Market Announcement: TVStocks for new Network TV series are now trading on Television Stock Exchange.

SPIN FACTOR® - The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: 'The Blind Side' should score the win in its third weekend.



The weekend after Thanksgiving is usually slow at the box office as audiences tighten their wallets after a weekend of holiday shopping.  Because of that, the four new wide releases offered are unlikely to challenge for the top spot.  After finishing second for two weeks, The Blind Side [BLDSD] is poised to claim the top spot. The success of the sports drama has been driven by moviegoers in small towns, rather than big cities, that identify with its message of family values.  The Blind Side should block out the competition with a weekend leading $27 million.

The Twilight Saga: New Moon [TWLI2] has proved to be massively front-loaded by its female fanbase.  Even with another big drop-off, New Moon should still finish in second with about $17 million.

Sony’s Armored [ARMRD] looks to have the most commercial appeal out of the new releases.  The male-skewing heist film features recognizable faces in Matt Dillon [MDILL], Columbus Short [CSHOR] and Laurence Fishburne [LFISH].  Locked into 1915 theaters, the PG-13 rated release may bank around $8 million.

Tobey Maguire [TMAGU] and Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] star as Brothers [BRTHS] feuding over the same woman, played by Natalie Portman [NPORT].   Another R-rated drama about a veteran returning from war in Afghanistan may prove to be a hard sell to moviegoers.  The Lionsgate film could tally $7 million from 2088 locations.

Robert De Niro [RDENI] heads a dysfunctional family in the holiday comedy Everybody’s Fine [EBFIN].   Marketing has been almost non-existent on the PG-13 rated film as a result of regime change at the scaled back Miramax.   Opening in 2133 theaters, Everybody’s Fine may settle with just $4 million.

The R-rated comedy Translymania [TRSLM] is actually a sequel in the straight-to-video series Dorm Daze. The creators formed a new distribution company, Full Circle Releasing, and secured 1007 theaters.  Even with marketing support, the starless feature is unlikely to make more than $1.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): BLDSD, TWLI2, ARMRD, MDILL, CSHOR, LFISH, TMAGU, JGYLL, BRTHS, NPORT, RDENI, EBFIN, TRSLM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 3, 2009 @ 03:30 PM        3182 views


Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


@HSXMOVIES on Twitter





Follow HSX on Twitter!

Will Smith (WSMIT) 2000 106.53 (+2.02)         Thugs of Hindostan (HINDO) 22000 2.00 (0.00)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 100000 49.85 (+2.75)         X-Force (XFORC) 1000 98.00 (+0.80)         Space Jam 2 (SJAM2) 86 49.85 (+2.75)         Pinocchio - Disney (PNOCC) 50000 78.52 (-2.52)         CW: Charmed (CHARMD) 3328 11.78 (+0.21)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 100000 137.20 (+3.36)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 100000 137.20 (+3.36)         ABC: Single Parents (SPARNT) 4000 13.77 (-0.17)         Avengers 4 (AVNG4) 350 544.34 (+0.68)         Crazy Rich Asians $135M Blockbus (CRASN.BW) 4000 15.43 (+0.37)         Smallfoot - Opening Weekend (SMLFT.OW) 100000 26.90 (-0.12)         Smallfoot H$25 Call (SMLFT.CA) 1280 3.28 (+0.13)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 150 137.20 (+3.36)         Bumblebee aka Transformers 6 (TFRM6) 200 116.32 (+12.61)         The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 34000 10.84 (+9.56)         Come Away (CAWAY) 80000 20.07 (-1.22)         Galveston (GALVS) 100000 0.58 (-0.09)         Fair and Balanced (FAIRB) 46917 25.30 (+2.63)         The Mitchells Vs. The Machines (TMVTM) 5600 51.63 (-0.78)         Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 50000 56.82 (+2.68)         Child's Play (CHLDP) 49999 37.36 (+1.43)         Fair and Balanced (FAIRB) 100000 25.30 (+2.63)         Fair and Balanced (FAIRB) 100000 25.30 (+2.63)         Jurassic World 3 (JURA6) 10000 284.42 (+0.36)         Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 25000 56.82 (+2.68)         Knives Out (KNIVS) 20000 25.00 (0.00)         Knives Out (KNIVS) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         A Star is Born - Opening Weekend (ASTAR.OW) 50000 35.40 (+0.61)         Venom - Opening Weekend (VENM1.OW) 50000 65.52 (+0.75)         Thugs of Hindostan (HINDO) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Venom H$60 Call (VENM1.CA) 20000 3.41 (+0.11)         A Star is Born H$30 Call (ASTAR.CA) 20000 3.62 (+0.19)         Venom H$60 Put (VENM1.PU) 20000 1.81 (-0.09)         A Star is Born H$30 Put (ASTAR.PU) 20000 2.51 (+0.08)         True History of the Kelly Gang (THOKG) 100000 9.58 (-0.73)         Angel Has Fallen (HFAL3) 100000 21.29 (-0.69)         Angel Has Fallen (HFAL3) 100000 21.29 (-0.69)         The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 100000 10.84 (+9.56)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 136.30 (-1.70)         Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 20000 136.30 (-1.70)         The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 20000 10.84 (+9.56)         An Unquiet Life aka Roald Dahl b (UNQLF) 3000 1.54 (+0.04)         Doctor Sleep (DRSLP) 100 54.09 (-0.12)         Knives Out (KNIVS) 100000 25.00 (0.00)         Thugs of Hindostan (HINDO) 100000 2.00 (0.00)         Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 50000 86.49 (+1.69)         Frozen 2 (FROZ2) 10000 227.55 (-0.19)         Smallfoot H$25 Call (SMLFT.CA) 20000 3.28 (+0.13)