SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 3402 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.68 (+0.12)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 3.17 (-0.13)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 88888 59.21 (-0.46)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 150000 59.21 (-0.46)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 50000 4.55 (+0.96)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 3.17 (-0.13)          Last Friday (FRID4) 149999 13.76 (-1.22)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 1 3.17 (-0.13)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.51 (+0.24)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 150000 5.38 (-0.07)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 150000 4.68 (+0.12)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.51 (+0.24)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 150000 2.51 (+0.24)          Nasty (NASTY) 1 16.59 (+1.43)          Nasty (NASTY) 1 16.59 (+1.43)          Single Female (SIFEM) 1 21.07 (+1.25)          Single Female (SIFEM) 1 21.07 (+1.25)          Wildwood (WILDW) 10 31.29 (+1.21)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 100000 5.13 (0.00)          Wildwood (WILDW) 10 31.29 (+1.21)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 2 5.48 (+0.83)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 100000 5.13 (0.00)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 2 5.48 (+0.83)          Goblin (GBLIN) 1 23.69 (+0.93)          Goblin (GBLIN) 1 23.69 (+0.93)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Put (HTRAB.PU) 25000 1.72 (+0.12)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 19.71 (+0.72)          Wicker (WCKER) 10 19.71 (+0.72)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 14.10 (-0.18)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 3 13.78 (+0.52)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 3 13.78 (+0.52)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 1.98 (-0.06)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 1 9.94 (+0.28)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 1 9.94 (+0.28)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 47900 9.69 (-0.03)          Ebenezer H$35 Put (EBNZR.PU) 25000 2.93 (+0.08)          Old Friends New Friends (OFNF) 150000 9.69 (-0.03)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 34.56 (-0.56)          Ebenezer H$35 Call (EBNZR.CA) 25000 1.19 (+0.01)          The Mosquito Bowl (MSQTB) 150000 2.53 (-0.04)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1 57.60 (+0.10)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 1 57.60 (+0.10)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3 112.20 (-0.05)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 3.17 (-0.13)          Sight & Sound Presents: Josh (SSPJL) 150000 3.17 (-0.13)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3 112.20 (-0.05)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 3 50.58 (-0.10)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 3 50.58 (-0.10)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 3 52.22 (-0.05)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 3 52.22 (-0.05)