HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27 in response to notfabio's post mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Untitled Martin Luther King Jr. (MLKJR) 100000 0.48 (-0.01)         The Glass Castle (GLASC) 100000 7.63 (+0.62)         American Pastoral (AMPST) 100000 3.80 (+1.71)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Mother's Day (MTHRS) 100000 28.25 (-0.95)         Mother's Day (MTHRS) 100000 28.25 (-0.95)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Wreck-It Ralph 2 (RALP2) 99999 75.75 (-5.48)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Beverly Hills Cop (BHCP4) 99999 5.19 (+0.16)         The Happytime Murders (HPTMR) 100000 10.71 (+0.57)         Hotel Transylvania 3 (HTRN3) 1000 61.29 (+0.06)         Untitled Detroit Project (DETRT) 9999 17.83 (-1.00)         Medusa (MEDUS) 99999 8.23 (+0.13)         Hotel Transylvania 3 (HTRN3) 1000 61.29 (+0.06)         How To Be A Latin Lover (HTBLL) 100000 17.18 (+1.61)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 5000 19.94 (+0.15)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 10000 19.94 (+0.15)         Departure (DPRTU) 99999 9.16 (+7.12)         Jason Bourne (BORN5) 10000 168.68 (-1.05)         The Opening Weekend Fund (OPENR) 4544 19.94 (+0.15)         American Pastoral (AMPST) 100000 3.80 (+1.71)         Untitled Detroit Project (DETRT) 9999 17.83 (-1.00)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         The Legend of Tarzan (TARZN) 50000 61.46 (-0.60)         How To Be A Latin Lover (HTBLL) 100000 17.18 (+1.61)         Snowden (SNWDN) 9999 20.18 (-1.47)         How To Be A Latin Lover (HTBLL) 100000 17.18 (+1.61)         Die Hard: Year One (DIEH6) 9999 27.38 (-1.67)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         How To Be A Latin Lover (HTBLL) 100000 17.18 (+1.61)         Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 5435 112.66 (+0.36)         Steve Carell (SCARE) 5435 40.99 (+0.43)         Wreck-It Ralph 2 (RALP2) 5000 75.75 (-5.48)         Substitute Teacher (SUBST) 100000 20.00 (0.00)         Don’t Think Twice (DTTWC) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Departure (DPRTU) 100000 9.16 (+7.12)         Tomb Raider (TOMB3) 64875 30.52 (+6.77)         Thomas Mann (THOMA) 7774 5.04 (-0.21)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.PU) 20000 1.34 (-0.66)         Maggie Smith (MSMTH) 5435 28.29 (+0.18)         Captain America: Civil War - Ope (CAPA3.OW) 100000 187.50 (+2.50)         Captain America: Civil War H$185 (CAPA3.CA) 20000 2.70 (+0.70)         Hotel Mumbai (HTLMB) 100000 9.31 (-0.69)         Southside With You (SSWYU) 100000 4.78 (+2.82)         RZA (RZA) 5435 32.96 (+0.26)         Alan Arkin (ALARK) 5435 22.27 (+0.18)         How to Train Your Dragon 3 (HTYD3) 1500 79.17 (-0.94)         Audrey Tautou (ATAUT) 20000 6.61 (-0.12)