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Playing & Trading Strategy

spite ports? but otherwise, no non-sequel has ever opened that big before. could it open that big? yes. would every player think so? no.

Posted by: islander (a.k.a del_USA_islander) on Mar 14, 10:24 in response to DTXbro's post Could someone attempt to identify any reasoning...

actually one could say if you kick out all the sequels and franchisey films biggest OW, you get all the way down to Da Vinci Code at $77M as the first reasonable comparison.

but otherwise

BELIEVE THE HYPE!

;)

Could someone attempt to identify any reasoning underlying a short for either the put or call for the Hunger Games $125MM opening weekend. DTXbro Mar 14, 09:34

spite ports? but otherwise, no non-sequel has ever opened that big before. could it open that big? yes. would every player think so? no. islander Mar 14, 10:24

or i misread your question. oops :) yeah that i dont know. maybe they wont be around later on? {nm} islander Mar 14, 10:25

I can (I hope). DTravel Mar 14, 11:59

The max profit from shorting a H$2 option is H$40,000, while the potential loss in huge if HGAME opens much greater or much less than 125. {nm} Antibody Mar 14, 12:26

Not claiming its a risk-free option, just that some people will grub every penny they can. ;) {nm} DTravel Mar 14, 16:07

But your reasoning was flawed. It's not "doubling your bet". {nm} Antibody Mar 14, 16:21

I think I said "kind of doubling" - didn't mean to imply it was an exact doubling. *shrug* My mistake. {nm} DTravel Mar 14, 16:50

I understood what you meant. dave3626 Mar 15, 09:46

I knew what you meant, but it could be misleading to newbies to equate like you did. Buying Put =/ Shorting Call Buying Call =/ Shorting Put {nm} Antibody Mar 15, 10:11

You've probably answered this elsewhere at another time, but ..why did you drop "D.Mac"? {nm} dave3626 Mar 15, 10:52

I just decided to stick to my username after the HSX redesign introduced the profile page. {nm} Antibody Mar 15, 12:42

You may continue to hope, but it still won't make sense. It's a sucker bet that even most suckers would avoid {nm} DTXbro Mar 14, 16:48





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The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 150000 207.11 (-2.02)          The Face of Horror (FCOHR) 150000 7.04 (-0.03)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 1000 9.00 (0.00)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 50000 10.65 (+0.04)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 23263 6.05 (+0.95)          They Know (TKNOW) 70000 14.33 (-1.56)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 100000 82.09 (-1.15)          Ally (ALLY) 100000 17.12 (-0.08)          Rosamund Pike (RPIKE) 25000 19.17 (-0.10)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 12500 37.77 (+0.10)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 25000 31.35 (+0.23)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 35000 21.17 (-0.44)          They Know (TKNOW) 30000 14.33 (-1.56)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 75000 21.17 (-0.44)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 126737 6.05 (+0.95)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 40000 18.18 (+0.59)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 50000 9.10 (-0.44)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 6.49 (-0.55)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 150000 10.22 (-0.50)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.39 (+1.12)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 10000 18.18 (+0.59)          Doctor Caligari’s Cabinet of W (DCCOW) 50000 18.18 (+0.59)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 150000 82.91 (-0.99)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 6.26 (+0.59)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 3.66 (+0.65)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.39 (+1.12)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 100000 21.17 (-0.44)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 100000 10.22 (-0.50)          Drag (DRAG) 150000 6.39 (+1.12)          Compassionate Release aka The Fr (CMPSN) 50000 37.77 (+0.10)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 150000 9.10 (-0.44)          King (KING) 150000 3.70 (+0.47)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 6.26 (+0.59)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 20000 21.73 (+0.05)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 20.39 (+0.04)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 6.26 (+0.59)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 100000 82.09 (-1.15)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 31.35 (+0.23)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 82.09 (-1.15)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 144 80.58 (+0.25)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 6.26 (+0.59)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 3108 168.89 (-0.10)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 89283 5.86 (-0.03)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 14.33 (-1.56)