SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Scream set to dial up first place at the weekend box office

After a couple of slow weekends to start 2022 for new releases, business looks to pick up over the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend. The ghostface killer is back in Scream [SCRM5], the fifth film in the R-rated horror franchise. Neve Campbell reprises her lead role in a sequel that doesn’t want to be called a sequel. The new Scream arrives 11 years after Scream 4, which also came out 11 years after the previous installment. Scream 4 debuted with $18.7 million, a disappointment considering Scream 3’s $34.7 million opening. Based on Scream’s advance ticket sales, the fanbase are apparently eager to return to Westboro. Dialing up 3661 theaters, Scream could ring in $29 million over the 4-day weekend.

After 4 weeks at the top, Spider-Man: No Way Home [SPID8.BW] will settle for second place at around $18 million.

Despite being available on VOD, Sing 2 [SING2] should still have a decent performance over the holiday weekend with about $8.5 million.

The Japanese anime Belle [BELE] is the weekend’s second wide opener. The PG-rated film has earned rave reviews since premiering at the 2021 Cannes Film Festival and became last year's third-highest grossing film in Japan. Buzz and anticipation are high among anime fans. Two years ago, GKIDS opened Weathering with You in 486 theaters to $2.2 million over the MLK long weekend with an additional $3 million from Wednesday and Thursday. Advance ticket sales for Belle are strong especially for higher-priced IMAX screenings, which began on Wednesday and are likely to be rolled into the weekend box office. Booked in 1300+ theaters, Belle could clear $5 million.

After a poor start, The 355 [355] will likely face a steep decline with a sophomore session around $3 million through Monday.

The King’s Man [KTSS3] will continue its strong hold during its fourth weekend and earn $2.5 million over the 4-day weekend.

That's the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): SCRM5, SING2, BELE, 355, KTSS3

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 13, 2022 @ 03:43 PM 1249 views

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Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 150000 242.70 (-0.90)          Scream 7 (SCRM7) 100 81.53 (+0.91)          Edgar Ramirez (EDRAM) 10000 47.56 (+0.50)          Gundam (GUNDM) 40000 14.95 (-0.17)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 5.15 (+1.94)          Artificial (AIFIC) 500 20.75 (-0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 30000 12.09 (-1.24)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 12.09 (-1.24)          Muzzle: City of Wolves (MUZL2) 150000 0.10 (-0.02)          Muzzle: City of Wolves (MUZL2) 150000 0.10 (-0.02)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 149999 12.72 (+0.17)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 150000 12.72 (+0.17)          Dracula (DRALT) 150000 4.02 (+0.23)          Melania (MLNIA) 40000 14.03 (+2.98)          Dracula (DRALT) 150000 4.02 (+0.23)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 289 78.91 (+0.69)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 799 78.91 (+0.69)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 999 78.91 (+0.69)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 7.14 (+0.36)          Whistle (WHIST) 150000 7.14 (+0.36)          Barry Keoghan (BKEOG) 25000 8.47 (-0.15)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 8000 10.33 (-0.31)          Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (NCOST) 25000 6.43 (+0.05)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 5000 292.44 (-1.27)          Bradley Cooper (BCOOP) 25000 126.93 (+0.33)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 14.03 (+2.98)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 1000 4.18 (-0.19)          Sylvester Stallone (SSTAL) 100 94.02 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 1000 4.18 (-0.19)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 5000 9.44 (+1.44)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 141.66 (+0.91)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 240.14 (+0.52)          Byung-hun Lee (BHLEE) 25000 74.03 (0.00)          Byung-hun Lee (BHLEE) 25000 74.03 (0.00)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.28 (+0.64)          Iron Lung (IRONL) 150000 24.28 (+0.64)          Sender (SENDR) 1000 8.92 (-0.81)          Omar Sy (OSY) 25000 65.14 (-0.01)          Sender (SENDR) 1000 8.92 (-0.81)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 150000 8.88 (-0.03)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 33105 25.47 (-0.23)          The Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 27.66 (+1.09)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 8.50 (-0.16)          4 Kids Walk Into a Bank (4KWIB) 150000 8.50 (-0.16)          Noah Jupe (NJUPE) 25000 58.26 (0.00)          Sunny (SUNNY) 150000 17.56 (-0.02)