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Whisper Numbers: Will Kick-Ass 2 get served by The Butler?

Another foursome enters the box office frame this weekend with a close battle shaping up for the top spot. Aaron Taylor-Johnson [AJOHN] and Chloe Grace Moretz [CMORE] reprise their roles as wannabe superheroes in Kick-Ass 2 [KCKA2].  Jim Carrey [JCARR] joins the cast of the R-rated sequel, but not the publicity campaign due to the Sandy Hook massacre. Will the glorification of violence also turn off the more sensitive moviegoers? The original Kick-Ass opened to $19.8 million in 2010, but then dropped steeply. Director Matthew Vaughn did not return for the sequel, which also switched studios from Lionsgate to Universal. Reviews are worse than the original, but that’s not going to matter to the young male fanbase. Kick-Ass 2 could break $23 million from 2940 locations.

It took more than 40 producers to finally put together Lee Daniels’ The Butler [BUTLR], based on the real life of a black servant who wroked at the White House for eight Presidents. Forest Whitaker [FWHIT] stars in the lead role with Oprah Winfrey acting for the first time in 15 years as his wife. An all-star cast round out the historical figures. The Weinstein Co. got a lot of free publicity when Warner Bros. challenged its original title The Butler. The R-rated drama should have strong support from African-Americans and older women. The film will also cross-over into the arthouse crowd as director Lee Daniels [LDANI] is getting the best reviews of his career and award buzz for the film. Opening in 2933 theaters, Lee Daniels’ The Butler could collect more than $21 million.

With positive word of mouth evident during the weekday box office, We’re the Millers [WEMIL] should hold better than 55% of its debut and smuggle another $15 million. Although Elysium [ELYSM] opened better than We’re the Millers, the sci-fi was not as favorably received. Elysium could fall 55% to $13 million in its second outing. The animated Planes [PLANE] may dive 40% in its second weekend to $13 million.

Ashton Kutcher [AKUTC] stars as the late Apple co-founder in the biopic Jobs [JOBS].  The PG-13 rated film has garnered mostly negative reviews since premiering at the 2013 Sundance Festival.  However, Open Road only needs to entice a fraction of the fanatical Apple devotees  curious about the history of the tech company and its famous leader. Launching in 2381 theaters, Jobs could boot up $10 million.

The PG-13 rated thriller Paranoia [PRNOA] looks unlikely to make a star out of Liam Hemsworth [LHEMS]. The corporate espionage storyline is unlikely to appeal to fans of The Hunger Games. Instead, Gary Oldman [GOLDM] and Harrison Ford [HFORD] are more likely to interest the older adult crowd. While Relativity’s marketing campaign tries to latch onto the current debate over privacy, Paranoia has generated minimal buzz. Showing in 2459 locations, Paranoia may be lucky to crack $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AJOHN, CMORE, KCKA2, JCARR, BUTLR, FWHIT, LDANI, WEMIL, ELYSM, PLANE, AKUTC, JOBS, PRNOA, LHEMS, GOLDM, HFORD

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 15, 2013 @ 04:18 PM 8539 views

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Jesse Plemons (JPLEM) 1234 38.34 (-0.12)          Maya Hawke (MHAWK) 25000 69.56 (+0.25)          Tony Gilroy (TGILR) 25000 55.00 (0.00)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 5.39 (-0.91)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 150000 1.00 (-0.03)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.27 (+1.26)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 150000 11.20 (-0.04)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 85.56 (-0.90)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 150000 129.90 (+2.82)          Kieran Culkin (KCULK) 25000 11.79 (+0.10)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 123 6.55 (0.00)          Kelvin Harrison Jr. (KHARR) 1234 81.34 (+0.01)          Tony Gilroy (TGILR) 25000 55.00 (0.00)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 1234 117.22 (+1.17)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 80.69 (-1.37)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 1234 68.81 (+0.01)          Whitney Peak (WPEAK) 1234 23.24 (-0.12)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 110.92 (-1.33)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 110.92 (-1.33)          Scapegoat (SCAPG) 1000 18.90 (-0.08)          A Statement aka Losing Earth (LERTH) 1000 6.97 (-0.08)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 228 129.90 (+2.82)          Mary Elizabeth Winstead (MEWIN) 25000 29.67 (+0.12)          Starman (STARM) 1000 11.49 (-0.16)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 1000 17.34 (-0.24)          Star Wars: Episode X (STRW1) 1000 123.02 (-0.84)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 9998 69.92 (-2.73)          Clayface (CLAYF) 149999 63.38 (+0.56)          Donkey Kong aka Untitled Nintend (DKONG) 2000 129.90 (+2.82)          Dragon (DRAGO) 20000 5.39 (-0.91)          They Know (TKNOW) 10000 14.27 (+1.26)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 1111 95.61 (+0.25)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 69.25 (-1.00)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 6666 15.96 (-0.12)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 100.59 (-0.66)          The Hole (THHOL) 14400 6.93 (+0.54)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 1 84.64 (-0.79)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 110.92 (-1.33)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 110.92 (-1.33)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 10000 84.64 (-0.79)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.74 (+0.03)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 3333 36.32 (-0.38)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 4200 12.13 (+0.08)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.62 (-0.21)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 3.62 (-0.21)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 40000 84.64 (-0.79)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 30000 3.31 (-0.25)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 6667 20.78 (-0.12)          Turpentine (TURPN) 16666 6.90 (-0.14)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 3333 29.48 (+0.17)