggest Monday since 'Deathly Hallows' {nm} PVL Admin Apr 12, 20:44

http://www.boxoffice.com:80/statistics/twitter_article/2011-04-scream-4-rides-premiere-buzz-to-biggest-monday-since-deathly-hallows {nm} PVL Admin Apr 12, 20:45

"$20 million+ Friday including midnights still looks to be on the cards"...thats making me feel a lot better, THANKS! {nm} Moviesnob Apr 12, 21:05

Does BoxOffice have a better rep than MTC? They said 27 million all weekend {nm} secretstalker Apr 12, 21:29

well YOU said 40, which is more in line with BO. You better be reliable or I'll cut you {nm} Moviesnob Apr 12, 21:38

That is only an opinion, man. {nm} Antibody Apr 12, 21:32

watch it dude theres a beverage here! {nm} Moviesnob Apr 12, 21:39

That is a misleading headline. SCRM4's actual tweet count Monday is 25% less than PNAC2, which opened to $40M. {nm} Antibody Apr 12, 21:32

lol. How's that misleading. Since Deathly Hallows...which came out last? {nm} horlicks Apr 12, 22:11

You're smarter than that. It doesn't tell the story. Shouldn't the tweet counts of a horror sequel be more comparable to another horror seq Antibody Apr 12, 22:42

Doesn't make it incorrect. Its a factual statement. {nm} horlicks Apr 12, 23:01

It can be factual AND misleading at the same time. From a certain point of view, as old ben kenobi would say. {nm} Paul2k Apr 12, 23:04

It's a fact that Scream4 had the biggest Monday since Deathly Hollows.. karspov Apr 12, 23:21

Be weary of a single point analysis. horlicks Apr 12, 23:34

No problem Horlicks, because normally I pay loads of attention on your prediction site to decide on how the weekly openers will do.. karspov Apr 12, 23:48

Do you have evidence that genre matters in tweet analysis? ty97 Apr 12, 23:38

Finding ratios between tweet counts and box office according to genre/audience is the whole point of BOP's tweet analysis {nm} RogerMore Apr 13, 07:12

Did you even read the article before mouthing off? Antibody Apr 13, 10:10

I did, my statement stands. You are the moderator here, and have the power associated with that. ty97 Apr 13, 16:33

I don't know much about the Scream franchise, not being a fan of horror movies JohnTEQP Apr 12, 23:10

MTC is a force to be reckon with, with a few misses here and there,but alot of people here still have loads of confidence on its predictions {nm} karspov Apr 12, 23:23

Did someone already post MTC for this weekend? I can't seem to find them. {nm} petz Apr 13, 00:22

Link karspov Apr 13, 00:26

I loved it.. I made money shorting it when it started to drop. (inside) winstonman78 Apr 13, 05:11

And yeah the price is gonna drop like a bomb when it's been trading for a 37mil ow and MTC says 27. winstonman78 Apr 13, 05:14

Unless scream actually ends out making 40+ million... ;) jeankie Apr 13, 06:20

yah. and i can always dump the put stock if im making more than what its worth even if it did less than 40. winstonman78 Apr 13, 06:39

IMO the call for scream is pretty cheap and seems like low risk incase it does make 40mil. {nm} winstonman78 Apr 13, 06:47





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