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Whisper Numbers: Godzilla to cast a huge box office shadow

16 years after Hollywood first tried to adapt the Japanese monster film, Godzilla [GODZL] finally roars back with a another remake. Although Roland Emmerich’s version was 1998's biggest opening at $44 million ($74.8 million adjusted for inflation), moviegoers widely panned the Jurassic Park-wannabe featuring a giant iguana. The latest Godzilla harkens back to the look of the Japanese original, albeit at a significantly larger size. Bryan Cranston [BCRAN], Aaron Johnson [AJOHN] and Elizabeth Olsen [EOLSE] lead the cast, but the King of Monsters is the main attraction. Warner Bros. offered the first little glimpse at Comic-Con last July and the marketing campaign along with buzz has built up steadily ever since. The trailers have done such a fantastic job of teasing the monster(s) and their epic showdown that some moviegoers may end up disappointed that the star doesn’t really show up until near the end.  Advance tickets sales are doubled Pacific Rim ($37M), ahead of World War Z ($66M) as well as Thor: The Dark World ($86 million). Rampaging into 3952 theaters, Godzilla could destroy $76 million.

After its opening weekend rager, Neighbors [NEIBR] will continue to make noise. With its surprising wide appeal that includes older woman, Neighbors should hold better than 50% for about $27 million in its second weekend.

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 [SPID5] is freefalling fast, and will be further stomped by Godzilla. The sequel may grab another $17 million on the way down.

Jon Hamm [JHAMM] toplines the feel-good sports movie Million Dollar Arm [MDARM] based on the true story of two aspiring baseball players from India. The PG-rated drama has tested really well and Disney sneaked the film last weekend to generate word of mouth. However, the film lacks starpower and Godzilla casts a large shadow this weekend. Starting 3019 theaters, Million Dollar Arm may strike up $16 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GODZL, BCRAN, AJOHN, EOLSE, NEIBR, SPID5, JHAMM, MDARM

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 15, 2014 @ 03:23 PM 3319 views

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Star Trek (TREK4) 1000 27.26 (-0.03)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 12.26 (-0.14)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 12.26 (-0.14)          Billion Dollar Spy (BDSPY) 10000 6.56 (+0.02)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 13.41 (+2.36)          You Should Be Dancing aka Untitl (BEEGE) 10000 16.89 (-0.02)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 50000 18.00 (0.00)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 8.85 (-0.88)          Sender (SENDR) 10000 8.85 (-0.88)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 2.12 (+0.30)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 8.85 (-0.88)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 49.14 (+0.91)          Send Help (SENDH) 150000 45.32 (+1.05)          Primate (PRIMT) 150000 24.78 (+0.21)          Shelter (SELTR) 10000 13.26 (+0.46)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 8.21 (-0.46)          Josephine (JSPHN) 150000 8.21 (-0.46)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 9174 76.58 (-0.15)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 12.82 (-0.51)          Josephine (JSPHN) 5000 8.21 (-0.46)          Queen of Bones (QUBON) 150000 0.04 (+0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 12.82 (-0.51)          Dhurandhar 2 (DHUR2) 100 9.34 (-0.07)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 10000 3.43 (-0.48)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1000 141.66 (+0.91)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 8.85 (-0.88)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 200 248.52 (-0.04)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 8.85 (-0.88)          The Wild Robot 2 (TWRB2) 1409 40.49 (+0.43)          Shiver (SHVER) 1000 62.94 (+5.54)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.12 (+0.61)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 10000 13.60 (0.00)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.12 (+0.61)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 70000 18.00 (0.00)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 62.94 (+5.54)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 100 34.61 (+0.01)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 8.98 (+0.98)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 1333 76.58 (-0.15)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 10000 13.60 (0.00)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 100 34.61 (+0.01)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 100 34.61 (+0.01)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 15.12 (+1.38)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 100 34.61 (+0.01)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 1000 76.58 (-0.15)          Shelter (SELTR) 30000 13.26 (+0.46)          Onslaught (ONSLT) 10000 8.34 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.33 (+0.69)          Phantom Son (PHSON) 10000 9.58 (-0.04)