SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 3272 views

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Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 7 250.86 (-1.34)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 5 12.84 (+0.04)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 6 161.73 (-0.94)          Gatto (GATTO) 9 134.56 (+0.82)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 14 6.92 (+0.08)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 7 84.63 (-0.43)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 35000 9.23 (-2.02)          The Comeback King (CMBKN) 8 47.54 (-0.32)          Hexed (HEXED) 18 120.32 (+1.95)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4 58.23 (+0.19)          The Beekeeper 2 (BEKP2) 5 38.00 (-0.16)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 7 7.05 (+0.04)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 85000 49.50 (-2.64)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 35000 49.50 (-2.64)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 15000 238.66 (-3.79)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 140000 138.74 (-4.06)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 30000 23.66 (+1.28)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 10000 302.74 (+2.24)          A Talent for Murder aka Switzerl (SWITZ) 15 2.92 (-0.03)          Hexed (HEXED) 18 120.32 (+1.95)          Wildwood (WILDW) 10 16.48 (+0.15)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 6 4.41 (-0.02)          Lice (LICE) 55000 4.00 (0.00)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 70 23.66 (+1.28)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 13 13.08 (+0.12)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 5 8.53 (-0.03)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 4 56.05 (-0.14)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 120 18.60 (-0.02)          The Fix aka Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 360 5.02 (-0.16)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 45 79.53 (+2.78)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 35 30.29 (-0.82)          One Night Only (ONTON) 5 24.84 (+0.10)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 14 0.97 (+0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 6 418.06 (+2.21)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 9 302.74 (+2.24)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 18 238.66 (-3.79)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 4 57.98 (-0.17)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 6 307.27 (-1.04)          The Invite (TINVT) 4 20.00 (-0.05)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 42 138.74 (-4.06)          Couture (STCHS) 8 1.88 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3 407.84 (+0.07)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)