SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: The Avengers initiates summer movie season.

Four superhero franchises converge in the highly-anticipated team-up The Avengers [AVNGR]. Marvel planted the seed for the film with a post credit scene in Iron Man, which opened to $98.6 million in 2008, followed by another in The Incredible Hulk the same summer. Although Iron Man 2 debuted with $128.1 million in 2010, the sequel was not as well-received and its total box office did not exceed the original. Thor and Captain America got their stand alone film last summer when the Norse god hammered $65.7 million a year ago this weekend, while The First Avenger followed suit with $65.1 million. Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN], Chris Evans [CEVAN], Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Mark Ruffalo [MRUFF] star as the four superheroes finally brought together in The Avengers by Nick Fury to take on a common enemy.  As directed by fan-favorite Joss Whedon [JWHED], the end product looks to be greater than the sum of each individual part, which may attract even non-comic fans who may not have seen one of the prequels. Disney has already opened The Avengers overseas and the overwhelmingly positive reviews has only further fuel the buzz.

Much like The Hunger Games earlier this year, the competition has ceded the weekend to the PG-13 rated blockbuster tentpole. Although advanced ticket sales have not matched The Hunger Games ($152.5 million opening weekend), The Avengers will enjoy the premium surcharge for 3D. Presales are outpacing Spider-Man 3, which opened this weekend in 2007 to $151.1 million.  The box office records of mid-summer releases The Dark Knight’s $158.4 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II’s $169.2 million though may be out of reach with school still in session.  The Avengers could come close and assemble around $158 million from 4349 theaters.

Think Like a Man [TLKAM] should hold its own against the juggernaut and finish second with a still robust $10 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] remains the top option for families with young children. The animated film may drop 35% to $7 million. Fellow sophomore pic The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] won't fare as well and tumble 50% to $5.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, RDOWN, CEVAN, CHEMS, MRUFF, JWHED, TLKAM, PIRTS, 5YENG

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2012 @ 03:40 PM 4716 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 149999 58.47 (-0.47)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 40000 21.76 (+0.02)          The Brink of War (REYKJ) 149999 7.45 (+0.42)          Runner (RUNNR) 29000 16.75 (-0.02)          Elon Musk Unveiled: The Tesla Ex (EMUTE) 150000 1.23 (+0.02)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          The Riders (RIDER) 60000 27.46 (-0.06)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 139305 148.45 (+0.94)          Runner (RUNNR) 89000 16.75 (-0.02)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 68.80 (-5.03)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 68.80 (-5.03)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 37500 19.59 (+0.03)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 683 263.45 (+2.24)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 10000 64.90 (+0.07)          Runner (RUNNR) 50000 16.75 (-0.02)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 150000 39.08 (-0.16)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Runner (RUNNR) 20000 16.75 (-0.02)          Evil Dead Wrath (EVLD7) 150000 35.54 (+0.09)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 5000 31.76 (+0.03)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 39.51 (-0.16)          Runner (RUNNR) 20000 16.75 (-0.02)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 10000 64.90 (+0.07)          Nobody Nothing Nowhere (NBNTN) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 20100 31.76 (+0.03)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 150000 34.67 (+0.13)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 6.21 (+2.43)          Six: The Musical Live! (SIXTM) 150000 6.21 (+2.43)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 88.95 (-0.09)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 347 606.95 (+3.01)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 9088 31.76 (+0.03)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 12000 166.60 (-0.12)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Werwulf (WERWU) 12000 78.75 (-0.12)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 36.49 (+0.16)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 42212 31.76 (+0.03)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 150000 120.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 187.20 (-0.49)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 150000 68.80 (-5.03)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 12000 39.08 (-0.16)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 25000 96.00 (-0.25)