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Whisper Numbers: Underworld: Awakening leads an action-packed weekend



After skipping the third film in Sony Screen Gems’ vampires vs. werewolves franchise, Kate Beckinsale [KBECK] returns for the fourth film Underworld: Awakening [UNDW4].  Fans are sure to turn out for the sequel and even pony up extra for 3D, a first for the series. The opening should fall somewhere between Underworld: Evolution, the second film’s $26.9 million in 2006, and Underworld: Rise of the Lycans, the third film’s $20.8 million in 2009.  Competition from new and holdover action films will limit any breakout potential.  Opening in 3078 theaters, Underworld: Awakening may consume $24 million.

Cuba Gooding Jr. [CGOOD] and Terence Howard [THOWA] lead the cast of Red Tails [REDTL] about the Tuskegee Airmen during World War II. Produced by George Lucas, the PG-13 rated film relies heavily on special effects in hopes of attracting young moviegoers. The film should have support from older men as well as the African-American audience. Attacking 2512 theaters, Red Tails could shoot down $14 million.

With new films targeting the same male audience, Contraband [CNTRB] is poised to drop around 50% in its second weekend to $12 million.

The drama Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close [ELAIC] expands wide after 4 weeks of limited release. Warner Bros. has tried to portray the film set against the backdrop of 9/11 as more than just about the events of 9/11. Although Tom Hanks [THANK] and Sandra Bullocks [SBULL] lend their starpower, the film falls on the shoulder of young newcomer Tom Horn.  Reviews have been mixed, which will discourage some amongst the older target audience. Playing in 2630 theaters, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close could draw in $12 million.

Director Steven Soderbergh [SSODE] wants to turn mixed martial arts fighter Gina Carano into a movie star in Haywire [HAYWR]. Unfortunately, female-led action films have a hard time connecting with moviegoers.  It will be even harder for a first timer, even with an all-star supporting cast. The R-rating will prevent teens from checking out Carano, while older guys will have other options this weekend. Breaking into 2439 theaters, Haywire could score $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): KBECK, UNDW4, CGOOD, THOWA, REDTL, CNTRB, ELAIC, THANK, SBULL, SSODE, HAYWR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 19, 2012 @ 04:01 PM        6373 views


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Newsflash (NEWSF) 97064 16.75 (+0.07)         Warner Bros. Studio Fund (WBROX) 10000 9.95 (0.00)         Universal Studio Fund (UNIVX) 10000 11.22 (+0.04)         Sony Studio Fund (SONYX) 10000 10.00 (0.00)         Paramount Studio Fund (PARAX) 10000 10.00 (0.00)         Lionsgate Studio Fund (LGFX) 10000 9.90 (-0.02)         Disney Studio Fund (DISNX) 10000 10.02 (0.00)         Stillwater (STLWT) 100000 26.32 (+0.82)         Escape Room 2 (ESCR2) 50000 26.04 (+1.94)         Rambo: Last Blood (RAMB5) 100000 40.37 (-1.04)         The Many Saints of Newark aka Th (TMSON) 49999 39.94 (-0.03)         Abominable (EVERS) 100000 65.95 (+0.88)         Black Christmas (BCHRS) 99999 31.76 (-0.09)         Ad Astra (ASTRA) 100000 51.49 (-0.85)         Rumble (MONTH) 100000 45.71 (+2.87)         Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (STAR9) 4999 590.95 (+0.31)         The Lie aka Between the Earth an (THLIE) 99999 7.14 (+0.01)         Escape Room 2 (ESCR2) 99999 26.04 (+1.94)         Abominable (EVERS) 1801 65.95 (+0.88)         Nightwing (NTWNG) 49999 19.15 (-0.02)         Abominable (EVERS) 58836 65.95 (+0.88)         Jesus Was My Homeboy (JWMHB) 99999 9.85 (-0.93)         Abominable (EVERS) 41164 65.95 (+0.88)         Abominable (EVERS) 100000 65.95 (+0.88)         Avatar 2 (AVAT2) 4999 398.66 (-0.02)         Battle of Jangsari (BJNGS) 100000 1.83 (-0.17)         After Exile (AFEXL) 100000 8.70 (+0.70)         It: Chapter Two (IT2) 40000 202.78 (-0.23)         Tom and Jerry (TMJRY) 49999 84.81 (-0.09)         A Beautiful Day in the Neighborh (YAMFR) 49999 73.96 (-0.33)         Rambo: Last Blood (RAMB5) 100000 40.37 (-1.04)         Rambo: Last Blood (RAMB5) 100000 40.37 (-1.04)         Clifford the Big Red Dog (CTBRD) 49999 32.57 (-0.07)         Ad Astra (ASTRA) 100000 51.49 (-0.85)         Snake Eyes (GIJO3) 50000 50.35 (+0.13)         Abominable (EVERS) 73199 65.95 (+0.88)         Rambo: Last Blood (RAMB5) 49999 40.37 (-1.04)         Dark Waters (DRYRN) 99999 18.46 (-0.93)         The Boss Baby 2 (BOSS2) 100000 89.07 (+0.40)         Tomb Raider sequel (TOMB4) 100000 36.60 (+0.06)         Mortal Kombat (MK3) 100000 41.94 (+0.22)         Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 100000 42.11 (+0.06)         The French Dispatch (TFRDS) 49999 21.38 (+1.41)         Shang-Chi and the Legend of the (SHCHI) 100000 169.22 (+0.12)         Cinderella (CNDRL) 100000 50.26 (+0.06)         Escape Room 2 (ESCR2) 1 26.04 (+1.94)         Rugrats (RUGRT) 100000 32.95 (+0.10)         The Croods 2 (CROD2) 100000 88.64 (+0.30)         The Secret Garden (SGRDN) 500 18.31 (+1.31)         Coming to America 2 aka Coming 2 (CTAM2) 100000 128.04 (+0.13)