The HSX Blog

Whisper Numbers: Will moviegoers commit to The Five-Year Engagement?

Four new films will close out the month of April before the summer blockbuster season begins next weekend. The romantic comedy The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] appears to have the best shot of topping the weekend box office. Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Emily Blunt [EBLUN] star as a couple taking a long, circuitous route to their wedding. Segel’s previous collaboration with director Nicholas Stoller [NSTOL], Forgetting Sarah Marshall opened with $17.7 million in 2008 and established both as players in comedy. Universal has hyped the R-rated film’s connection to Bridesmaids, but the trailers and reviews have not been as good as the 2011 smash. Nevertheless, there are materials appealing to both genders, which should attract the dating crowd. Debuting in 2936 theaters, The Five-Year Engagement should walk away with $20 million.

Last weekend’s top earner Think Like a Man [TLKAM] broke out across all demographics. With good word of mouth, Think Like a Man should hold better than 50% at arounc $18 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] is Aardman Studios’ first stop-motion animated film since 2005’s Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit, which opened with $16.0 million. Their last effort, the CG-animated Arthur Christmas opened to just $12.1 million last November. British humor just doesn’t translate broadly in the States. The PG-rated family film does have in its favor of being the only animated offering since The Lorax. Pirates! could loot $14.5 million from 3358 locations.

With its female target audience, the romance The Lucky One [LUCON] may decline 45% to $12 million.

John Cusack [JOHNC] plays Edgar Allan Poe in the period thriller The Raven [TRAVN]. The Relativity release markets itself as a R-rated version of Sherlock Holmes with the horror elements of Saw.  Unfortunately, the film lacks buzz and holds little audience appeal outside older men. Landing in 2203 theaters, The Raven could quoth a figure of $10 million.

Safe [SAFE] is the latest R-rated action vehicle starring Jason Statham [JSTAT]. Lionsgate’s marketing has done little to make the film stand out.  With only hardcore fans likely to turn out, Safe is unlikely to match the opening of Statham’s last two efforts, Killer Elite’s $9.3 million or The Mechanic’s $11.3 million. Playing in 2266 theaters, Safe may unlock just $7.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.


View more Blog posts »

By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 26, 2012 @ 03:54 PM 9617 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter

Follow HSX on Twitter!

Weekend Box Office Actuals: 1. #GodzillaVsKong $13.88M 5. #Voyagers $1.38M       Janina Gavankar joins Borderlands        Jordan Vogt-Roberts to direct live-action Gundam for Netflix        Lucy Liu joins Shazam! Fury of the Gods as the villain Kalypso       #Nomadland won the #EEBAFTAs for Best Film. Will it be the Best Picture at the #Oscars? https://t.co/Q0bWEifrMb       Chloe Zhao won the #EEBAFTAs for Best Director. Will she win again at the #Oscars ? https://t.co/j2PPCZyDep       Anthony Hopkins won the #EEBAFTAs for Best Actor. Will he also prevail at the #Oscars ? https://t.co/0sfEOJ9JEl       Frances McDormand won the #EEBAFTAs for Best Actress. Will she also prevail at the #Oscars ?…       Daniel Kaluuya won the #EEBAFTAs for Supporting Actor. Will he also bring home the #Oscars ?…       Yuh-Jung Youn won the #EEBAFTAs for Supporting Actress. Will she also bring home the #Oscars ?…      
Elvis (ELVIS) 27054 47.72 (+0.10)         The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 64233 20.31 (-0.03)         Cruella (CRULA) 764 70.33 (0.00)         Ticket to Paradise (TCKTP) 150000 28.57 (-1.22)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)         Ticket to Paradise (TCKTP) 25000 28.57 (-1.22)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 20000 20.94 (+0.94)         Catherine, Called Birdy (CATCB) 30000 6.35 (+0.92)         American Dreamer (ADRMR) 30000 4.31 (+0.61)         The Valet (TVALT) 25000 17.10 (-0.61)         Ticket to Paradise (TCKTP) 20000 28.57 (-1.22)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)         The Boss Baby: Family Business (BOSS2) 150000 62.76 (0.00)         Malignant (SLVCP) 150000 32.19 (+0.02)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 150000 155.13 (+0.11)         The Valet (TVALT) 100000 17.10 (-0.61)         Nine Days (9DAYS) 150000 0.81 (0.00)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 55000 20.94 (+0.94)         The Beatles: Get Back (LETBE) 150000 7.57 (+0.01)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 150000 5.19 (+0.30)         Ticket to Paradise (TCKTP) 125000 28.57 (-1.22)         Luca (LUCA) 25000 13.71 (-0.05)         Jack Reynor (JREYN) 25000 14.89 (0.00)         Jack Lowden (JLOWD) 25000 48.67 (0.00)         J.J. Abrams (JABRA) 25000 172.33 (-0.33)         J.C. Chandor (JCCHA) 25000 4.38 (0.00)         The Tomorrow War (GDRFT) 25000 8.09 (-0.05)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 50000 20.94 (+0.94)         Catherine, Called Birdy (CATCB) 100000 6.35 (+0.92)         American Dreamer (ADRMR) 150000 4.31 (+0.61)         Luca (LUCA) 50000 13.71 (-0.05)         Knives Out 2 (KNIV2) 50000 13.32 (+0.13)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 150000 5.19 (+0.30)         The Valet (TVALT) 100000 17.10 (-0.61)         House Party (HPRTY) 150000 13.88 (-0.20)         American Dreamer (ADRMR) 1 4.31 (+0.61)         Ticket to Paradise (TCKTP) 20000 28.57 (-1.22)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 150000 20.94 (+0.94)         American Dreamer (ADRMR) 125000 4.31 (+0.61)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 150000 5.19 (+0.30)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 150000 5.19 (+0.30)         Chip ‘n’ Dale: Rescue Ranger (CNDRR) 50000 14.59 (-0.01)         Last Voyage Of The Demeter (LVDEM) 100000 20.94 (+0.94)         Catherine, Called Birdy (CATCB) 125000 6.35 (+0.92)         The Valet (TVALT) 125000 17.10 (-0.61)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 150000 5.19 (+0.30)         The Valet (TVALT) 150000 17.10 (-0.61)