SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Avengers initiates summer movie season.

Four superhero franchises converge in the highly-anticipated team-up The Avengers [AVNGR]. Marvel planted the seed for the film with a post credit scene in Iron Man, which opened to $98.6 million in 2008, followed by another in The Incredible Hulk the same summer. Although Iron Man 2 debuted with $128.1 million in 2010, the sequel was not as well-received and its total box office did not exceed the original. Thor and Captain America got their stand alone film last summer when the Norse god hammered $65.7 million a year ago this weekend, while The First Avenger followed suit with $65.1 million. Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN], Chris Evans [CEVAN], Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Mark Ruffalo [MRUFF] star as the four superheroes finally brought together in The Avengers by Nick Fury to take on a common enemy.  As directed by fan-favorite Joss Whedon [JWHED], the end product looks to be greater than the sum of each individual part, which may attract even non-comic fans who may not have seen one of the prequels. Disney has already opened The Avengers overseas and the overwhelmingly positive reviews has only further fuel the buzz.

Much like The Hunger Games earlier this year, the competition has ceded the weekend to the PG-13 rated blockbuster tentpole. Although advanced ticket sales have not matched The Hunger Games ($152.5 million opening weekend), The Avengers will enjoy the premium surcharge for 3D. Presales are outpacing Spider-Man 3, which opened this weekend in 2007 to $151.1 million.  The box office records of mid-summer releases The Dark Knight’s $158.4 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II’s $169.2 million though may be out of reach with school still in session.  The Avengers could come close and assemble around $158 million from 4349 theaters.

Think Like a Man [TLKAM] should hold its own against the juggernaut and finish second with a still robust $10 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] remains the top option for families with young children. The animated film may drop 35% to $7 million. Fellow sophomore pic The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] won't fare as well and tumble 50% to $5.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, RDOWN, CEVAN, CHEMS, MRUFF, JWHED, TLKAM, PIRTS, 5YENG

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2012 @ 03:40 PM 4708 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 3812 15.47 (+0.35)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 20000 5.00 (0.00)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 48.32 (-0.66)          Bad Bunny (BBUNN) 25000 112.57 (-0.66)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 150000 9.68 (+0.23)          Misdirection (MSDRC) 9900 0.29 (-0.01)          The Magic Faraway Tree (TMFAT) 149999 9.68 (+0.23)          Benny Safdie (BSAFD) 25000 128.81 (-0.33)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 16000 32.76 (-0.11)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 6.77 (+0.45)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 128.90 (-0.33)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 102.70 (-0.21)          Cookie Queens (COKIQ) 147000 1.11 (-0.06)          Diamond (DIAMN) 149999 6.77 (+0.45)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 150000 4.82 (+0.51)          Finding Emily (CCEML) 149999 4.82 (+0.51)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 5.07 (+0.56)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 149999 5.07 (+0.56)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.62 (+1.03)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 149999 13.62 (+1.03)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 75.70 (+4.62)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 21.84 (+1.12)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 149999 21.84 (+1.12)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 14.63 (+1.51)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 25000 61.15 (+0.50)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 149999 14.63 (+1.51)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 60.94 (+0.51)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 10000 1.61 (-0.22)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 50000 75.70 (+4.62)          Savage House (SVGHS) 8000 0.06 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street H$30 Call (FLWVS.CA) 10000 1.61 (-0.22)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 21188 15.47 (+0.35)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 48.32 (-0.66)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Sam Worthington (SWORT) 25000 61.15 (+0.50)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.86 (+0.35)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 149999 11.86 (+0.35)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 1000 60.01 (+1.68)          Monopoly (MONOP) 19 9.24 (+0.01)          Monopoly (MONOP) 40000 9.24 (+0.01)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 15.47 (+0.35)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 87.32 (-2.36)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 87.32 (-2.36)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 9.63 (+0.14)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 15.47 (+0.35)          Moana - $115M Blockbuster Warran (MOAN1.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters $155M Blo (MNIO3.BW) 25000 9.63 (+0.14)          Star Trek (TREK4) 100000 24.34 (-0.20)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 410.66 (+0.53)