SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Can Transcendence catch Rio 2?

Four new films open over the Easter holiday weekend, but the animated holdover Rio 2 [RIO2] is likely to ascend to first place. The first Rio slipped 33% over Easter weekend in 2011. Rio 2’s weekdays are slightly behind Rio, so a 35% decline would place Rio 2 a around $25 million, which could be enough to edge out the competition.

Johnny Depp [JDEPP] toplines the sci-fi thriller Transcendence [TRNSC] as a dying scientist whose consciousness gets uploaded into the digital cloud. While Depp playing an artificial intelligence run amuck may sound good on paper, moviegoers may prefer to see him as the hero trying to save the day. The PG-13 rated film is earning poor reviews, which could influence the older adult demographics coveted by Warner Bros.. Patched into 3455 theaters, Transcendence may secure $24 million.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier [CAPA2] is likely to burn off 50% in its third outing to about $20 million.

Sony targets Christians with the faith-based drama Heaven is for Real [HVNFR] based on a little boy’s near death experience. To build word of mouth heading into the holiday weekend, the PG-rated film opened on Wednesday and earned $3.7 million. Ringing into 2417 theaters, Heaven is for Real could capture $15 million over the weekend.

Marlon Wayans [MWAY] is back with another scary movie spoof A Haunted House 2 [AHAU2]. The first A Haunted House was a surprise hit for Open Road with an $18.1 million opening in January 2013. The R-rated sequel faces more competition this time, so A Haunted House 2 may settle for $13 million from 2310 locations.

With Earth Day approaching, Disney offers its latest nature documentary Bears [BEAR]. The G-rated film is aimed at the same audience that opened Chimpanzee to $10.7 million in 2012. Opening in 1720 theaters, Bears could wake up to $6.5 million.

As with most horror film, Oculus [OCULU] looks to drop more than 50% in its second weekend to $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RIO2, JDEPP, TRNSC, CAPA2, HVNFR, AHAU2, BEAR, OCULU

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 17, 2014 @ 02:51 PM 2991 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 109.24 (-2.50)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 4.91 (+0.47)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 25000 6.22 (+1.41)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.14 (-0.86)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 25000 10.69 (+1.17)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 20000 10.32 (+0.61)          The Moment (MOMNT) 25000 11.65 (+1.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 25000 7.82 (-0.50)          Fellowship (FELWS) 20000 14.14 (-0.86)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 63.22 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 435.31 (-3.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 435.31 (-3.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 435.31 (-3.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 55417 435.31 (-3.85)          Shawn Levy (SLEVY) 25000 136.26 (+0.33)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 150000 53.86 (-0.35)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 14.14 (-0.86)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 1.61 (-0.32)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 109.24 (-2.50)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 30.07 (-0.03)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.20 (-1.45)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.22 (+1.41)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 6.22 (+1.41)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 8672 67.86 (-0.05)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 12.20 (-1.45)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.32 (+0.61)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.82 (-0.50)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.69 (+1.17)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 10.69 (+1.17)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.66 (-0.10)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.39 (+0.16)          Hypno-Hustler (HYPHU) 1 7.54 (-0.01)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.39 (+0.16)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 1.52 (-0.04)          Song Sung Blue H$10 Put (SSBLU.PU) 25000 1.52 (-0.04)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 1.48 (-0.08)          Marty Supreme H$10 Put (MRTSU.PU) 25000 1.48 (-0.08)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 8.66 (-0.06)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 59.05 (-0.22)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 8.66 (-0.06)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.66 (-0.10)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 9656 261.85 (+0.54)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 99819 70.02 (-0.96)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 67.43 (-0.25)          Digger (DIGER) 1000 102.24 (+0.01)          Digger (DIGER) 1000 102.24 (+0.01)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 25000 16.08 (-0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 50000 64.25 (-0.94)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 9.66 (-0.10)          Madden (MADEN) 20000 19.19 (0.00)