SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Godzilla to cast a huge box office shadow

16 years after Hollywood first tried to adapt the Japanese monster film, Godzilla [GODZL] finally roars back with a another remake. Although Roland Emmerich’s version was 1998's biggest opening at $44 million ($74.8 million adjusted for inflation), moviegoers widely panned the Jurassic Park-wannabe featuring a giant iguana. The latest Godzilla harkens back to the look of the Japanese original, albeit at a significantly larger size. Bryan Cranston [BCRAN], Aaron Johnson [AJOHN] and Elizabeth Olsen [EOLSE] lead the cast, but the King of Monsters is the main attraction. Warner Bros. offered the first little glimpse at Comic-Con last July and the marketing campaign along with buzz has built up steadily ever since. The trailers have done such a fantastic job of teasing the monster(s) and their epic showdown that some moviegoers may end up disappointed that the star doesn’t really show up until near the end.  Advance tickets sales are doubled Pacific Rim ($37M), ahead of World War Z ($66M) as well as Thor: The Dark World ($86 million). Rampaging into 3952 theaters, Godzilla could destroy $76 million.

After its opening weekend rager, Neighbors [NEIBR] will continue to make noise. With its surprising wide appeal that includes older woman, Neighbors should hold better than 50% for about $27 million in its second weekend.

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 [SPID5] is freefalling fast, and will be further stomped by Godzilla. The sequel may grab another $17 million on the way down.

Jon Hamm [JHAMM] toplines the feel-good sports movie Million Dollar Arm [MDARM] based on the true story of two aspiring baseball players from India. The PG-rated drama has tested really well and Disney sneaked the film last weekend to generate word of mouth. However, the film lacks starpower and Godzilla casts a large shadow this weekend. Starting 3019 theaters, Million Dollar Arm may strike up $16 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GODZL, BCRAN, AJOHN, EOLSE, NEIBR, SPID5, JHAMM, MDARM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 15, 2014 @ 03:23 PM 3461 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 20400 42.46 (-0.19)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 150000 0.06 (-0.04)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 24981 25.13 (+0.49)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 5.44 (-0.06)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 124000 12.31 (-0.10)          Hourman (HRMAN) 70000 8.76 (-0.03)          Clue (CLUE) 150000 10.91 (-0.14)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 49000 11.22 (-0.13)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 296 25.13 (+0.49)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 25000 30.90 (-0.11)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 37500 44.08 (+0.02)          Dock (DOCK) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 105.34 (-2.21)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 150000 0.08 (-0.01)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 10000 36.98 (+0.04)          Bando Stone & The New World (BSTNW) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 91035 420.22 (+16.00)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 25000 11.41 (-0.09)          Home (HOME1) 75000 9.20 (+0.01)          Talk 2 Me aka Talk to Me 2 (TLKT2) 50000 5.21 (-0.05)          Doppelganger (DPLGN) 35000 78.25 (+1.01)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 19 25.13 (+0.49)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 50000 50.77 (-1.21)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 150000 79.87 (+0.74)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 22000 160.82 (+0.70)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 589.30 (+20.25)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 25000 501.08 (+2.10)          Werwulf (WERWU) 4000 76.88 (+0.09)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 4000 38.69 (-0.03)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 4000 31.86 (-0.09)          Blade (BLAD1) 24000 16.78 (-0.84)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4000 54.75 (+0.12)          Rolling Loud The Movie (RLOUD) 100000 7.47 (-0.02)          Deathstroke & Bane (DSTRK) 6560 42.46 (-0.19)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 75000 64.34 (-0.19)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 71.05 (+1.05)          Broadsword (BROSW) 10000 43.90 (+0.06)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.10 (+0.30)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 7200 49.10 (-0.05)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 24999 32.42 (+0.14)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 100000 266.45 (+1.98)          Ving Rhames (VRHAM) 25000 159.52 (-1.00)          Ving Rhames (VRHAM) 25000 159.52 (-1.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 3000 160.79 (+0.11)          Sienna Miller (SMILL) 25000 12.14 (-0.20)          Sienna Miller (SMILL) 25000 12.14 (-0.20)          Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 12.66 (+0.20)          Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 12.66 (+0.20)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 3000 160.11 (-0.89)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 75000 12.30 (-0.71)