SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 3081 views

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Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 150000 7.02 (-0.03)          Casey Affleck (CAFFL) 25000 59.01 (-0.33)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 1 64.79 (+0.47)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 15000 11.64 (+0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.95 (+0.85)          Chris O'Dowd (CODOW) 5000 31.64 (-0.15)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 10000 16.43 (+0.02)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 113.24 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 441.92 (-2.93)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.52 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 0.52 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.89 (+0.43)          Clue (CLUE) 10000 14.68 (-0.02)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.89 (+0.43)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 9999 41.84 (+0.20)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 150000 252.72 (-1.22)          Shell (SHELL) 66666 0.47 (+0.02)          Tangled (TANGL) 150000 87.24 (-0.12)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 25000 106.39 (+1.08)          Winter Games (WNTGM) 120000 8.89 (-0.03)          Andy Samberg (ASAMB) 25000 78.91 (+1.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 111152 441.92 (-2.93)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 23 10.01 (0.00)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 33.44 (+0.50)          Marion Cotillard (MCOTI) 24996 15.30 (+0.28)          Fellowship (FELWS) 1000 15.00 (0.00)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 25000 87.00 (+1.17)          Babies (BBIES) 1000 10.24 (+0.24)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 112.87 (+1.06)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.89 (+0.43)          Butterfly Jam (BFJAM) 1 1.80 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.24 (+0.24)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 109.43 (+1.00)          Fellowship (FELWS) 149999 15.00 (0.00)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 25000 61.22 (+0.79)          Da'Vine Joy Randolph (DJRAN) 24996 44.71 (-0.16)          Babies (BBIES) 149999 10.24 (+0.24)          David (DAVID) 1 74.39 (-1.47)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 65.30 (0.00)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 1 63.88 (+1.68)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.89 (+1.74)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 65.30 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.89 (+1.74)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.95 (+0.85)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.95 (+0.85)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.24 (+0.24)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.23 (-0.77)          Song Sung Blue (SSBLU) 1 36.40 (+0.22)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.45 (-0.55)