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A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win so one of them by default would have to be worth $100,000 more than IPO price

Posted by: TheWeekendWarrior on Aug 20, 11:51 in response to Buckee's post My thoughts on the presidential options...

I just looked at the 2000 election which had to be the closest in history... Bush got 271 electoral votes, Gore got 266. The number of votes per state may have changed in 20 years.

My thoughts on the presidential options... Buckee Aug 20, 11:13

slight ARB bbb101 Aug 20, 11:25

Shorting both wouldn't be ARB. {nm} Antibody Aug 20, 11:28

Correct. One will make money, not a ton compared to investment. The other comes somewhat close to breaking even.... if both are bought long. {nm} Buckee Aug 20, 11:46

since 1992: EC has been roughly 330-208, so about 2.4M profit at that gap, ok i guess. islndr Aug 20, 11:36

True. Only if one wins by a landslide can real money be made... if you played them correctly. {nm} Buckee Aug 20, 11:49

A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win so one of them by default would have to be worth $100,000 more than IPO price TheWeekendWarrior Aug 20, 11:51

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