SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Box office is a four-way battle.



Four new films and a wide expansion compete for moviegoers’ attention in a crowded weekend at the box office. Clint Eastwood [CEAST] may come out slightly ahead of the pack with the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV]. Eastwood was much maligned for his speech at the Republican National Convention, but the much talked about routine brought awareness to his first starring role since 2008’s Gran Torino. That film was a $148 million hit, which indicated the 82-year-old still has legions of fans.  Co-stars Amy Adams [AMADA] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] should help broaden the demographic for the PG-13 rated sports movie.  Playing in 3212 theaters, Trouble with the Curve could hit $15 million.

Relativity’s House at the End of the Street [ENDST] will test the drawing power of Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR], coming off the blockbuster The Hunger Games. The PG-13 rated thriller is right in the wheelhouse of its target audience of female teens and young women. Breaking into 3083 theaters, House at the End of the Street may sell for $14 million.

Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] and Michael Pena [MPENA] play LAPD officers in the R-rated actioner End of Watch [ENDWT] shot in a gritty style similar to the TV show COPS. Open Road has marketed the film heavily to sports fans as well as the Hispanic market. The film has earned excellent reviews, which could even bring in the high-brow crowd. End of Watch looks to roll up $14 million from 2730 locations.

Lionsgate’s Dredd 3D [DREDD] stars Karl Urban [KURBA] in the role Sylvester Stallone played in 1995’s Judge Dredd. The R-rated sci-fi actioner’s appeal appears limited to male fans of the genre, where it has to compete against Resident Evil: Retribution [RESE5]. Presiding 2506 theaters, Dredd 3D may execute just $10 million. Resident Evil: Retribution suffered from franchise fatigue as the fifth installment had the worst debut since the original film. The sequel looks to tumble 60% to $8 million in its second weekend.

After a record per theater average opening, The Master [MASTR] expands wide into 788 theaters. Paul Thomas Anderson’s [PTAND] period drama about a Scientology-like religious movement will attract moviegoers eager to check out the first buzzworthy film of the award season. The Master may collect $7 million this weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CEAST, TCURV, AMADA, JTIMB, ENDST, JLAWR, JGYLL, MPENA, ENDWT, DREDD, KURBA, RESE5, MASTR, PTAND

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 20, 2012 @ 04:13 PM        5745 views


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Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 2900 102.55 (-1.14)         The Biggest Little Farm (TBLF) 100000 4.42 (+0.88)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Kaya Scodelario (KSCOD) 2000 77.61 (-0.02)         Joseph Kosinski (JKOSI) 200 96.78 (-0.20)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Batgirl (BATGR) 100000 29.93 (-0.75)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 24000 150.00 (0.00)         Isla Fisher (IFISH) 200 16.14 (-0.05)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Karl Urban (KURBA) 100 102.01 (-0.34)         Jay & Silent Bob Reboot (JSBO2) 100000 3.32 (-0.97)         Jay & Silent Bob Reboot (JSBO2) 100000 3.32 (-0.97)         Bad Moms' Moms (BADM3) 100000 27.16 (-1.88)         Ken Jeong (KJEON) 400 73.01 (+0.13)         Bad Moms' Moms (BADM3) 100000 27.16 (-1.88)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 15000 150.00 (0.00)         Don't Let Go (ONLYU) 100000 16.68 (+0.93)         Don't Let Go (ONLYU) 100000 16.68 (+0.93)         Cherry Jones (CJONE) 600 1.65 (-0.03)         The Banker (BANKR) 100000 12.16 (+1.65)         The Fall of The American Empire (TFOAE) 100000 3.32 (+0.65)         Batgirl (BATGR) 99999 29.93 (-0.75)         The Banker (BANKR) 100000 12.16 (+1.65)         Enola Holmes (ENOLA) 100000 34.54 (+1.81)         Enola Holmes (ENOLA) 100000 34.54 (+1.81)         Kathy Bates (KBATE) 3900 19.70 (0.00)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Medieval (MDEVL) 100000 1.46 (+0.04)         Isla Fisher (IFISH) 600 16.14 (-0.05)         Loro (LORO) 100000 1.97 (+0.37)         Loro (LORO) 100000 1.97 (+0.37)         Kajillionaire (KAJIL) 100000 2.67 (0.00)         Ode to Joy (ODJOY) 100000 4.34 (+1.45)         Rambo: Last Blood (RAMB5) 75000 34.63 (-0.11)         Ode to Joy (ODJOY) 100000 4.34 (+1.45)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         The Banker (BANKR) 100000 12.16 (+1.65)         The Banker (BANKR) 100000 12.16 (+1.65)         Karl Urban (KURBA) 4100 102.01 (-0.34)         Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs (SNWHT) 100000 150.00 (0.00)         Cats (CATS) 100000 79.90 (+2.39)         Judy & Punch (JUDYP) 100000 1.95 (+0.02)         Birds of Prey (GOTCS) 25000 163.56 (+0.07)         The Banker (BANKR) 100000 12.16 (+1.65)         Without Remorse (WOREM) 100000 68.18 (+0.25)         The Banker (BANKR) 100000 12.16 (+1.65)         Operation Mincemeat (OPMNC) 10000 7.00 (-0.62)         Ironbark (IRNBK) 100000 1.69 (+0.02)         Loro (LORO) 100000 1.97 (+0.37)