ANNOUNCEMENT: Blockbuster Warrants let you profit from the long-term box office success of the biggest movies.

HSX Forums: Movies Board






Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27 in response to notfabio's post mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4

mtc 3 day only numbers 8 katy perry 52 spid4 {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:13

Thats a huge drop from RS for Spiderman..... {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:15

huge "difference" :) {nm}   Antibody on Jul 02, 14:18

Ha! Yes. {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:19

If the "RS/MTC more than a coincidence thingy" is in effect, not good news for Spidy.   BionicMoron, EAP leader on Jul 02, 14:20

I guess its how you look at it... It will still likely make over $200M no matter which one is correct {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:22

It does put $200m total into question; who would have thought Ted may end up outgrossing it? {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:06

I was just reading your analysis on the film... Do you still feel confident about your Tuesday-Thursday numbers? {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:10

Starting to feel my ratio of Tue-to-Thurs vs. OW may be too high, but you're right at mine original blog post had $55m OW   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:15

Hmmm... What do you think about a Transformers 1 comparison? July 3rd (Tuesday) open... $36M (including mids) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 15:24

I don't see the opening day coming close to that; more like around $25m {nm}   xiayun on Jul 02, 21:12

As always... Thx!!! :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 21:18

The % difference for Avengers was lower though   xiayun on Jul 02, 15:18

Nothing for savages? {nm}   numbersix_99 on Jul 02, 14:26

Yikes. Still don't see it getting anywhere near $250 million. Might struggle to top $200m if MTC is closer (which I think they are) {nm}   ShawnMR on Jul 02, 14:27

So if I understand the rule correctly, SPID4 should have a <$50m 3 day? {nm}   baronblacksheep on Jul 02, 14:29

Its not exactly a "rule" and it has been wrong before... It has shown to be a decent barometer though. As always, "Caveat Emptor" :) {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:31

If the opening weekend obeys the rule. (It might not - and it did not for AVNGR). SPID4 is also an unusual case, opening on a Tuesday.   Roger More on Jul 02, 14:51

It would appear a Tuesday opening could hurt HSX prospects. That's three days of a hot property without the benefit of a multiplier {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:58

All just my opinion, by the way {nm}   dioneta on Jul 02, 14:59

It's a definite possibility. It's also what I thought when TFORM opened. I was wrong. (I hate July 4 openers) {nm}   Roger More on Jul 02, 15:16

12 for savages {nm}   notfabio on Jul 02, 14:30

Tagging MTC: [SPID4] 52 [KP3D] 8 [SAVAG] 12 (all 3-day only) {nm}   accountant_4_Jesus on Jul 03, 07:55





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!

Cantor Exchange
How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTYD2) 2000 198.94 (0.00)         Term Life (TRMLF) 57571 26.83 (+1.89)         Lucy (LUCY) 1000 60.08 (-0.06)         Desierto (DSRTO) 100000 4.07 (+0.67)         Brilliance (BRLNC) 100000 29.60 (+1.28)         Land Ho! (LNDHO) 10000 1.91 (-0.09)         Me and My Shadow (MSHDW) 100000 5.07 (+0.35)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 50000 49.24 (-1.05)         Tusk (TUSK) 99999 11.91 (-0.07)         The Associate (ASOCT) 99999 5.46 (-0.03)         Kung Fu (KUNFU) 99999 14.06 (-0.07)         Heaven Is For Real (HVNFR) 100000 51.10 (+0.87)         Cold Warrior (COLDW) 100000 0.06 (-0.01)         Selma (SELMA) 1 17.55 (+0.35)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 99999 20.08 (-0.09)         Tupac (TUPAC) 99999 16.36 (-0.54)         Hercules (HERCL) 100000 80.28 (-0.39)         Noah (NOAH) 100000 90.63 (+0.09)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 1 49.24 (-1.05)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 49.24 (-1.05)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 49.24 (-1.05)         Hancock 2 (HANC2) 100000 6.48 (+0.57)         Cake (CAKE) 15000 11.58 (+1.58)         Bill & Ted 3 (BILL3) 1000 6.61 (+0.57)         Tupac (TUPAC) 99999 16.36 (-0.54)         Cake (CAKE) 100000 11.58 (+1.58)         Splinter Cell (SCELL) 99998 20.08 (-0.09)         The Dark Tower (DRKTW) 5000 24.06 (-0.90)         The Green Inferno (GRNFR) 25000 30.38 (-0.97)         Captain America: The Winter Sold (CAPA2.BW) 20000 5.82 (+0.02)         Selma (SELMA) 99999 17.55 (+0.35)         Walk of Shame (WOSHM) 543 4.48 (+0.02)         Passengers (PSSNG) 99999 18.47 (0.00)         Alan Partridge (ALANP) 100000 0.07 (+0.02)         The Longest Ride (LNGST) 25000 31.59 (-0.76)         The Green Inferno (GRNFR) 25000 30.38 (-0.97)         Leprechaun: Origins (LPCHN) 99999 2.03 (-0.04)         Kung Fu (KUNFU) 99999 14.06 (-0.07)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 8984 49.24 (-1.05)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 49.24 (-1.05)         Gabriel Iglesias (GIGLE) 20000 71.14 (+0.13)         American Ultra (AULTR) 99999 20.53 (0.00)         The Associate (ASOCT) 99999 5.46 (-0.03)         The Quiet Ones (TQONE) 50000 26.69 (-0.24)         Captain America 3 (CAPA3) 100000 157.73 (-1.67)         Tusk (TUSK) 99999 11.91 (-0.07)         Transcendence (TRNSC) 100000 49.24 (-1.05)         Me and My Shadow (MSHDW) 10000 5.07 (+0.35)         Brilliance (BRLNC) 50000 29.60 (+1.28)         The Crossing aka Love And Let Lo (LVLLV) 100000 2.64 (+0.02)