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Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27 in response to notfabio's post mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





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Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 1250 204.03 (-25.59)         Fast & Furious 6 (FAST6) 1 219.58 (+2.27)         The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Par (HGAM4) 2500 277.08 (+0.25)         Iron Man 3 (IRNM3) 31138 409.30 (-1.68)         The Amazing Spider-Man #2 (SPID5) 50000 214.24 (+0.61)         The Dark Tower (DRKTW) 100000 19.34 (-0.88)         Animal Farm (AFARM) 100000 16.50 (-0.60)         The Class Project (CLASP) 20000 0.01 (-0.06)         Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 100000 204.03 (-25.59)         Candy Store (CNDYS) 10 20.16 (-0.05)         The Past (TPAST) 500 4.43 (+1.07)         Cocaine Cowboy aka American Desp (COCOW) 50000 0.17 (-0.02)         Godzilla (GODZL) 1232 85.38 (+0.80)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 100000 4.79 (-0.04)         Gone Girl (GONEG) 10 18.49 (+0.10)         The Seven Samurai (7SMUR) 35451 1.95 (+1.85)         The Champions (CHMPN) 50000 0.02 (-0.04)         Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 91138 204.03 (-25.59)         Adventures of Tintin 2 (TINT2) 100000 27.21 (+2.37)         If I Were You (IFIWU) 100000 0.22 (+0.02)         Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 50000 204.03 (-25.59)         Adventures of Tintin 2 (TINT2) 50000 27.21 (+2.37)         Cocaine Cowboy aka American Desp (COCOW) 50000 0.17 (-0.02)         Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 100000 204.03 (-25.59)         The Amazing Spider-Man #2 (SPID5) 50000 214.24 (+0.61)         Brit Marling (BMARL) 20000 3.02 (-0.05)         Christopher Lee (CLEE) 10000 94.15 (+0.39)         Fast & Furious 6 (FAST6) 99999 219.58 (+2.27)         Frances Ha (FRNHA) 1000 2.96 (+1.52)         Fire and Ice (FRICE) 100000 4.79 (-0.04)         Candy Store (CNDYS) 100000 20.16 (-0.05)         Andy Serkis (ASERK) 10000 80.03 (+0.49)         Epic (EPIC) 35000 75.16 (-2.07)         Gone Girl (GONEG) 100000 18.49 (+0.10)         24: The Movie (24) 50000 0.21 (+0.08)         Zachary Quinto (ZQUIN) 20000 113.31 (-1.72)         Interstellar (NTSTL) 50000 82.84 (-0.18)         Zachary Quinto (ZQUIN) 20000 113.31 (-1.72)         The Class Project (CLASP) 1000 0.01 (-0.06)         Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 100000 204.03 (-25.59)         Star Trek Into Darkness (TREK2) 100000 204.03 (-25.59)         Fast & Furious 7 (FAST7) 2000 141.81 (+1.90)         The Butler (BUTLR) 25000 25.28 (+0.02)         Christopher Lee (CLEE) 9900 94.15 (+0.39)         Passion (PSSON) 100000 2.03 (+0.06)         Free Ride (FRIDE) 1000 1.62 (+1.57)         Frank or Francis (FRANK) 5215 0.56 (+0.01)         The Past (TPAST) 100000 4.43 (+1.07)         Thor: The Dark World (THOR2) 10000 232.01 (+0.69)         Passion (PSSON) 100000 2.03 (+0.06)