SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Box Office to remain at Furious pace

A handful of new films pull up to the starting line this weekend, but The Fate of the Furious [FAST8] will remain leader of the pack. The previous chapter Furious 7 stalled nearly 60% in its second weekend. A similar drop-off would bring The Fate of the Furious to around $41 million.

Unforgettable [UNFRG] tests the fading starpower of Katherine Heigl [KHEIG], who has gone from playing the romantic comedy lead to the psycho other woman. Rosario Dawson [RDAWS] co-stars in the R-rated thriller, but she doesn’t have the draw of say, Beyonce or Taraji P. Henson. Stalking 2417 theaters, Unforgettable may capture $7 million.

Disneynature is back with another documentary Born in China [BCHNA] for Earth Day weekend. The last two openings were Monkey Kingdom with $4.6 million in 2015 and Bears with $4.8 million in 2014. Pandas should prove more popular with the target family audience. Playing in 1508 theaters, Born in China could deliver $5.5 million.

Christian Bale [CBALE] and Oscar Isaac [OISAA] star in The Promise [TPRMS] about the Armenian genocide during the first World War. The PG-13 rated drama should do well with the Armenian diaspora and older moviegoers, but mixed reviews will prevent the film from crossing over. The Promise may earn $4.5 million from 2251 theaters.

A24 targets the hipster crowd with the R-rated action comedy Free Fire [FREFR], which could hit $2.0 million from 1070 locations.

Marketed as produced by Ridley Scott, Phoenix Forgotten [PHXFG] looks exactly like a Blair Witch-ripoff with UFOs. The PG-13 horror may abduct $2 million from 1588 theaters.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): FAST8, UNFRG, KHEIG, RDAWS, BCHNA, CBALE, OISAA, TPRMS, FREFR, PHXFG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, April 20, 2017 @ 03:26 PM 1722 views

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Box Score: #JungleCruise is the number one attraction at the weekend #boxoffice with an estimated $34.2 million…       #TheGreenKnight garnered an estimated $6.8 million opening weekend https://t.co/Pr0bGi8j41       #Stillwater uncovered an estimated $5.1 million opening weekend https://t.co/LepI7TQkwZ       Clifford the Big Red Dog has been removed from its release date of September 17 https://t.co/g1cxYgLcQL       20th Century to distribute I Am Chippendales starring Dev Patel       Raging Fire will open in theaters on August 13th https://t.co/lxkOqYjW8K       Taika Waititi's Flash Gordon will now be live-action       Tom Hanks joins Untitled Wes Anderson Project        #Stillwater struck $280K in Thursday night previews https://t.co/0QrwrurUuv       #TheGreenKnight slayed $750K in Thursday night previews https://t.co/JwNPTO0pxr      
House Party (HPRTY) 1000 5.73 (+0.35)         The Little Mermaid (TLMER) 2 224.43 (+1.07)         The Little Mermaid (TLMER) 2 224.43 (+1.07)         Stillwater (STLWT) 150000 13.98 (+1.80)         The Expendables 4 (XPND4) 1 3.57 (+1.50)         The Expendables 4 (XPND4) 1 3.57 (+1.50)         Reptile (REPTL) 15000 6.87 (-0.01)         Stillwater (STLWT) 50 13.98 (+1.80)         Black Widow $170M Blockbuster Wa (BWDOW.BW) 25000 5.00 (0.00)         Stillwater (STLWT) 50 13.98 (+1.80)         A Good Person (AGPRS) 15000 9.67 (+0.04)         Jurassic World: Dominion (JURA6) 3 283.45 (+0.01)         The Green Knight (GRNKN) 150000 19.04 (+2.36)         Jurassic World: Dominion (JURA6) 3 283.45 (+0.01)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 3 285.30 (0.00)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 3 285.30 (0.00)         Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 3 309.47 (-0.28)         Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 3 309.47 (-0.28)         The British Fund (BRITS) 20000 51.26 (+0.20)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 3 355.25 (-0.49)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 3 355.25 (-0.49)         Free Agents (FREAG) 15000 15.91 (-0.08)         True Haunting (TRUEH) 2500 16.42 (-0.10)         Adam McKay (AMCKA) 50 68.98 (0.00)         Captain America 4 (CAPA4) 100 154.95 (-0.65)         Free Guy - Opening Weekend (FREEG.OW) 2000 39.65 (-0.30)         Superman (SUPRM) 100 125.72 (+0.46)         Respect - Opening Weekend (RESPC.OW) 9200 8.16 (+0.26)         Argylle (ARGYL) 15000 46.77 (+0.16)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 400 153.79 (-2.04)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 1000 153.79 (-2.04)         Free Guy (FREEG) 400 109.58 (-1.70)         Untitled Disney Animation Projec (UDAP2) 15000 59.17 (+9.17)         Edge of Tomorrow 2 aka Live, Die (EDGT2) 600 17.22 (+0.07)         The Suicide Squad (SUIC2) 200 114.57 (-1.56)         Clifford the Big Red Dog (CTBRD) 1600 30.74 (-1.38)         Alice, Darling (ALICD) 10000 10.04 (-0.63)         Dear Evan Hansen (DEHAN) 2000 30.47 (-0.58)         Copshop (COPSH) 1600 15.04 (-0.18)         The Saint (TSAIN) 150000 34.58 (-0.54)         G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 200 37.80 (-0.06)         Dear Evan Hansen (DEHAN) 3000 30.47 (-0.58)         Escape Room: Tournament of Champ (ESCR2) 150000 23.28 (+0.55)         Escape Room: Tournament of Champ (ESCR2) 150000 23.28 (+0.55)         Dear Evan Hansen (DEHAN) 400 30.47 (-0.58)         Escape Room: Tournament of Champ (ESCR2) 100000 23.28 (+0.55)         Untitled Disney Animation Projec (UDAP2) 150000 59.17 (+9.17)         The Expendables 4 (XPND4) 90000 3.57 (+1.50)         Jungle Cruise (JUNGC) 1100 91.68 (+3.39)         Disappointment Blvd. (DBLVD) 1 11.99 (+0.08)