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Playing & Trading Strategy

What is a .ow derivative and how does it work?

Posted by: Buy BONDS 19 coming soon (a.k.a mrbinns) on Jul 15, 19:28 in response to Oleg Max's post Any .ow derivative gets halted on Fridays @ 10 AM PT for...

On Wednesdays, as you have seen, 3 derivatives are IPO'd witth the same strike price, the put, the call and the opening weekend.

The .ow was originally used to replace the "gut check" but it really shows the opinion of the HSX community and locks in on the day of release.

If MOVIE.OW opens at 40 and goes up, or down, that reflects the opinion of the community. Use the multiplier (usually 2.7) to get the equivalent value of the MovieStock. So if MOVIE.OW is at 35, the stock should also be at about 94.50.  if MOVIE.OW is at 45, the stock should be at 121.50

If YOU think the price of ANY security, including .ow's, is too much, you can short. If you think it is not high enough, you can buy it.

In the case of ICEA4, the strike was 65,  the equivalent of 175.50.

Well, the estimate is a lot lower, 46  How did the derivatives do prior to the halt?  Players bought the put by a ratio of 10-1.  WINNNERS ad the put willl delist on the order of 19 (65-46)  Unfortunately the players bought the call in a ratio of 5-1 and many will lose there investments with a smaller percentage cashing out because they shorted.

The greaph of the .OW shows that it went up a little in value and plummeted starting July 7.  In the end it halted at 53.45   Even so, those holding long outnumber the shorts by a ratio of 10-7.

All of the longs will lose 7.45 on Monday.  (that is in addition to previous losses.  Those who held it short will gain 7.45 (plus probably more that already shows in the portfolio since they shorted the .ow)

While it is still a "gut-check" investment, you have to pay attention.

 





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Star Trek (TREK4) 325 30.45 (+0.04)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.CA) 25000 3.70 (+0.43)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 100000 93.95 (+1.91)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 161 86.98 (+0.71)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 18.36 (+1.94)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 18.36 (+1.94)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 25000 48.74 (-0.33)          Giancarlo Esposito (GESPO) 25000 48.74 (-0.33)          Ramayana (RAMAY) 149999 19.74 (-0.91)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 30.11 (+1.99)          They Know (TKNOW) 150000 15.70 (+2.63)          Dragon (DRAGO) 150000 4.93 (+0.93)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 71.26 (-1.11)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 71.26 (-1.11)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 20000 9.11 (-0.04)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 149999 5.14 (-1.05)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 150000 84.32 (-3.45)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 140000 84.32 (-3.45)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 18.36 (+1.94)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 18.36 (+1.94)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 1 5.14 (-1.05)          The Gallerist (GALRS) 150000 5.14 (-1.05)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 7.11 (+1.29)          The Hole (THHOL) 150000 7.11 (+1.29)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 149995 14.59 (+0.45)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 150000 14.59 (+0.45)          Dragon (DRAGO) 149999 4.93 (+0.93)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 99135 208.94 (+1.95)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 101.99 (-0.01)          Hexed (HEXED) 150000 101.99 (-0.01)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 149135 114.32 (+0.16)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 114.32 (+0.16)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 149948 49.72 (-1.11)          I Play Rocky (IPROC) 150000 49.72 (-1.11)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 149905 18.36 (+1.94)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 18.36 (+1.94)          Dragon (DRAGO) 149991 4.93 (+0.93)          They Know (TKNOW) 149991 15.70 (+2.63)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6.OW) 17506 93.95 (+1.91)          I Play Rocky - Opening Weekend (IPROC.OW) 76097 16.67 (+0.04)          Hexed (HEXED) 25000 101.99 (-0.01)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 71.37 (+1.22)          Dragon (DRAGO) 52489 4.93 (+0.93)          Dragon (DRAGO) 52489 4.93 (+0.93)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 50000 208.94 (+1.95)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 149999 279.97 (+1.01)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5000 84.32 (-3.45)          Drummer Boy (DRUMB) 150000 18.36 (+1.94)          Clay (CLAY) 4000 115.71 (-0.25)          Xochitl Gomez (XGOME) 25000 113.44 (-1.38)