Market Announcement: TVStocks for new Network TV series are now trading on Television Stock Exchange.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Underworld: Awakening leads an action-packed weekend



After skipping the third film in Sony Screen Gems’ vampires vs. werewolves franchise, Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] returns for the fourth film Underworld: Awakening [UNDW4].  Fans are sure to turn out for the sequel and even pony up extra for 3D, a first for the series. The opening should fall somewhere between Underworld: Evolution, the second film’s $26.9 million in 2006, and Underworld: Rise of the Lycans, the third film’s $20.8 million in 2009.  Competition from new and holdover action films will limit any breakout potential.  Opening in 3078 theaters, Underworld: Awakening may consume $24 million.

Cuba Gooding Jr. [CGOOD] and Terence Howard [THOWA] lead the cast of Red Tails [REDTL] about the Tuskegee Airmen during World War II. Produced by George Lucas, the PG-13 rated film relies heavily on special effects in hopes of attracting young moviegoers. The film should have support from older men as well as the African-American audience. Attacking 2512 theaters, Red Tails could shoot down $14 million.

With new films targeting the same male audience, Contraband [CNTRB] is poised to drop around 50% in its second weekend to $12 million.

The drama Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close [ELAIC] expands wide after 4 weeks of limited release. Warner Bros. has tried to portray the film set against the backdrop of 9/11 as more than just about the events of 9/11. Although Tom Hanks [THANK] and Sandra Bullocks [SBULL] lend their starpower, the film falls on the shoulder of young newcomer Tom Horn.  Reviews have been mixed, which will discourage some amongst the older target audience. Playing in 2630 theaters, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close could draw in $12 million.

Director Steven Soderbergh [SSODE] wants to turn mixed martial arts fighter Gina Carano into a movie star in Haywire [HAYWR]. Unfortunately, female-led action films have a hard time connecting with moviegoers.  It will be even harder for a first timer, even with an all-star supporting cast. The R-rating will prevent teens from checking out Carano, while older guys will have other options this weekend. Breaking into 2439 theaters, Haywire could score $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): KBECK, UNDW4, CGOOD, THOWA, REDTL, CNTRB, ELAIC, THANK, SBULL, SSODE, HAYWR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 19, 2012 @ 04:01 PM        6246 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Overcomer (OVRCM) 98000 17.16 (+0.49)         Overcomer (OVRCM) 99000 17.16 (+0.49)         Judy (JUDY) 98000 14.07 (+0.38)         Judy (JUDY) 99000 14.07 (+0.38)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 100000 7.66 (+0.26)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 100000 7.66 (+0.26)         Bigger (BIGER) 100000 4.32 (+0.50)         Bigger (BIGER) 99000 4.32 (+0.50)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 100000 23.33 (-0.37)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 100000 15.04 (+0.33)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 100000 15.04 (+0.33)         Downton Abbey (DWTAB) 100000 15.04 (+0.33)         Missing Link (MSLNK) 98000 31.98 (+0.59)         Life Itself (LIFIS) 39999 12.39 (-0.17)         The Oath (TOATH) 5000 6.67 (-0.24)         Life Itself (LIFIS) 59999 12.39 (-0.17)         Newsflash (NEWSF) 100000 19.04 (0.00)         Where'd You Go, Bernadette? (WDYGB) 90000 6.93 (0.00)         Newsflash (NEWSF) 90000 19.04 (0.00)         Newsflash (NEWSF) 90000 19.04 (0.00)         Where'd You Go, Bernadette? (WDYGB) 90000 6.93 (0.00)         Above Suspicion (ABSUS) 90000 0.45 (-0.01)         Godforsaken (GDFSK) 90000 0.53 (-0.01)         The Thousand Miles (TTMIL) 90000 0.40 (-0.01)         Creature From The Black Lagoon (CRTBL) 50000 6.99 (-0.16)         Creature From The Black Lagoon (CRTBL) 50000 6.99 (-0.16)         Missing Link (MSLNK) 100000 31.98 (+0.59)         The Alchemist (ALCHM) 90000 1.13 (-0.01)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 100000 30.75 (+0.64)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 100000 7.66 (+0.26)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 100000 7.66 (+0.26)         Creature From The Black Lagoon (CRTBL) 50000 6.99 (-0.16)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 50000 7.66 (+0.26)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 50000 7.66 (+0.26)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 99999 23.33 (-0.37)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 50000 7.66 (+0.26)         Justice League 2 (JLEA2) 50000 23.33 (-0.37)         This is Jane (TIJAN) 50000 7.66 (+0.26)         Women in Business (WMNBZ) 90000 2.17 (-0.02)         Blaze (BLAZE) 90000 0.44 (-0.01)         Captain Marvel (CMARV) 3453 202.13 (0.00)         Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmagedd (SHEP2) 90000 3.48 (0.00)         The House With a Clock in Its Wa (THWCW.PU) 19000 1.10 (-0.02)         Stan & Ollie (STNOL) 100000 7.12 (-0.12)         Tetris The Movie (TETRS) 90000 10.35 (0.00)         The House With a Clock in Its Wa (THWCW.OW) 5000 22.75 (0.00)         Slaughterhouse Rulez (SHRUL) 1 4.90 (-0.27)         Daddio (DADIO) 90000 4.14 (-0.03)         Life Itself (LIFIS) 60000 12.39 (-0.17)         Museo (MUSEO) 1 0.84 (-0.02)