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Whisper Numbers: The Avengers initiates summer movie season.

Four superhero franchises converge in the highly-anticipated team-up The Avengers [AVNGR]. Marvel planted the seed for the film with a post credit scene in Iron Man, which opened to $98.6 million in 2008, followed by another in The Incredible Hulk the same summer. Although Iron Man 2 debuted with $128.1 million in 2010, the sequel was not as well-received and its total box office did not exceed the original. Thor and Captain America got their stand alone film last summer when the Norse god hammered $65.7 million a year ago this weekend, while The First Avenger followed suit with $65.1 million. Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN], Chris Evans [CEVAN], Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Mark Ruffalo [MRUFF] star as the four superheroes finally brought together in The Avengers by Nick Fury to take on a common enemy.  As directed by fan-favorite Joss Whedon [JWHED], the end product looks to be greater than the sum of each individual part, which may attract even non-comic fans who may not have seen one of the prequels. Disney has already opened The Avengers overseas and the overwhelmingly positive reviews has only further fuel the buzz.

Much like The Hunger Games earlier this year, the competition has ceded the weekend to the PG-13 rated blockbuster tentpole. Although advanced ticket sales have not matched The Hunger Games ($152.5 million opening weekend), The Avengers will enjoy the premium surcharge for 3D. Presales are outpacing Spider-Man 3, which opened this weekend in 2007 to $151.1 million.  The box office records of mid-summer releases The Dark Knight’s $158.4 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II’s $169.2 million though may be out of reach with school still in session.  The Avengers could come close and assemble around $158 million from 4349 theaters.

Think Like a Man [TLKAM] should hold its own against the juggernaut and finish second with a still robust $10 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] remains the top option for families with young children. The animated film may drop 35% to $7 million. Fellow sophomore pic The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] won't fare as well and tumble 50% to $5.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, RDOWN, CEVAN, CHEMS, MRUFF, JWHED, TLKAM, PIRTS, 5YENG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2012 @ 03:40 PM 4177 views

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The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 25000 34.72 (-0.89)          Civil War (CVLWR) 24000 60.45 (-1.14)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 1 136.07 (-0.38)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 25000 50.00 (0.00)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 15000 51.35 (+0.07)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 5000 53.34 (+0.31)          Breathe (BRETE) 150000 2.81 (-0.05)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 2 136.07 (-0.38)          Hellboy: The Crooked Man (HELB4) 15000 9.52 (0.00)          Hellboy: The Crooked Man (HELB4) 15000 9.52 (0.00)          Touch (TOUC) 149999 1.20 (+0.66)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Robot Dreams (RBDRM) 1 1.71 (+0.06)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 24999 88.26 (+0.25)          Lily James (LJAME) 25000 56.88 (-0.33)          Relay (RELAY) 150000 4.40 (+0.06)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 15000 26.98 (-0.05)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 15000 26.98 (-0.05)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.13 (-0.21)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.13 (-0.21)          Robert Pattinson (RPATT) 25000 72.71 (+0.50)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 109339 50.63 (-3.50)          Relay (RELAY) 150000 4.40 (+0.06)          Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 25000 0.06 (+0.05)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 15.64 (-1.33)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 15000 17.13 (+0.03)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 15000 17.13 (+0.03)          Exhibiting Forgiveness (XHBTF) 150000 2.69 (-1.11)          Exhibiting Forgiveness (XHBTF) 150000 2.69 (-1.11)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 15.64 (-1.33)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 15.64 (-1.33)          Liam Hemsworth (LHEMS) 25000 34.23 (-0.12)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Steve Carell (SCARE) 1 81.98 (-0.25)          Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 5000 0.06 (+0.05)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 40.72 (-1.76)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 150000 40.72 (-1.76)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 20.39 (+1.12)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 50.63 (-3.50)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 1 8.15 (+0.54)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 50.63 (-3.50)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 100000 8.15 (+0.54)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 1.20 (+0.66)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 1.20 (+0.66)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 24.02 (+0.73)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 24.02 (+0.73)