Cochran is the most likely winner IMO.
Erik will have to win immunity at the final four to get to the end, but more importantly no one respects his game. They see him as wishy washy. (There's also a medical evacuation in the final. I am betting this is Erik)
Eddie is a nice guy but he simply hasn't played the game. While players like Malcolm and Andrea like him, I doubt they'd ever vote for him. But also if he doesn't win immunity he's gone
Dawn's chances are fatally damaged by her crying and breakdowns and the vote for Brenda last week.
Nobody likes Sherri, Reynold and Eddie hate her and I doubt any of the favorites will vote for a fan.
Cochran - who puts so much effort into thinking what to say in confessionals - has his final tribal council speech planned. He'll sell himself as the string puller running his tribe and being involved in the big decisions. He won't have to apologise for breaking personal relationships. He'll win by being the least-worst option to the jury