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Whisper Numbers: The Avengers initiates summer movie season.

Four superhero franchises converge in the highly-anticipated team-up The Avengers [AVNGR]. Marvel planted the seed for the film with a post credit scene in Iron Man, which opened to $98.6 million in 2008, followed by another in The Incredible Hulk the same summer. Although Iron Man 2 debuted with $128.1 million in 2010, the sequel was not as well-received and its total box office did not exceed the original. Thor and Captain America got their stand alone film last summer when the Norse god hammered $65.7 million a year ago this weekend, while The First Avenger followed suit with $65.1 million. Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN], Chris Evans [CEVAN], Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Mark Ruffalo [MRUFF] star as the four superheroes finally brought together in The Avengers by Nick Fury to take on a common enemy.  As directed by fan-favorite Joss Whedon [JWHED], the end product looks to be greater than the sum of each individual part, which may attract even non-comic fans who may not have seen one of the prequels. Disney has already opened The Avengers overseas and the overwhelmingly positive reviews has only further fuel the buzz.

Much like The Hunger Games earlier this year, the competition has ceded the weekend to the PG-13 rated blockbuster tentpole. Although advanced ticket sales have not matched The Hunger Games ($152.5 million opening weekend), The Avengers will enjoy the premium surcharge for 3D. Presales are outpacing Spider-Man 3, which opened this weekend in 2007 to $151.1 million.  The box office records of mid-summer releases The Dark Knight’s $158.4 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II’s $169.2 million though may be out of reach with school still in session.  The Avengers could come close and assemble around $158 million from 4349 theaters.

Think Like a Man [TLKAM] should hold its own against the juggernaut and finish second with a still robust $10 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] remains the top option for families with young children. The animated film may drop 35% to $7 million. Fellow sophomore pic The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] won't fare as well and tumble 50% to $5.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, RDOWN, CEVAN, CHEMS, MRUFF, JWHED, TLKAM, PIRTS, 5YENG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2012 @ 03:40 PM 4492 views

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Metal Men (METAL) 4000 8.48 (+0.01)          Miami Vice (MIVIC) 5000 93.31 (-0.24)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.14 (-0.86)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 2000 12.46 (+0.02)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 5000 2.06 (+0.02)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 5000 159.33 (-0.11)          The Familiars (FAMIL) 4000 9.60 (+0.02)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 2000 16.01 (+0.02)          The Backrooms (BACRM) 2000 18.90 (+0.03)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 5000 254.01 (+0.79)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 2000 38.39 (+0.04)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 10.74 (-2.50)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 2000 11.49 (+0.04)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 253.71 (-0.23)          Death Stranding (DSTRN) 2000 24.76 (+0.04)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 2000 11.94 (+0.04)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 2000 22.07 (+0.08)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 10000 65.22 (+0.20)          Fellowship (FELWS) 1 15.00 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5000 301.33 (-0.27)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 10000 156.08 (+0.01)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 975 5.41 (+0.17)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 2000 6.66 (-0.01)          The Giant's House (TGNTH) 5000 2.66 (-0.01)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 460.20 (-0.97)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.48 (-0.52)          Sunflower (SFLWR) 2000 5.45 (-0.01)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 25000 86.98 (+1.15)          The Riders (RIDER) 1000 32.97 (-0.01)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 5000 167.71 (-0.11)          Power Rangers (PWRNG) 5000 2.54 (-0.01)          The Purge 6 (PURG6) 2000 6.42 (-0.01)          The Real Me: Keith Moon (KMOON) 5000 2.53 (-0.01)          Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle 2 (DSIC2) 5000 89.67 (+0.10)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.14 (-0.86)          Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 1000 16.61 (-0.02)          Karoshi (KAROS) 1000 15.45 (-0.02)          Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 5000 2.83 (-0.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Hourman (HRMAN) 1000 11.80 (-0.02)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Chain (CHAIN) 3000 4.19 (-0.02)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bratz (BRAT2) 1000 16.07 (-0.02)          The Lost Boys (LOSTB) 10000 1.68 (-0.03)          Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man (PEKBL) 31000 0.93 (+0.01)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 1000 11.91 (-0.04)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 1000 24.72 (-0.04)          Airman (AIRMA) 1000 23.48 (-0.03)