SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Reacher and Madea fight over Ouija

Even after a summer of lackluster sequels, Hollywood drops three more sequels on this fall weekend. Jack Reacher: Never Go Back [RECH2] may win out due to Tom Cruise [TCRUIS], who’s coming off the well-received Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation. Paramount hopes the PG-13 rated action franchises rub off on one another. The first Jack Reacher opened at $15.2 million in December 2012 and legged out $80 million. Showing in 3780 theaters, Jack Reacher: Never Go Back could punch out $21 million.

Lionsgate gets back in the Tyler Perry [TPERR] business with Tyler Perry’s Boo! A Madea Halloween [BOAMH]. His last crossdressing film, A Madea Christmas opened to $16.0 million in December 2013. However, it was the fourth Madea film in 4 years.  A 3 years layoff should help bring back some of the fanbase that consistently deliver openings over $25 million. The Halloween theme could also reach new, younger moviegoers. Advance ticket sales for Halloween are ahead  of Christmas.  The PG-13 rated comedy may gather $19 million from 2260 locations.

The weekend’s third sequel, Ouija: Origin of Evil [OUIJ2] is actually a prequel. Ouija surprised the industry with a $19.9 million opening two years ago. However, Universal has gone with a new cast in a different setting during the 1970s.  Advance ticket sales are ahead of its predecessor, though there could be frontloading.  Playing in 3167 theaters, Ouija: Origin of Evil could summon $16 million.

With excellent word of mouth, The Accountant [ACTNT] should hold at least 50% of its debut and add another $13 million.

Keeping Up with the Joneses [KUWTJ] may get lost in the shuffle of a crowded weekend. The PG-13 rated action comedy stars Zach Galifianakis [ZGALI] and Isla Fisher [IFISH] as a suburban couple who gets mixed up with their secret agent neighbors played by Jon Hamm [JHAMM] and Gal Gadot [GGDAO]. Keeping Up with the Joneses could bring in $7 million from 3022 theaters.

Pure Flix opens I’m Not Ashamed [IMNAS] in 504 theaters. The controversial film about the Columbine school massacre may settle with $3 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RECH2, TPERR, BOAMH, OUIJ2, ACTNT, KUWTJ, ZGALI, IFISH, JHAMM, IMNAS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 20, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 2101 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.70 (+0.84)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 837 23.60 (-0.05)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 149999 20.00 (0.00)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 92055 15.51 (+0.51)          Helldivers (HELDV) 12500 99.98 (+0.48)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1 2.87 (+0.03)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 75000 2.87 (+0.03)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 1 5.32 (+0.13)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 5.32 (+0.13)          The Optimist (OPTMS) 150000 1.80 (-0.04)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 12.85 (-0.27)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 1 12.79 (-0.62)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 1 12.79 (-0.62)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 19.31 (+0.85)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 1 3.26 (+0.26)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 1 6.33 (+0.50)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 1 3.26 (+0.26)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 1 6.33 (+0.50)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 85000 6.14 (-0.03)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 80000 74.23 (-0.21)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 24999 40.65 (+0.85)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 209.27 (+1.44)          The Third Parent (T3RDP) 125000 5.94 (+0.10)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 125000 2.66 (+0.10)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 1.55 (+0.20)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.58 (-0.42)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.41 (+0.41)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.51 (+0.51)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 8.41 (-3.75)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.79 (-0.21)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 21.79 (+2.16)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 3.01 (+1.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 146.04 (+1.04)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 5.09 (-1.37)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 5.09 (-1.37)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 150000 21.79 (+2.16)          Varanasi (VARAN) 1 11.44 (+0.47)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Big Thunder Mountain (BTMTN) 149999 21.79 (+2.16)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Jessie Buckley (JSBUC) 25000 12.02 (-0.20)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 70.22 (+0.75)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 70.22 (+0.75)          Sing 3 (SING3) 50000 52.09 (-0.58)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150000 18.09 (-0.08)          The Wild Robot Escapes (TWRB2) 4 53.10 (-0.07)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 100 3.21 (0.00)