Market Announcement: AwardOptions for the Oscar nominees are now trading.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27 in response to notfabio's post mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Dungeons & Dragons (DNDGN) 5000 19.24 (-0.04)         My Cousin Rachel (MCRAC) 6 4.26 (+0.02)         Maudie (MAUDI) 6 2.53 (-0.08)         A Dog's Purpose (ADOGP) 100000 52.37 (+1.46)         A Dog's Purpose (ADOGP) 100000 52.37 (+1.46)         The Lost City of Z (LOCTZ) 6 4.98 (-0.15)         Land of Mine (LNDOM) 6 0.34 (+0.09)         Dune (DUNE) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Megan Leavey (LEAVY) 6 4.99 (+0.08)         Song to Song (LAWLS) 6 2.12 (+0.16)         Junction 48 (JUN48) 6 0.48 (0.00)         Inhumans (INHUM) 6 9.04 (-0.22)         The Girl with all the Gifts (GWATG) 6 1.14 (-0.01)         Spark (SPARK) 100000 16.12 (+0.79)         Gifted (GIFTD) 6 12.33 (-0.04)         Frantz (FRNTZ) 6 1.25 (+0.54)         The Rats of NIMH (RNIMH) 1 40.09 (+10.09)         Free Fire (FREFR) 6 2.69 (-0.07)         Folk Hero & Funny Guy (FHAFG) 6 1.80 (+0.01)         The Blackcoat’s Daughter (FEBRU) 6 1.28 (-0.02)         The Dinner (DINNR) 6 1.93 (+0.06)         Dean (DEAN) 6 2.43 (+0.02)         Darkest Hour (DARKH) 6 14.53 (-0.21)         Wonderful Tonight (WNDRF) 90000 0.26 (-0.02)         Colossal (COLSL) 6 16.41 (+0.24)         The Coldest City (CLDCT) 6 9.18 (-0.06)         The Black Count (BLCNT) 90000 11.21 (+0.01)         Cezanne et Moi (CEZEM) 6 0.51 (+0.09)         Burn Your Maps (BYMAP) 6 0.74 (-0.04)         Bitter Harvest (BTHRV) 6 0.94 (-0.05)         Brimstone (BRMST) 6 1.02 (-0.01)         Paris Can Wait aka Bonjour Anne (BJANN) 6 1.56 (+0.04)         The Book of Henry (BHNRY) 6 6.44 (-0.11)         The Rats of NIMH (RNIMH) 100000 40.09 (+10.09)         The Beguiled (BGUIL) 6 16.69 (-0.02)         Birdsong (BRDSN) 90000 0.13 (-0.01)         A Quiet Passion (AQPSN) 6 1.09 (+0.06)         Dune (DUNE) 100000 40.00 (0.00)         Wonderful Tonight (WNDRF) 90000 0.26 (-0.02)         Punching Henry (APUNC) 6 0.56 (-0.04)         The Eyes of My Mother (TEOMM) 100000 0.15 (-0.07)         Aftermath (478) 6 1.31 (-0.01)         Incredible Shrinking Man (ISMAN) 90000 0.06 (+0.05)         All I See Is You (AISIY) 99999 14.65 (-0.19)         Corpus Christi (CRPUS) 95000 0.07 (+0.06)         Everybody Loves Somebody (EBLSB) 99999 2.67 (+0.35)         The Peppercorn Chronicles (PEPRC) 95000 0.06 (+0.05)         He's Out There (HESOT) 99999 17.40 (-0.15)         Step Sisters (STPSS) 99999 15.11 (-0.24)         Fifty Shades Darker (50SH2) 100000 123.45 (-2.80)