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Whisper Numbers: Pain & Gain muscles in on the box office

The Dwayne Johnson box office tour of 2013 continues as [TROCK] opens his third movie in 3 months, with another on the way in May. To top it all off, The Rock recently performed in Wrestlemania where he dropped the WWE Championship title. While he risks over-exposure, it shouldn’t affect the R-rated action comedy Pain & Gain [PAING], which also stars Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL]. Although his last film Broken City managed just $9.5 million over the MLK Jr. holiday weekend, Wahlberg had two R-rated hits in 2012 with Contraband and Ted. Johnson’s last solo effort Snitch debuted with $13.7 million in February, while G.I. JOE: Retaliation opened over $40 million. In Pain & Gain, the two likeable stars play bodybuilders who get in over their heads in an extortion scheme. The Paramount release has all the trademark flash of director Michael Bay [MBAY], who returns to his Bad Boys roots after completing the blockbuster Transformers trilogy. The film has received mixed reviews, which wouldn’t matter to the target audience of young guys.  Opening at 3277 locations, Pain & Gain may lift upwards of $22 million.

Tom Cruise proved he still got it by opening the original sci-fi film Oblivion [OBLVN].  With mixed word of mouth even amongst its target audience, Oblivion could slide 45% to about $19 million. The baseball drama 42 [42] looks to drive in another $11 million in its third outing.

With all the testosterone at the box office, Lionsgate counterprograms the weekend with The Big Wedding [TBWED]. The romantic comedy features an all-star cast led by Katherine Heigl [KHEIG], Amanda Seyfried [ASEYF], Robert De Niro [RDENI] and Diane Keaton [DKEAT], though none are a reliable draw.  Buzz has been light on the film whose release was delayed from last October.  Unfortunately, the R-rating will limit the audience to older women, a hard to reach demographic that do not rush out opening weekend.  Lionsgate is even promoting a two for one ticket deal, further demonstrating a lack of confidence in the product. Playing in 2633 theaters, The Big Wedding may collect $11 million.

After 3 weeks of limited release where it has earned $1 million, The Company You Keep [COYKP] expands wide into 807 theaters. Shia LaBeouf [SLABE] plays a reporter out to expose the true identity of a lawyer and single father who was a former 1970s antiwar radical activist, played by Robert Redford [RREDF]. The Company You Keep could uncover $2.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TROCK, PAING, MWAHL, MBAY, OBLVN, 42, TBWED, KHEIG, ASEYF, RDENI, DKEAT, COYKP, SLABE, RREDF

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 25, 2013 @ 03:25 PM 3083 views

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Weekend #BoxOffice Actuals: 1. #HalloweenKills $49.40M 5. #TheLastDuel $4.76M https://t.co/OXrRP3vwIl       Danny DeVito joins Haunted Mansion        The Lost City moves up its release date to March 25, 2022 https://t.co/rvAZmZKVeM       U.S. trailer for France starring Lea Seydoux https://t.co/cTYNHaCVqY       Trailer for The Lost Daughter starring Olivia Colman https://t.co/79yXWeCVTe       Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania moves release date back to July 28, 2023 #Antman #Wasp https://t.co/W8W3E9VjBJ       The Marvels moves release date back to February 17, 2023 #TheMarvels #CaptainMarvel https://t.co/Si1TzAPu8f       Indiana Jones 5 moves release date back a year to June 30, 2023 #IndianaJones https://t.co/AAg77E3r4k       Black Panther: Wakanda Forever moves release date back to November 11, 2022 #BlackPanther https://t.co/5b9bQG71cy       Thor: Love and Thunder moves release date back to July 8, 2022 #Thor https://t.co/Ac2QMuIc08      
Ron's Gone Wrong H$10 Call (RONGW.CA) 25000 2.00 (-0.11)         War Pigs (WARPG) 100000 0.10 (-0.01)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 150000 283.72 (-12.30)         Dune (DUNE) 10000 107.81 (-4.74)         Out of the Blue (OTBLU) 150000 1.56 (0.00)         Halloween Kills (HALW4) 150000 99.82 (-1.13)         Halloween Kills (HALW4) 100000 99.82 (-1.13)         Ambulance (AMBLN) 150000 35.89 (+0.46)         Undying Love (UNDLV) 150000 2.12 (-0.02)         The War Magician (WARMG) 150000 20.00 (0.00)         Blade (BLAD1) 150000 104.54 (-9.56)         The Marvels aka Captain Marvel 2 (CMAR2) 150000 200.32 (-11.42)         The Marvels aka Captain Marvel 2 (CMAR2) 150000 200.32 (-11.42)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 150000 162.27 (-3.47)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 150000 162.27 (-3.47)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 150000 283.72 (-12.30)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 150000 283.72 (-12.30)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 150000 43.77 (+1.11)         Tenoch Huerta (THUER) 25000 12.87 (+0.20)         Thor: Love and Thunder (THOR4) 150000 236.84 (-8.22)         RZA (RZA) 25000 7.79 (-0.10)         Thor: Love and Thunder (THOR4) 150000 236.84 (-8.22)         Doctor Strange in the Multiverse (DRST2) 150000 170.39 (-2.39)         Doctor Strange in the Multiverse (DRST2) 150000 170.39 (-2.39)         Dune H$45 Put (DUNE.PU) 25000 2.39 (-0.05)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 798 146.29 (-10.10)         Last Night in Soho H$10 Call (LNSOH.CA) 25000 2.05 (+0.03)         Dune H$45 Call (DUNE.CA) 25000 2.50 (-0.06)         Free Guy $100M Blockbuster Warra (FREEG.BW) 25000 9.73 (+0.06)         Dune - Opening Weekend (DUNE.OW) 100000 41.85 (-0.45)         Ron's Gone Wrong H$10 Put (RONGW.PU) 25000 1.66 (0.00)         Ron's Gone Wrong - Opening Weeke (RONGW.OW) 100000 9.49 (-0.12)         Ron's Gone Wrong H$10 Call (RONGW.CA) 25000 2.00 (-0.11)         Dune H$45 Put (DUNE.PU) 25000 2.39 (-0.05)         Dune H$45 Call (DUNE.CA) 25000 2.50 (-0.06)         Ambulance (AMBLN) 149999 35.89 (+0.46)         Lashana Lynch (LLYNC) 20000 134.77 (-0.43)         Shang-Chi $195M Blockbuster Warr (SHCHI.BW) 25000 12.09 (+0.55)         The Last Duel (LDUEL) 28421 23.72 (-2.71)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 786 146.29 (-10.10)         James Bond 26 (JB26) 1000 103.01 (+2.18)         Call of Duty (CODUT) 1000 0.76 (+0.04)         Sandra Bullock (SBULL) 5000 138.63 (+0.06)         Deadpool 3 (DEAD3) 150000 146.29 (-10.10)         The Many Saints of Newark (TMSON) 135000 14.97 (+0.06)         Call of Duty (CODUT) 150000 0.76 (+0.04)         Adam Driver (ADRIV) 25000 61.74 (-1.48)         Are You Afraid of the Dark? (AYAFD) 148000 0.22 (+0.05)         The War Magician (WARMG) 150000 20.00 (0.00)         Jodie Comer (JCOME) 25000 68.46 (-0.33)