SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 3151 views

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Patty Jenkins (PJENK) 241 101.29 (-0.26)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Outer Dark (OTDRK) 140000 7.43 (-0.09)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.38 (+0.41)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.36 (+0.53)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.52 (-0.48)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 100 160.42 (-0.25)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.38 (+0.38)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 9.09 (-3.07)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 140000 5.29 (-1.17)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 9.09 (-3.07)          Patton Oswalt (POSWA) 486 69.70 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.78 (-0.22)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.93 (+0.93)          Patrick Dempsey (PDEMP) 1 70.49 (+0.25)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 150000 19.38 (+0.07)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 140000 5.29 (-1.17)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 21.11 (+0.06)          Patricia Clarkson (PCLAR) 4 1.69 (-0.02)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 140000 9.09 (-3.07)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 140000 9.09 (-3.07)          Patricia Arquette (PARQU) 3575 60.03 (+0.03)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 25000 12.12 (-0.10)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.38 (+0.41)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 164.60 (-0.01)          Parker Posey (PPOSE) 25000 8.33 (+0.05)          The Weight (THEWT) 40000 6.97 (+1.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 150000 123.37 (0.00)          Fast Forever (FAF11) 150000 128.63 (+0.66)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 95.29 (+0.72)          The Weight (THEWT) 10000 6.97 (+1.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 158.69 (+0.86)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 9.09 (-3.07)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 5.29 (-1.17)          Sing 3 (SING3) 5000 52.28 (-0.39)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.97 (+1.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 140000 50.59 (+0.15)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.46 (+0.60)          Helldivers (HELDV) 140000 99.96 (+0.46)          Victorian Psycho (VPSYC) 40000 14.11 (-0.15)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 100.42 (-2.73)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.46 (+0.60)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)